Raufoss vs Moss Result & Analysis

Raufoss are tipped to win this encounter, with a 46% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 25% for a Moss victory. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 27% chance that the final tally will be exactly two. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% probability. Raufoss, playing at home against a side of similar strength, have averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Moss, on the road, have managed 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested selections are Under 3.5 with a 75.9% probability and Over 1.5 with a 72.4% probability. The home win percentage is 46%, the draw percentage 29% and the away win percentage 25%. The model’s picks are Under 3.5 hit and Over 1.5 hit. The match is likely to see Raufoss hold a modest advantage, but the balanced scoring figures hint at a tight contest.

The upset came early as Raufoss, who had just suffered five consecutive defeats, fell 0-2 to Moss, who were coming off a loss themselves. The pre-match favourite was a home win with a 46% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-2 confirmed an away victory. The model’s selections were largely accurate: the Under 3.5 pick hit with a 75.9% probability, and the Over 1.5 pick also hit at 72.4%. The most likely total of two goals was 27% probable, yet the game produced only two goals, matching that expectation. Overall, the model’s predictions on total goals were correct, but its favourite was off.