Rapperswil’s recent home form has been shaky, with two straight defeats and a 0-2 loss to FC Winterthur, while Yverdon Sport comes off a two-game winning streak and a 2-1 victory over FC Aarau. The model therefore rates an away win as the clear favourite, assigning it a 70% probability, with a 13% chance of a home win and a 17% chance of a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.9, but the most likely total is three goals, at a 20% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Yverdon Sport, with an 8.9% chance. Rapperswil averages 2.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded at home against stronger opponents, whereas Yverdon Sport scores 2.5 and concedes only 1.25 away against weaker foes. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 7.5 (95.6%), Away +2 handicap (95.2%), Away over 0.5 goals (93.5%), Over 1.5 (90.6%), Under 6.5 (90.1%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.1%) and Draw or Away (87.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapperswil win
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport win
69.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapperswil
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.87
1.60
2.00
1.60
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
3.60
2.50
4.50
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.52
1.46
1.62
1.67
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.33
2.33
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.86
1.00
1.75
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.22
1.17
1.91
1.18
2.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.7%
Under 1.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.6%
Under 2.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
0-3
7.3%
0-1
5.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
Rapperswil goals ↓
Yverdon Sport goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
5.5%
8.2%
7.3%
4.8%
1
1.9%
7.5%
9.1%
8.0%
5.4%
2
1.4%
3.8%
5.0%
4.5%
3.0%
3
0.5%
1.4%
1.9%
1.6%
1.1%
4
0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapperswil goals (down), columns = Yverdon Sport goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Rapperswil is 1.33 points worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Rapperswil is 0.33 goals worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Rapperswil is 1.17 goals worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rapperswil or Draw
30.3%
Avg Implied -
13%
17%
70%
covers Rapperswil + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil or Yverdon Sport
82.5%
Avg Implied -
13%
17%
70%
covers Rapperswil + Yverdon Sport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Yverdon Sport
87.2%
Avg Implied -
13%
17%
70%
covers Draw + Yverdon Sport
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5
Over
93.0%
Under
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 3.5
Over
27.7%
Under
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rapperswil, so a minus line means Rapperswil give that many goals of a start and Yverdon Sport receive them. At -1, Rapperswil must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rapperswil win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rapperswil)
Rapperswil -2
1.4%
Draw -2
3.4%
Yverdon Sport +2
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rapperswil)
Rapperswil -1
4.8%
Draw -1
8.0%
Yverdon Sport +1
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rapperswil)
Rapperswil +1
30.3%
Draw +1
20.2%
Yverdon Sport -1
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rapperswil)
Rapperswil +2
50.5%
Draw +2
19.8%
Yverdon Sport -2
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapperswil
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.07
0.93
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
2.00
2.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.72
0.92
0.69
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.86
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.61
0.73
0.55
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
Under 0.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.9%
Under 1.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.4%
Under 2.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.0%
Under
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.3%
Under
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rapperswil
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.07
0.53
1.07
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.40
0.50
2.00
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.80
0.54
0.92
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
0.93
0.80
1.33
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.35
0.57
1.18
0.64
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.9%
Under 0.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.4%
Under 1.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.1%
Under 2.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.1%
Under
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 2H
Over
63.7%
Under
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Yverdon Sport · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi33%
Boris Céspedes25%
Antonio Marchesano24%
Marley Aké21%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Mitchy Ntelo15%
Moussa Baradji15%
Hugo Komano11%
Varol Tasar11%
William Le Pogam7%
Mauro Rodrigues4%
Fode Sylla4%
Mateusz Łęgowski3%
Christian Marques3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Anthony Sauthier0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Piccini60%
Dimitrije Kamenović50%
Boris Céspedes42%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Moussa Baradji26%
Mateusz Łęgowski24%
Cristian Núñez20%
Vegard Kongsro20%
Christian Marques19%
Dion Kacuri19%
Anthony Sauthier18%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Varol Tasar17%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Jason Gnakpa15%
Hugo Komano14%
Fode Sylla14%
William Le Pogam14%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Paul Bernardoni8%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Haithem Loucif0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Franco González0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Marchesano18%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Franco González14%
Moussa Baradji11%
Marley Aké9%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Mateusz Łęgowski7%
Dion Kacuri6%
Anthony Sauthier6%
Varol Tasar6%
Boris Céspedes4%
Fode Sylla4%
Christian Marques3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
William Le Pogam0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Hugo Komano0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi67%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Varol Tasar17%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Moussa Baradji11%
Hugo Komano6%
Fode Sylla4%
Anthony Sauthier3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
William Le Pogam0%
Boris Céspedes0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Christian Marques0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Rapperswil and Yverdon Sport have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Rapperswil's attack is €1m less valuable than Yverdon Sport's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Rapperswil and Yverdon Sport have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Rapperswil and Yverdon Sport have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
SC Kriens
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
FC WIL 1900
Stade Nyonnais