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Raufoss vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Raufoss
Raufoss
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raufoss win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win✓ Hit
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L24L12L42W01L03L12L04L04LA·ODD10/08A·HØN13/08A·ASA18/08H·LIL23/08A·HOD30/08H·AAL13/09A·STA21/09H·RAN29/09A·STA04/10A·EGE18/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.901.361.361.442.38
vs Stronger (14)0.712.140.571.290.863.00
vs Similar (15)1.871.732.141.431.622.00
vs Weaker (1)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W02L21W31W11D15L12L22D02L00DA·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08A·ASA30/08H·LIL13/09A·LYN21/09H·KON28/09A·AAL04/10H·STA18/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.601.791.711.621.50
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.005.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.761.601.851.461.671.75
vs Weaker (2)3.000.50--3.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
Raufoss goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
08.3%7.9%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.4%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.5%8.4%5.4%2.3%0.8%
32.9%3.8%2.4%1.1%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raufoss goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Raufoss is 0.43 points worse than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Raufoss is 0.20 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Raufoss is 0.27 goals worse than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L24L01L21W01L01L11D00D02LA·ODD10/08A·HØN13/08A·ASA18/08H·LIL23/08A·HOD30/08H·AAL13/09A·STA21/09H·RAN29/09A·STA04/10A·EGE18/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.790.570.690.88
vs Stronger (14)0.360.710.290.710.430.71
vs Similar (15)1.000.731.290.430.751.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L10W30W10W11D11D01L01L00DA·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08A·ASA30/08H·LIL13/09A·LYN21/09H·KON28/09A·AAL04/10H·STA18/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.860.500.690.81
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.840.640.850.460.830.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RaufossRaufoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L00D11D21W00D02L01L04L02LA·ODD10/08A·HØN13/08A·ASA18/08H·LIL23/08A·HOD30/08H·AAL13/09A·STA21/09H·RAN29/09A·STA04/10A·EGE18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.170.570.790.751.50
vs Stronger (14)0.361.430.290.570.432.29
vs Similar (15)0.871.000.861.000.881.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D11D01L01L04L01L21W01L00DA·MJO10/08A·BJA13/08A·STA18/08H·MOS23/08A·ASA30/08H·LIL13/09A·LYN21/09H·KON28/09A·AAL04/10H·STA18/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.930.931.210.940.69
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.004.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.961.001.000.830.92
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Raufoss's squad is €2m less valuable than Sogndal's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sogndal have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Raufoss and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Raufoss's defence is €1m less valuable than Sogndal's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
RAU wins
2
Draws
3
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raufoss vs Sogndal · H/A from RAU
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25ASogndal Vs RAU2-2
02/09/24HRAU Vs Sogndal4-1
22/05/24ASogndal Vs RAU1-1
23/08/23HRAU Vs Sogndal3-0
06/05/23ASogndal Vs RAU2-1
29/10/22HRAU Vs Sogndal0-3
04/04/22ASogndal Vs RAU2-0

RaufossRaufoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AEgersund Vs RAU4-0
04/10/25AStart Vs RAU4-0
29/09/25HRAU Vs Ranheim1-2
21/09/25AStabaek Vs RAU3-0
13/09/25HRAU Vs Aalesund0-1
30/08/25Ahodd Vs RAU2-4
23/08/25HRAU Vs Lillestrom1-2
18/08/25AAsane Vs RAU4-2
13/08/25AHønefoss Vs RAU3-0
10/08/25AODD Ballklubb Vs RAU1-2

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HSOG Vs Start0-0
04/10/25AAalesund Vs SOG2-0
28/09/25HSOG Vs Kongsvinger2-2
21/09/25ALyn Vs SOG2-1
13/09/25HSOG Vs Lillestrom1-5
30/08/25AAsane Vs SOG1-1
23/08/25HSOG Vs Moss3-1
18/08/25AStabaek Vs SOG1-2
13/08/25ABjarg Vs SOG2-0
10/08/25AMjondalen Vs SOG2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raufoss
Raufoss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.22
HomeLDLLL1.33
AwayLWLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.942.623.23
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %62%46%77%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.341.381.31
Conceded1.601.251.92
BTTS62%58%65%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.24
HomeWWLDD1.16
AwayLWDLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals3.003.202.80
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored1.401.521.28
Conceded1.601.681.52
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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