This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.83
1.81
0.56
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.47
0.82
2.00
0.38
1.00
1.22
vs Weaker (8)
2.25
0.88
2.25
0.75
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.3%
@ 2.23+1.5%
Under 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.67-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.3%
No
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
Rayo Vallecano goals ↓
Espanyol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
4.5%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
15%
11%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
9.0%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
8.6%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.9%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rayo Vallecano goals (down), columns = Espanyol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Madrid
2.26
Barcelona
1.92
Atletico Madrid
1.87
Sevilla
1.84
Real Betis
1.71
Real Sociedad
1.63
Villarreal
1.55
Athletic Club
1.45
Valencia
1.26
Osasuna
1.24
Celta Vigo
1.21
Rayo Vallecano
1.11
Espanyol
1.11
Elche
1.11
Getafe
1.03
Cadiz
1.03
Mallorca
1.03
Granada CF
1.00
Levante
0.92
Alaves
0.82
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol are level in average points per game (both 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Real Madrid
2.11
Barcelona
1.79
Atletico Madrid
1.71
Villarreal
1.66
Real Betis
1.63
Sevilla
1.39
Levante
1.34
Valencia
1.26
Granada CF
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Celta Vigo
1.13
Real Sociedad
1.05
Espanyol
1.05
Elche
1.05
Rayo Vallecano
1.03
Osasuna
0.97
Mallorca
0.95
Cadiz
0.92
Getafe
0.87
Alaves
0.82
Rayo Vallecano is 0.03 goals worse than Espanyol in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sevilla
0.79
Real Madrid
0.82
Athletic Club
0.95
Real Sociedad
0.97
Villarreal
0.97
Barcelona
1.00
Real Betis
1.05
Getafe
1.08
Celta Vigo
1.13
Atletico Madrid
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Cadiz
1.34
Osasuna
1.34
Elche
1.37
Espanyol
1.39
Valencia
1.39
Granada CF
1.61
Mallorca
1.66
Alaves
1.71
Levante
2.00
Rayo Vallecano is 0.08 goals better than Espanyol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Espanyol
For 5.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.0
8.0
5.8
5.9
5.7
31.3
30.7
31.9
vs Stronger (4)
7.8
10.0
7.0
5.0
4.0
5.3
30.2
29.0
30.7
vs Similar (31)
8.5
9.2
7.9
5.8
5.9
5.7
30.1
30.4
29.7
vs Weaker (15)
8.7
8.6
8.9
6.1
6.1
6.0
34.2
31.5
37.3
% over line
34%
44%
24%
80%
84%
76%
92%
88%
96%
% under line
66%
56%
76%
20%
16%
24%
8%
12%
4%
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.8
4.7
4.4
5.0
26.5
25.3
27.7
vs Stronger (5)
10.8
11.5
8.0
4.6
4.2
6.0
22.8
22.0
26.0
vs Similar (29)
10.2
10.8
9.6
4.9
4.1
5.5
26.3
26.1
26.6
vs Weaker (16)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.6
5.1
4.1
27.9
25.6
29.8
% over line
56%
60%
52%
68%
64%
72%
82%
76%
88%
% under line
44%
40%
48%
32%
36%
28%
18%
24%
12%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Espanyol
10.2
Athletic Club
10.1
Real Madrid
9.7
Cadiz
9.7
Atletico Madrid
9.5
Alaves
9.5
Real Betis
9.4
Barcelona
9.3
Levante
9.3
Valencia
9.3
Granada CF
8.9
Villarreal
8.7
Rayo Vallecano
8.5
Mallorca
8.5
Elche
8.4
Sevilla
8.3
Real Sociedad
8.3
Osasuna
8.2
Getafe
8.0
Celta Vigo
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.3
Valencia
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.8
Celta Vigo
5.8
Granada CF
5.6
Mallorca
5.5
Sevilla
5.1
Alaves
4.8
Real Sociedad
4.8
Cadiz
4.8
Espanyol
4.7
Atletico Madrid
4.7
Elche
4.6
Levante
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Athletic Club
4.5
Villarreal
4.4
Barcelona
4.3
Osasuna
4.2
Real Madrid
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rayo Vallecano
31.3
Getafe
30.1
Mallorca
29.5
Celta Vigo
28.9
Valencia
28.5
Real Sociedad
27.5
Alaves
27.2
Granada CF
27.0
Elche
26.6
Espanyol
26.5
Real Betis
26.4
Athletic Club
26.1
Sevilla
25.8
Levante
25.4
Atletico Madrid
25.3
Villarreal
25.2
Barcelona
25.2
Osasuna
25.0
Real Madrid
23.8
Cadiz
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
Under 3.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.60
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.65
1.17
0.67
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
1.19
0.12
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.41
1.38
0.00
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.35
0.92
0.17
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.62
0.44
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.41
0.62
0.38
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.25
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rayo Vallecano · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Camello67%
Álvaro García33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Camello33%
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Fran Pérez33%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Unai López33%
Álvaro García33%
Jorge de Frutos33%
Sergio Camello0%
Florian Lejeune0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Randy Nteka0%
Fran Pérez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergio Camello33%
Florian Lejeune33%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Álvaro García0%
Randy Nteka0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Fran Pérez0%
Espanyol · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roberto Fernández67%
Tyrhys Dolan33%
Álex Calatrava33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Javier Hernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Urko González67%
Álex Calatrava67%
Javier Hernández33%
Roger Hinojo33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javier Hernández100%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Álex Calatrava0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edu Expósito33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Álex Calatrava0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Javier Hernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
CAD (29)
€27m
GC (18)
€17m
Rayo Vallecano's squad is €43m less valuable than Espanyol's (€76m vs €119m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
CAD (12)
€11m
GC (5)
€6m
Rayo Vallecano's attack is €9m less valuable than Espanyol's (€30m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
Rayo Vallecano's midfield is €22m less valuable than Espanyol's (€9m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
GC (10)
€9m
Rayo Vallecano's defence is €12m less valuable than Espanyol's (€36m vs €48m).
Spain: La Liga 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Real Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Real Betis
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Valencia
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Elche
Getafe
Cadiz
Mallorca
Granada CF
Levante
Alaves