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Raufoss vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 4-1
Raufoss
Raufoss
Vs
36%
32%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raufoss win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L21W00D03L00D02L03L41W21WA·EGE01/06A·RAN16/06H·STA23/06H·STA20/07H·LEV23/07A·ASA27/07H·AAL03/08A·VAL11/08H·EGE19/08A·STA26/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.170.791.211.561.12
vs Stronger (17)1.241.291.111.221.381.38
vs Similar (12)0.581.080.201.200.861.00
vs Weaker (1)8.000.00--8.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L22D21W20W03L40W20W11D03L02LH·STA01/06H·EGE09/06A·LYN16/06H·KON22/06A·RAN20/07H·STA27/07A·EGE03/08H·LEV10/08A·MOS19/08H·RAN25/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.401.801.401.531.40
vs Stronger (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.521.371.801.401.171.33
vs Weaker (1)6.002.00--6.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.7%
Under 2.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Raufoss goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
012%10%6.3%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.2%2.5%0.7%
27.1%7.6%4.0%1.4%0.4%
32.7%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss is 0.23 points better than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Raufoss and Sogndal are level in goals scored per game (both 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Raufoss is 0.17 goals better than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D00D01L00D02L01L20W00DA·EGE01/06A·RAN16/06H·STA23/06H·STA20/07H·LEV23/07A·ASA27/07H·AAL03/08A·VAL11/08H·EGE19/08A·STA26/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.500.640.810.31
vs Stronger (17)0.650.530.670.780.620.25
vs Similar (12)0.250.420.200.400.290.43
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D21W10W01L20W10W01L01L01LH·STA01/06H·EGE09/06A·LYN16/06H·KON22/06A·RAN20/07H·STA27/07A·EGE03/08H·LEV10/08A·MOS19/08H·RAN25/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.630.730.601.070.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.670.730.600.830.75
vs Weaker (1)5.001.00--5.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W00D02L00D00D02L21W21WA·EGE01/06A·RAN16/06H·STA23/06H·STA20/07H·LEV23/07A·ASA27/07H·AAL03/08A·VAL11/08H·EGE19/08A·STA26/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.290.570.750.81
vs Stronger (17)0.590.760.440.440.751.12
vs Similar (12)0.330.670.000.800.570.57
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D22D00D10W02L20W10W10W02L01LH·STA01/06H·EGE09/06A·LYN16/06H·KON22/06A·RAN20/07H·STA27/07A·EGE03/08H·LEV10/08A·MOS19/08H·RAN25/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.070.800.470.73
vs Stronger (2)1.001.50--1.001.50
vs Similar (27)0.740.701.070.800.330.58
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Raufoss's squad is €2m less valuable than Sogndal's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Raufoss's defence is €1m less valuable than Sogndal's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
RAU wins
1
Draws
3
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raufoss vs Sogndal · H/A from RAU
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/24ASogndal Vs RAU1-1
23/08/23HRAU Vs Sogndal3-0
06/05/23ASogndal Vs RAU2-1
29/10/22HRAU Vs Sogndal0-3
04/04/22ASogndal Vs RAU2-0

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/24AStart Vs RAU1-2
19/08/24HRAU Vs Egersund4-1
11/08/24AValerenga Vs RAU3-0
03/08/24HRAU Vs Aalesund0-2
27/07/24AAsane Vs RAU0-0
23/07/24HRAU Vs Levanger0-3
20/07/24HRAU Vs Stabaek0-0
23/06/24HRAU Vs Start2-1
16/06/24ARanheim Vs RAU1-0
01/06/24AEgersund Vs RAU1-2

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24HSOG Vs Ranheim0-2
19/08/24AMoss Vs SOG3-0
10/08/24HSOG Vs Levanger1-1
03/08/24AEgersund Vs SOG0-2
27/07/24HSOG Vs Start4-0
20/07/24ARanheim Vs SOG3-0
22/06/24HSOG Vs Kongsvinger2-0
16/06/24ALyn Vs SOG1-2
09/06/24HSOG Vs Egersund2-2
01/06/24HSOG Vs Stabaek2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.32
HomeWDLLW1.24
AwayWLDLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.502.162.84
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.241.041.44
Conceded1.261.121.40
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.42
HomeDWWDL1.64
AwayLWLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals3.023.162.88
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.601.841.36
Conceded1.421.321.52
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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