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RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RB Leipzig win✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.99
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.70
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win✓ Hit
22.1%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.64
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W12L33D21W22D01L00D20W00D22DH·WER12/01A·VFB15/01A·VFL18/01H·SPO22/01H·BAY25/01A·STU29/01A·UNI01/02H·FC 09/02A·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.531.861.501.191.56
vs Stronger (1)1.005.00--1.005.00
vs Similar (11)1.362.001.602.001.172.00
vs Weaker (18)1.611.062.001.221.220.89
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W20W01L12L20W01L00D20W20WH·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.971.750.751.861.21
vs Stronger (5)1.601.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.840.961.670.672.001.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.80+6.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 2.03-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
1-2 ✓
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
RB Leipzig goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
05.7%4.4%3.2%1.2%0.4%
17.8%11%6.0%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.7%
35.3%6.2%3.6%1.4%0.4%
42.5%3.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RB Leipzig goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
RB Leipzig is 0.03 points worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
RB Leipzig is 0.06 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
RB Leipzig is 0.15 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
RB Leipzig is 2.0 percentage points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 4.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

17074985454937393654111179912109955H·1. A·FC H·FC A·UNIA·STUH·BAYH·SPOA·VFLA·VFBH·WER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

11033123223122234921163553434112H·1. A·FC H·FC A·UNIA·STUH·BAYH·SPOA·VFLA·VFBH·WER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

300151512121281251013126156714191071230242017231821212919H·1. A·FC H·FC A·UNIA·STUH·BAYH·SPOA·VFLA·VFBH·WER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

19065481383922248562173211124111141211195H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

1303331333104322322213264613745235H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

330910169129131412810121446161010211219252127202218222033H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFLA·EINH·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.59.44.64.15.021.621.122.0
vs Stronger (4)10.010.010.06.05.06.322.222.022.3
vs Similar (14)10.910.911.04.63.65.620.819.322.3
vs Weaker (32)9.510.48.64.44.34.521.821.921.8
% over line58%75%42%72%62%81%48%42%54%
% under line42%25%58%28%38%19%52%58%46%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.79.55.45.45.424.826.123.5
vs Stronger (11)9.57.511.84.94.55.423.925.022.6
vs Similar (39)10.311.68.85.55.75.425.126.423.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%62%42%80%88%71%68%77%58%
% under line48%38%58%20%12%29%32%23%42%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.0
SV Elversberg
10.8
VfL Bochum
10.8
1899 Hoffenheim
10.7
Borussia Dortmund
10.3
FC Augsburg
10.1
FSV Mainz 05
10.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Union Berlin
9.9
RB Leipzig
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.9
VfL Wolfsburg
9.8
1. FC Heidenheim
9.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Bayern München
9.1
SC Freiburg
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FSV Mainz 05
5.4
VfB Stuttgart
5.3
VfL Wolfsburg
5.3
Werder Bremen
5.0
Holstein Kiel
4.6
RB Leipzig
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.6
VfL Bochum
4.6
Union Berlin
4.4
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.3
1. FC Heidenheim
4.3
Borussia Dortmund
4.2
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
SC Freiburg
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
24.8
VfL Bochum
24.6
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
VfL Wolfsburg
23.8
FC Augsburg
23.0
VfB Stuttgart
22.8
Holstein Kiel
22.5
Werder Bremen
22.4
Union Berlin
22.0
1899 Hoffenheim
22.0
RB Leipzig
21.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.5
SV Elversberg
21.4
SC Freiburg
20.9
FC St. Pauli
20.2
Borussia Dortmund
20.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.3%
Under 9.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.5%
Under 21.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W30W10W12L01L00D20W00D12LH·WER12/01A·VFB15/01A·VFL18/01H·SPO22/01H·BAY25/01A·STU29/01A·UNI01/02H·FC 09/02A·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.860.860.880.75
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (11)0.821.000.800.800.831.17
vs Weaker (18)0.890.560.890.890.890.22
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D12L10W01L00D10W00DH·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.500.810.381.140.64
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.500.750.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.480.580.251.230.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L03L11D10W00D00D00D00D10WH·WER12/01A·VFB15/01A·VFL18/01H·SPO22/01H·BAY25/01A·STU29/01A·UNI01/02H·FC 09/02A·FC 14/02H·1. 23/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.731.000.640.310.81
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.551.000.801.200.330.83
vs Weaker (18)0.720.501.110.330.330.67
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D10W01L00D10W00D00D10W20WH·BAY14/12A·EIN21/12H·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.940.380.710.57
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.500.250.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.481.080.420.770.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.582.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

RB Leipzig
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško42%
Xavi Simons27%
Loïs Openda24%
Antonio Nusa14%
Yussuf Poulsen14%
Willi Orbán13%
Christoph Baumgartner12%
Ridle Baku10%
André Silva7%
David Raum3%
Kevin Kampl3%
Lukas Klostermann3%
Lutsharel Geertruida3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Amadou Haidara0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Viggo Gebel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Raum28%
Benjamin Henrichs25%
Amadou Haidara22%
Tidiam Gomis22%
Xaver Schlager20%
Castello Lukeba19%
Xavi Simons18%
Arthur Vermeeren18%
Eljif Elmas17%
Christoph Baumgartner16%
Kevin Kampl15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Willi Orbán13%
Lutsharel Geertruida11%
Loïs Openda11%
Nicolas Seiwald10%
Kosta Nedeljković9%
Maarten Vandevoordt8%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu7%
Ridle Baku5%
Benjamin Šeško4%
Yussuf Poulsen3%
Péter Gulácsi0%
André Silva0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Viggo Gebel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Silva20%
Xavi Simons18%
David Raum17%
Eljif Elmas17%
Loïs Openda16%
Benjamin Šeško13%
Antonio Nusa11%
Tidiam Gomis11%
Ridle Baku10%
Benjamin Henrichs8%
Arthur Vermeeren5%
Amadou Haidara5%
Christoph Baumgartner5%
Lutsharel Geertruida3%
Willi Orbán3%
Nicolas Seiwald2%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Viggo Gebel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Loïs Openda38%
Benjamin Šeško27%
Xavi Simons15%
Christoph Baumgartner9%
Yussuf Poulsen7%
Benjamin Henrichs4%
Willi Orbán3%
Amadou Haidara2%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
André Silva0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
David Raum0%
Ridle Baku0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Viggo Gebel0%
FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt50%
Nadiem Amiri25%
Paul Nebel24%
Jae-sung Lee18%
Nelson Weiper12%
Dominik Kohr10%
Armindo Sieb7%
Maxim Leitsch6%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Anthony Caci3%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr43%
Nadiem Amiri28%
Moritz Jenz25%
Phillipp Mwene21%
Anthony Caci20%
Lennard Maloney20%
Stefan Bell20%
Paul Nebel15%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen13%
Maxim Leitsch12%
Nikolas Veratschnig12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Silvan Widmer11%
Robin Zentner9%
Kaishu Sano8%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Jonathan Burkardt0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jae-sung Lee18%
Anthony Caci17%
Paul Nebel15%
Nadiem Amiri12%
Phillipp Mwene12%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Stefan Bell5%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Danny da Costa4%
Silvan Widmer4%
Dominik Kohr0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Burkardt33%
Nadiem Amiri16%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Paul Nebel6%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Nelson Weiper4%
Armindo Sieb3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Phillipp Mwene0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
RB Leipzig's squad is €331m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€506m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
RB Leipzig's attack is €163m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€212m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
RB Leipzig's midfield is €30m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€109m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
RB Leipzig's defence is €138m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€185m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
RL wins
2
Draws
4
FM0 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from RL
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL0-2
30/03/24HRL Vs FSV Mainz 050-0
04/11/23AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL2-0
01/04/23HRL Vs FSV Mainz 050-3
08/10/22AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL1-1
08/01/22HRL Vs FSV Mainz 054-1
15/08/21AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL1-0
23/01/21AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL3-2

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25HRL Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-2
14/02/25AFC Augsburg Vs RL0-0
09/02/25HRL Vs FC St. Pauli2-0
01/02/25AUnion Berlin Vs RL0-0
29/01/25ASturm Graz Vs RL1-0
25/01/25HRL Vs Bayer Leverkusen2-2
22/01/25HRL Vs Sporting CP2-1
18/01/25AVfL Bochum Vs RL3-3
15/01/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs RL2-1
12/01/25HRL Vs Werder Bremen4-2

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25HFM0 Vs FC St. Pauli2-0
16/02/25A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FM00-2
08/02/25HFM0 Vs FC Augsburg0-0
31/01/25AWerder Bremen Vs FM01-0
25/01/25HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart2-0
19/01/25AUnion Berlin Vs FM02-1
14/01/25ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-0
11/01/25HFM0 Vs VfL Bochum2-0
21/12/24AEintracht Frankfurt Vs FM01-3
14/12/24HFM0 Vs Bayern München2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.48
HomeWWDWD1.75
AwayLDLDD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals3.102.923.27
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.721.791.65
Conceded1.381.121.62
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners9.9210.509.38
Cards4.584.125.00
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.42
HomeWWWDW1.65
AwayWLLLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.522.232.83
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %38%27%50%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.401.421.38
Conceded1.120.811.46
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners10.0810.659.46
Cards5.385.385.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches