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RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/12/2026
Time: 14:30
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Vs
63%
21%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RB Leipzig win
63.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win
15.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L50W21W10W31W31W14L21W14L30WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.332.381.191.711.50
vs Stronger (1)1.005.001.005.00--
vs Similar (6)1.332.002.002.000.672.00
vs Weaker (23)2.301.002.580.672.001.36
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W01L04L11D34L21W13L20W00DA·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04A·FC 03/05H·UNI10/05A·1. 16/05H·SC 29/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.471.001.201.60
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.004.001.252.00
vs Similar (25)1.281.081.360.791.181.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
RB Leipzig goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
04.8%3.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%
17.7%9.8%4.6%1.6%0.4%
29.5%9.9%5.1%1.8%0.5%
37.0%7.3%3.8%1.3%0.3%
43.9%4.0%2.1%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RB Leipzig goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
RB Leipzig is 0.74 points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
RB Leipzig is 0.65 goals better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
RB Leipzig is 0.18 goals better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
RB Leipzig is 9.9 percentage points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (54% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1507621353710464114113651338101410151411H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

5011231111411211211124215323H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

2701013713591276107796141381616523201419161415272421H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 5.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

150112367877446456484371391514869101210H·SC A·1. H·UNIA·FC H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

1001211211312255513221432343710445H·SC A·1. H·UNIA·FC H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

2608101281110810141081212111013161051118202118242023232616H·SC A·1. H·UNIA·FC H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.69.22.42.52.319.519.219.7
vs Stronger (4)11.011.510.02.52.52.518.014.026.0
vs Similar (10)10.910.211.72.52.82.221.921.522.3
vs Weaker (36)9.610.58.62.42.42.319.019.418.7
% over line55%50%61%34%28%40%29%35%22%
% under line45%50%39%66%72%60%71%65%78%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.68.63.63.43.821.723.120.3
vs Stronger (8)7.76.58.23.42.84.020.828.017.2
vs Similar (42)9.39.98.73.63.63.721.922.621.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%50%30%50%48%52%48%55%40%
% under line60%50%70%50%52%48%52%45%60%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.1%
Under 3.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
33.3%
Under 21.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
RB Leipzig or Draw
81.5%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
16%
covers RB Leipzig + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig or FSV Mainz 05
77.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
16%
covers RB Leipzig + FSV Mainz 05
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FSV Mainz 05
40.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
21%
16%
covers Draw + FSV Mainz 05
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5
Over
62.8%
Under
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5
Over
35.8%
Under
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 3.5
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5
Over
67.8%
Under
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to RB Leipzig, so a minus line means RB Leipzig give that many goals of a start and FSV Mainz 05 receive them. At -1, RB Leipzig must win by two or more to land; a one-goal RB Leipzig win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig -2
19.2%
Draw -2
18.1%
FSV Mainz 05 +2
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig -1
37.3%
Draw -1
21.9%
FSV Mainz 05 +1
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig +1
81.5%
Draw +1
11.2%
FSV Mainz 05 -1
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (RB Leipzig)
RB Leipzig +2
92.7%
Draw +2
5.1%
FSV Mainz 05 -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W10W00D11D20W02L10W12L10WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.060.250.790.64
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (6)0.830.831.330.670.331.00
vs Weaker (23)0.960.351.000.170.910.55
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D02L01L30W20W01L20W00DA·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04A·FC 03/05H·UNI10/05A·1. 16/05H·SC 29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.730.200.730.80
vs Stronger (5)1.001.003.000.000.501.25
vs Similar (25)0.680.400.570.210.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D10W20W11D12L11D02L20WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.901.310.940.930.86
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (6)0.501.170.671.330.331.00
vs Weaker (23)1.350.651.580.501.090.82
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D01L02L10W04L01L12L00D00DA·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04A·FC 03/05H·UNI10/05A·1. 16/05H·SC 29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.730.800.470.80
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.004.000.750.75
vs Similar (25)0.600.680.790.570.360.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.2%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Home +2 handicap92.7%-------
Under 25.5 fouls90.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.4%-------
Under 5.588.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.1%-------
Over 1.584.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.3%-------
Home or Draw81.5%-------
Home +1 handicap81.5%-------
Under 5.5 cards81.3%-------
Under 23.5 fouls80.5%-------
Home or Away77.8%-------
Under 4.577.0%-------
Over 2.5 cards73.4%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

RB Leipzig · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Diomande31%
Christoph Baumgartner30%
Rômulo28%
Assan Ouédraogo20%
Antonio Nusa14%
Brajan Gruda14%
Johan Bakayoko14%
Xaver Schlager10%
Conrad Harder9%
David Raum9%
Willi Orbán8%
Ezechiel Banzuzi7%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Benjamin Henrichs6%
Ridle Baku6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Castello Lukeba3%
Loïs Openda0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christoph Baumgartner30%
David Raum21%
Xaver Schlager20%
Ezechiel Banzuzi18%
Ridle Baku14%
Max Finkgräfe14%
Rômulo12%
Willi Orbán11%
Castello Lukeba10%
Conrad Harder9%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Brajan Gruda7%
Maarten Vandevoordt6%
Yan Diomande6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Johan Bakayoko5%
Péter Gulácsi4%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Raum24%
Brajan Gruda21%
Yan Diomande19%
Christoph Baumgartner19%
Assan Ouédraogo15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Rômulo12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ridle Baku11%
Antonio Nusa11%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Willi Orbán5%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Ezechiel Banzuzi4%
Castello Lukeba3%
Xaver Schlager3%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Johan Bakayoko0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoph Baumgartner38%
Loïs Openda33%
Yan Diomande22%
Rômulo22%
Antonio Nusa20%
Conrad Harder16%
Brajan Gruda14%
Assan Ouédraogo10%
Johan Bakayoko9%
David Raum3%
Ridle Baku3%
Nicolas Seiwald3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Willi Orbán0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Ezechiel Banzuzi0%
Max Finkgräfe0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
FSV Mainz 05 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
RB Leipzig's squad is €331m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€506m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
RB Leipzig's attack is €163m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€212m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
RB Leipzig's midfield is €30m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€109m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
RB Leipzig's defence is €138m more valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€185m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
RL wins
2
Draws
4
FM0 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from RL
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26HRL Vs FSV Mainz 051-2
13/09/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL0-1
01/03/25HRL Vs FSV Mainz 051-2
19/10/24AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL0-2
30/03/24HRL Vs FSV Mainz 050-0
04/11/23AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL2-0
01/04/23HRL Vs FSV Mainz 050-3
08/10/22AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL1-1

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HRL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0
16/05/26ASC Freiburg Vs RL4-1
09/05/26HRL Vs FC St. Pauli2-1
02/05/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs RL4-1
24/04/26HRL Vs Union Berlin3-1
18/04/26AEintracht Frankfurt Vs RL1-3
11/04/26HRL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1-0
04/04/26AWerder Bremen Vs RL1-2
20/03/26HRL Vs 1899 Hoffenheim5-0
15/03/26AVfB Stuttgart Vs RL1-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HFM0 Vs SC Paderborn 070-0
16/05/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FM00-2
10/05/26HFM0 Vs Union Berlin1-3
03/05/26AFC St. Pauli Vs FM01-2
25/04/26HFM0 Vs Bayern München3-4
19/04/26ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FM01-1
16/04/26AStrasbourg Vs FM04-0
12/04/26HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-1
09/04/26HFM0 Vs Strasbourg2-0
04/04/26A1899 Hoffenheim Vs FM01-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.74
HomeWWWWW2.04
AwayLWWLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.083.502.62
Over 1.5 %80%96%62%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.762.271.21
Conceded1.321.231.42
BTTS56%65%46%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners10.3610.779.92
Cards3.423.423.42
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.38
HomeWLLLD1.46
AwayWLDWW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals2.682.582.79
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.341.421.25
Conceded1.341.151.54
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners9.449.739.12
Cards4.344.044.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München13
100%
3.0
51+4
6.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
1076
5541873365.01.0
67%
2SC FreiburgSC Freiburg13
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
11.0
100%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
243
96361104.01.0
48%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
13.0
100%
1.0
0%
23.0
100%
506
2121091853.00.0
54%
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
2.0
0%
11.0
0%
161
6423743.00.0
44%
5Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
4.0
0%
4.0
100%
32.0
100%
529
1701462142.00.0
53%
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
33.0
100%
52
334143.02.0
-
71. FC Köln1. FC Köln13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.0
100%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
133
7219433.02.0
47%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
6.0
100%
21.0
0%
323
17478723.03.0
55%
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
6.0
100%
21.0
0%
123
4626503.03.0
40%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 0511
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
18.0
0%
175
4980470.00.0
44%
11SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0711
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
18.0
0%
43
1418110.00.0
52%
12Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
33.0
100%
499
246911622.03.0
59%
131899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.0
100%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
309
111105922.03.0
55%
14Hamburger SVHamburger SV10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
4.0
0%
4.0
100%
32.0
100%
117
4634370.02.0
45%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen10
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
11.0
100%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
119
5028411.04.0
51%
16Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
13.0
100%
1.0
0%
23.0
100%
129
5822490.03.0
47%
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0410
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
2.0
0%
11.0
0%
67
1724260.03.0
-
18VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart10
0%
0.0
15-4
6.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
430
193921451.05.0
58%
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

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