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Raufoss vs Kongsvinger Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Raufoss
Raufoss
Vs
37%
32%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raufoss win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L03L01L40W00D31W00D12L00D03LA·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05A·MJO16/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.531.001.361.311.69
vs Stronger (11)1.272.091.172.001.402.20
vs Similar (19)1.111.210.880.881.271.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L21W12L20W02L03L21W21W02L50WA·SAN16/11H·SAN19/11A·BRY10/04H·MJO16/04A·KRI22/04H·HOD30/04A·SAN03/05H·JER07/05A·KFU13/05H·SKE16/05← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.172.000.931.121.38
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.121.440.890.751.38
vs Weaker (12)2.251.083.001.001.711.14
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.0%
No
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
Raufoss goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
01234
013%10%6.0%2.1%0.5%
112%15%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.5%7.7%3.9%1.3%0.3%
32.8%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Raufoss is 0.41 points worse than Kongsvinger in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Raufoss is 0.61 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Raufoss is 0.19 goals better than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D20W00D00D00D01L00D01LA·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05A·MJO16/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.210.430.500.62
vs Stronger (11)0.450.730.330.670.600.80
vs Similar (19)0.320.420.120.250.450.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L10W02L02L10W00D01L30WA·SAN16/11H·SAN19/11A·BRY10/04H·MJO16/04A·KRI22/04H·HOD30/04A·SAN03/05H·JER07/05A·KFU13/05H·SKE16/05← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.930.360.380.56
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.350.530.560.220.120.88
vs Weaker (12)1.080.331.600.600.710.14
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L01L20W00D31W00D11D00D02LA·RAN22/10H·SOG29/10A·HOD10/04H·KFU16/04A·SAN22/04A·STA30/04H·ASA03/05A·SOG06/05H·RAN13/05A·MJO16/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.790.930.811.06
vs Stronger (11)0.821.360.831.330.801.40
vs Similar (19)0.790.790.750.620.820.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W11D10W00D01L11D21W01L20WA·SAN16/11H·SAN19/11A·BRY10/04H·MJO16/04A·KRI22/04H·HOD30/04A·SAN03/05H·JER07/05A·KFU13/05H·SKE16/05← Eliteserien1. Division →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.070.570.750.81
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.760.590.890.670.620.50
vs Weaker (12)1.170.751.400.401.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Raufoss's squad is €3m less valuable than Kongsvinger's (€2m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss's attack is €2m less valuable than Kongsvinger's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Kongsvinger have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Raufoss and Kongsvinger have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
RAU wins
0
Draws
2
KON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raufoss vs Kongsvinger · H/A from RAU
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/22HRAU Vs Kongsvinger0-1
15/05/22AKongsvinger Vs RAU4-1

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/23AMjondalen Vs RAU3-0
13/05/23HRAU Vs Ranheim0-0
06/05/23ASogndal Vs RAU2-1
03/05/23HRAU Vs Asane0-0
30/04/23AStart Vs RAU1-3
22/04/23ASandnes ULF Vs RAU0-0
16/04/23HRAU Vs KFUM Oslo4-0
10/04/23Ahodd Vs RAU1-0
29/10/22HRAU Vs Sogndal0-3
22/10/22ARanheim Vs RAU3-2

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/23HKON Vs Skeid5-0
13/05/23AKFUM Oslo Vs KON2-0
07/05/23HKON Vs jerv2-1
03/05/23ASandnes ULF Vs KON1-2
30/04/23HKON Vs hodd0-3
22/04/23AKristiansund BK Vs KON2-0
16/04/23HKON Vs Mjondalen2-0
10/04/23ABryne Vs KON2-1
19/11/22HKON Vs Sandefjord2-1
16/11/22ASandefjord Vs KON4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.16
HomeLLWDD1.33
AwayLDWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%33%25%
AVG goals2.742.393.05
Over 1.5 %79%72%85%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %32%22%40%
Scored1.131.001.25
Conceded1.611.391.80
BTTS47%39%55%
Clean Sheet21%33%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.63
HomeWWLWW1.90
AwayLLLWL1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%55%43%
AVG goals2.673.052.35
Over 1.5 %72%80%65%
Over 2.5 %58%70%48%
Over 3.5 %30%45%17%
Scored1.421.950.96
Conceded1.261.101.39
BTTS49%60%39%
Clean Sheet26%25%26%
Corners6.505.008.00
Cards3.505.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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