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Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF Result & Analysis

Date: 31/07/2022
Time: 13:30
Final 1-1
Raufoss
Raufoss
Vs
25%
28%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raufoss win✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF win✗ Miss
47.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L22D10W10W41W21W21W05L22D40WH·STA22/05A·STA26/05H·ASA30/05H·SKE26/06A·SAN04/07H·MJO07/07A·STJ10/07H·BRA18/07A·SKE24/07A·FRE27/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.561.001.502.001.62
vs Stronger (7)1.432.290.673.002.001.75
vs Similar (9)1.561.001.200.602.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L10W21W22D12L14L31W32W21W60WH·MJO23/05A·SKE26/05A·SOG29/05H·KFU20/06A·ASA27/06H·RAU04/07A·GRO07/07H·RAN10/07A·STA18/07H·ASA25/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.881.562.252.001.501.12
vs Stronger (6)1.501.832.002.331.001.33
vs Similar (10)2.101.402.401.801.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %19% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
Raufoss goals ↓
Sandnes ULF goals →
01234
08.3%9.8%8.6%4.5%1.8%
16.5%13%9.4%4.9%1.9%
24.2%6.5%5.1%2.7%1.0%
31.5%2.4%1.9%1.0%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = Sandnes ULF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Raufoss is 0.35 points worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Raufoss is 0.58 goals worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Raufoss is 0.09 goals worse than Sandnes ULF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L00D00D30W00D10W02L01L30WH·STA22/05A·STA26/05H·ASA30/05H·SKE26/06A·SAN04/07H·MJO07/07A·STJ10/07H·BRA18/07A·SKE24/07A·FRE27/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.620.120.501.120.75
vs Stronger (7)0.861.000.331.001.251.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.330.000.201.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D11D01L02L03L10W11D11D40WH·MJO23/05A·SKE26/05A·SOG29/05H·KFU20/06A·ASA27/06H·RAU04/07A·GRO07/07H·RAN10/07A·STA18/07H·ASA25/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.061.121.250.620.88
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.671.000.671.00
vs Similar (10)1.001.101.401.400.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W10W10W11D21W11D03L21W10WH·STA22/05A·STA26/05H·ASA30/05H·SKE26/06A·SAN04/07H·MJO07/07A·STJ10/07H·BRA18/07A·SKE24/07A·FRE27/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.940.881.000.880.88
vs Stronger (7)0.571.290.332.000.750.75
vs Similar (9)1.110.671.200.401.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandnes ULF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W21W10W11D21W21W10W20WH·MJO23/05A·SKE26/05A·SOG29/05H·KFU20/06A·ASA27/06H·RAU04/07A·GRO07/07H·RAN10/07A·STA18/07H·ASA25/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.120.750.880.25
vs Stronger (6)0.830.831.331.330.330.33
vs Similar (10)1.100.301.000.401.200.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sandnes ULF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Raufoss and Sandnes ULF have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
RAU wins
0
Draws
0
SU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF · H/A from RAU
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/22ASandnes ULF Vs RAU1-4

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/22AFredrikstad Vs RAU0-4
24/07/22ASkeid Vs RAU2-2
18/07/22HRAU Vs Brann0-5
10/07/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs RAU1-2
07/07/22HRAU Vs Mjondalen2-1
04/07/22ASandnes ULF Vs RAU1-4
26/06/22HRAU Vs Skeid1-0
30/05/22HRAU Vs Asane1-0
26/05/22AStart Vs RAU2-2
22/05/22HRAU Vs Stabaek0-4

Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/22HSU Vs Asane6-0
18/07/22AStart Vs SU1-2
10/07/22HSU Vs Ranheim3-2
07/07/22AGrorud Vs SU1-3
04/07/22HSU Vs Raufoss1-4
27/06/22AAsane Vs SU2-1
20/06/22HSU Vs KFUM Oslo2-2
29/05/22ASogndal Vs SU1-2
26/05/22ASkeid Vs SU0-1
23/05/22HSU Vs Mjondalen0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.62
HomeLWWWL1.75
AwayDWWDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals3.062.503.62
Over 1.5 %88%75%100%
Over 2.5 %56%38%75%
Over 3.5 %44%25%62%
Scored1.501.002.00
Conceded1.561.501.62
BTTS56%38%75%
Clean Sheet25%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.94
HomeLDLWW1.62
AwayWWLWW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%50%75%
AVG goals3.444.252.62
Over 1.5 %88%100%75%
Over 2.5 %81%88%75%
Over 3.5 %44%75%12%
Scored1.882.251.50
Conceded1.562.001.12
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet19%12%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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