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RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 2-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Vs
66%
21%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RB Leipzig win✓ Hit
65.7%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.40
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 18.4% · @ 5.07
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV win✗ Miss
12.8%
Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.34
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L33D00D23L06L20W10W31W10W11DA·EIN26/04H·BAY03/05A·WER10/05H·VFB17/05A·BAY22/08H·1. 30/08A·FSV13/09H·1. 20/09A·VFL27/09A·BOR04/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.572.201.470.731.67
vs Stronger (3)1.334.673.003.000.505.50
vs Similar (7)1.711.712.001.801.001.50
vs Weaker (20)1.401.052.221.110.731.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W61W61W23L00D02L05L21W00D40WA·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09H·FSV05/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.202.711.141.621.25
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (11)1.450.731.830.671.000.80
vs Weaker (18)2.671.283.381.502.101.10
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.35-13.5%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 3.07+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.3%
RB Leipzig goals ↓
Hamburger SV goals →
01234
06.3%3.5%1.8%0.5%0.1%
110%10%3.9%1.1%0.2%
212%9.8%4.0%1.1%0.2%
38.2%6.8%2.8%0.8%0.2%
44.3%3.6%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RB Leipzig goals (down), columns = Hamburger SV goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
RB Leipzig is 0.79 points better than Hamburger SV in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
RB Leipzig is 0.76 goals better than Hamburger SV in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
RB Leipzig is 0.21 goals better than Hamburger SV in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
RB Leipzig is 8.5 percentage points better than Hamburger SV in terms of average possession (54% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 5.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

170771169553435558411274814171487101315912A·BORA·VFLH·1. A·FSVH·1. A·BAYH·VFBA·WERH·BAYA·EIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

703122111251413131314421751444A·BORA·VFLH·1. A·FSVH·1. A·BAYH·VFBA·WERH·BAYA·EIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

270141397108111271313139913696131027161823202618191523A·BORA·VFLH·1. A·FSVH·1. A·BAYH·VFBA·WERH·BAYA·EIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

For 3.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1301435112352567743636545813871311999H·FSVA·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

70233251224312143131335564735446H·FSVA·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

350141317181510141113191010131310510521927352525322026151530H·FSVA·UNIH·1. A·BAYH·FC A·BORA·SPVH·SSVH·ULMA·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.610.54.13.74.421.120.221.9
vs Stronger (3)9.39.09.55.34.06.020.015.022.5
vs Similar (14)11.411.611.34.43.45.421.219.123.3
vs Weaker (33)10.310.210.33.83.83.821.121.021.2
% over line60%67%54%64%54%73%46%33%58%
% under line40%33%46%36%46%27%54%67%42%
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.510.45.35.05.623.622.724.4
vs Stronger (1)8.0-8.04.0-4.025.0-25.0
vs Similar (20)10.29.810.85.25.25.123.825.222.1
vs Weaker (29)10.711.110.35.44.95.923.320.825.7
% over line54%52%56%82%84%80%60%60%60%
% under line46%48%44%18%16%20%40%40%40%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.1
RB Leipzig
10.5
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
1899 Hoffenheim
10.5
VfB Stuttgart
10.5
Hamburger SV
10.4
VfL Wolfsburg
10.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.1
FC Augsburg
10.1
FSV Mainz 05
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.6
Union Berlin
9.6
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
Bayer Leverkusen
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.4
FC St. Pauli
9.0
1. FC Heidenheim
9.0
SC Freiburg
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.4
VfB Stuttgart
5.0
Werder Bremen
4.9
FSV Mainz 05
4.7
VfL Wolfsburg
4.7
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
1. FC Heidenheim
4.6
Bayer Leverkusen
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.4
Union Berlin
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.2
RB Leipzig
4.1
Bayern München
4.0
Borussia Dortmund
4.0
SC Freiburg
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
1. FC Heidenheim
24.1
VfB Stuttgart
23.6
Hamburger SV
23.6
Union Berlin
23.1
1. FC Köln
23.0
SC Paderborn 07
22.8
FSV Mainz 05
22.8
1899 Hoffenheim
22.7
FC Augsburg
22.4
VfL Wolfsburg
21.7
Werder Bremen
21.6
Borussia Dortmund
21.1
Bayer Leverkusen
21.1
RB Leipzig
21.1
FC St. Pauli
21.0
SC Freiburg
20.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayern München
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.3%
Under 21.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D21W03L00D10W31W10W11DA·EIN26/04H·BAY03/05A·WER10/05H·VFB17/05A·BAY22/08H·1. 30/08A·FSV13/09H·1. 20/09A·VFL27/09A·BOR04/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.330.730.670.60
vs Stronger (3)1.002.002.000.000.503.00
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.200.801.000.50
vs Weaker (20)0.950.451.330.780.640.18
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W31W01L00D01L04L10W00D20WA·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09H·FSV05/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.360.640.620.81
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (11)0.820.360.830.330.800.40
vs Weaker (18)1.110.781.750.880.600.70
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L13L00D02L03L20W00D00D00D00DA·EIN26/04H·BAY03/05A·WER10/05H·VFB17/05A·BAY22/08H·1. 30/08A·FSV13/09H·1. 20/09A·VFL27/09A·BOR04/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.870.730.071.07
vs Stronger (3)0.332.671.003.000.002.50
vs Similar (7)0.571.000.801.000.001.00
vs Weaker (20)0.450.600.890.330.090.82
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W30W30W22D00D01L01L11D00D20WA·SV 03/05H·ULM10/05H·SSV10/05A·SPV18/05A·BOR24/08H·FC 29/08A·BAY13/09H·1. 20/09A·UNI28/09H·FSV05/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.471.360.501.000.44
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.361.000.330.200.40
vs Weaker (18)1.560.501.620.621.500.40
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

RB Leipzig
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Diomande31%
Christoph Baumgartner30%
Rômulo28%
Assan Ouédraogo20%
Antonio Nusa14%
Brajan Gruda14%
Johan Bakayoko14%
Xaver Schlager10%
Conrad Harder9%
David Raum9%
Willi Orbán8%
Ezechiel Banzuzi7%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Benjamin Henrichs6%
Ridle Baku6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Castello Lukeba3%
Loïs Openda0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christoph Baumgartner30%
David Raum21%
Xaver Schlager20%
Ezechiel Banzuzi18%
Ridle Baku14%
Max Finkgräfe14%
Rômulo12%
Willi Orbán11%
Castello Lukeba10%
Conrad Harder9%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Brajan Gruda7%
Maarten Vandevoordt6%
Yan Diomande6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Johan Bakayoko5%
Péter Gulácsi4%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Raum24%
Brajan Gruda21%
Yan Diomande19%
Christoph Baumgartner19%
Assan Ouédraogo15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Rômulo12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ridle Baku11%
Antonio Nusa11%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Willi Orbán5%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Ezechiel Banzuzi4%
Castello Lukeba3%
Xaver Schlager3%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Johan Bakayoko0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoph Baumgartner38%
Loïs Openda33%
Yan Diomande22%
Rômulo22%
Antonio Nusa20%
Conrad Harder16%
Brajan Gruda14%
Assan Ouédraogo10%
Johan Bakayoko9%
David Raum3%
Ridle Baku3%
Nicolas Seiwald3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Willi Orbán0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Ezechiel Banzuzi0%
Max Finkgräfe0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Hamburger SV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Vieira23%
Robert Glatzel20%
Luka Vušković20%
Albert Sambi Lokonga19%
Jean-Luc Dompé14%
Albert Grønbæk14%
Rayan Philippe13%
Bakery Jatta12%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer11%
Philip Otele11%
Yussuf Poulsen6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolás Capaldo4%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Miro Muheim0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolás Capaldo38%
Nicolai Remberg38%
Philip Otele33%
Yussuf Poulsen25%
Daniel Elfadli23%
Miro Muheim23%
Aboubaka Soumahoro20%
Luka Vušković20%
Jonas Meffert17%
Jordan Torunarigha15%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit15%
Immanuel Pherai14%
Albert Sambi Lokonga12%
William Mikelbrencis12%
Fábio Vieira10%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili8%
Rayan Philippe7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer6%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Damion Downs0%
Otto Stange0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Grønbæk29%
Fábio Vieira16%
Miro Muheim16%
William Mikelbrencis15%
Nicolás Capaldo12%
Philip Otele11%
Robert Glatzel10%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit8%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolai Remberg6%
Warmed Omari5%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili4%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Rayan Philippe0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Luka Vušković0%
Otto Stange0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Vieira23%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer17%
Rayan Philippe10%
Miro Muheim10%
Jean-Luc Dompé10%
Nicolás Capaldo8%
Luka Vušković7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Robert Glatzel5%
Albert Sambi Lokonga4%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Philip Otele0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Fabio Baldé0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
RB Leipzig's squad is €389m more valuable than Hamburger SV's (€506m vs €117m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
RB Leipzig's attack is €167m more valuable than Hamburger SV's (€212m vs €46m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
RB Leipzig's midfield is €75m more valuable than Hamburger SV's (€109m vs €34m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
RB Leipzig's defence is €147m more valuable than Hamburger SV's (€185m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
RL wins
1
Draws
1
HS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV · H/A from RL
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/18HRL Vs Hamburger SV1-1
08/09/17AHamburger SV Vs RL0-2
11/02/17HRL Vs Hamburger SV0-3
17/09/16AHamburger SV Vs RL0-4

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25ABorussia Dortmund Vs RL1-1
27/09/25AVfL Wolfsburg Vs RL0-1
20/09/25HRL Vs 1. FC Köln3-1
13/09/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs RL0-1
30/08/25HRL Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-0
22/08/25ABayern München Vs RL6-0
17/05/25HRL Vs VfB Stuttgart2-3
10/05/25AWerder Bremen Vs RL0-0
03/05/25HRL Vs Bayern München3-3
26/04/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs RL4-0

Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25HHS Vs FSV Mainz 054-0
28/09/25AUnion Berlin Vs HS0-0
20/09/25HHS Vs 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
13/09/25ABayern München Vs HS5-0
29/08/25HHS Vs FC St. Pauli0-2
24/08/25ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs HS0-0
18/05/25ASpVgg Greuther Fürth Vs HS3-2
10/05/25HHS Vs SSV Ulm 18466-1
10/05/25HHS Vs Ulm6-1
03/05/25ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs HS0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.38
HomeDDLWW1.67
AwayDLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals2.923.252.62
Over 1.5 %70%83%58%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %42%50%35%
Scored1.441.881.04
Conceded1.481.381.58
BTTS54%67%42%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners10.5410.5810.50
Cards4.083.714.42
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.70
HomeWWLWW1.96
AwayWLDLD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.363.683.04
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %52%60%44%
Scored2.162.641.68
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners10.4410.5210.36
Cards5.415.255.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches