Reading are tipped to win, with a 48% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of Blackpool winning. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the most probable total of two goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% probability. Reading’s home form shows they average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similar opposition, while Blackpool’s away form averages 1.07 scored and 1.64 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.0% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.4% with a 4% edge) and Under 5.5 (92.2% with no edge). Reading’s recent five games include a two-game winning run, while Blackpool are coming off a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Reading win
48.3%
Avg Implied 46.9% · @ 1.99
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Dafabet
2.04
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.50
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.76
Betfair
3.70
1xBet
3.62
Marathonbet
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Blackpool win
25.8%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Reading
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
2.00
1.43
1.25
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
1.80
1.75
1.75
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.52
1.16
2.10
1.30
1.13
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.53
1.50
1.21
1.06
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.43
1.50
1.21
1.07
1.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.2%
@ 1.23+4.7%
Under 1.5
19.8%
@ 3.79-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.03
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.78+3.4%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.99-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.9%
@ 2.90+1.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
@ 1.36-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
Betano
2.85
Under
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.64+2.5%
No
41.2%
@ 2.12-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.65
William Hil
1.65
No
BetVictor
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.36+5.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.89+3.9%
1-0
8.0%@ 7.61+2.2%
2-0
7.9%@ 9.52+3.2%
1-2
6.7%@ 10.68+2.5%
0-0
6.4%@ 10.98+2.3%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.32+2.2%
3-1
5.5%@ 13.94+2.3%
Reading goals ↓
Blackpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.3%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.0%
12%
6.7%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.6%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.5%
5.5%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reading goals (down), columns = Blackpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Reading is 0.07 points better than Blackpool in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Reading is 0.22 goals better than Blackpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Reading is 0.11 goals better than Blackpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Reading is 3.9 percentage points better than Blackpool in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reading
For 5.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackpool
For 5.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reading
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.0
9.7
3.5
3.3
3.6
22.5
21.6
23.4
vs Stronger (9)
8.3
6.8
10.2
3.4
3.2
3.8
21.4
21.2
21.8
vs Similar (40)
9.6
9.5
9.6
3.5
3.5
3.6
22.8
21.7
23.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
33%
44%
48%
40%
56%
59%
58%
60%
% under line
61%
67%
56%
52%
60%
44%
41%
42%
40%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.4
12.0
3.7
3.4
4.1
23.1
23.9
22.2
vs Stronger (1)
20.0
-
20.0
4.0
-
4.0
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (45)
10.5
9.5
11.5
3.9
3.5
4.3
23.1
23.9
22.3
vs Weaker (4)
10.3
8.5
14.0
1.8
2.3
0.0
23.3
23.5
23.0
% over line
61%
52%
71%
52%
42%
62%
63%
68%
58%
% under line
39%
48%
29%
48%
58%
38%
37%
32%
42%
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.5%
@ 1.88+12.0%
Under 9.5
38.5%
@ 1.84-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.98
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Under
Unibet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.82
Betano
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.5%
Under 21.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Reading or Draw
74.2%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.9%
48%
26%
26%
covers Reading + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Reading or Blackpool
74.1%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.1%
48%
26%
26%
covers Reading + Blackpool
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Blackpool
51.7%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.78
Edge
-0.9%
48%
26%
26%
covers Draw + Blackpool
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Reading over/under 0.5
Over
82.2%
@ 1.18+3.6%
Under
17.8%
@ 4.33-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.35
Reading over/under 1.5
Over
51.4%
@ 1.90+2.5%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.82-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Reading over/under 2.5
Over
24.9%
@ 3.86+0.9%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.22-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
Pinnacle
3.89
Unibet
3.85
Under
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Reading over/under 3.5
Over
9.7%
@ 8.75-1.2%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Blackpool over/under 0.5
Over
70.2%
@ 1.35+2.0%
Under
29.8%
@ 2.91-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Blackpool over/under 1.5
Over
34.2%
@ 2.78+0.7%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.40-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Unibet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Blackpool over/under 2.5
Over
12.3%
@ 7.14-0.7%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.07+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Blackpool over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
@ 16.00-2.5%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Reading, so a minus line means Reading give that many goals of a start and Blackpool receive them. At -1, Reading must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Reading win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Reading)
Reading -2
11.7%
@ 7.72+0.1%
Draw -2
15.0%
@ 5.67-0.8%
Blackpool +2
73.3%
@ 1.24+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Handicap -1 (Reading)
Reading -1
26.7%
@ 3.53+1.3%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.72-2.6%
Blackpool +1
51.7%
@ 1.78+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Reading)
Reading +1
74.2%
@ 1.28+3.3%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 5.20-2.6%
Blackpool -1
10.9%
@ 7.74-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Handicap +2 (Reading)
Reading +2
89.1%
@ 1.06+2.2%
Draw +2
7.4%
@ 11.00-1.0%
Blackpool -2
3.5%
@ 19.50-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
18.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reading
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
1.21
0.43
0.56
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.60
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.36
1.10
0.40
0.53
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.64
0.79
0.38
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.50
0.64
0.79
0.43
0.21
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.33+0.7%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 3.06-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.59-0.2%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.44+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Under
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 6.51-0.3%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.08+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.0%
@ 1.80-0.4%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.91+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Reading over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.7%
@ 5.17-1.1%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.12+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Betano
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Reading over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.5%
@ 12.88-3.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.8%
@ 2.29-2.7%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.56+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 8.07-1.8%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reading
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.79
1.00
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.25
1.25
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.80
1.00
0.90
0.60
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Blackpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.86
0.43
0.69
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.93
0.86
0.43
0.64
1.43
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.21+2.5%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 4.03-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.15
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.9%
@ 2.00-1.6%
Under 1.5
55.1%
@ 1.74+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
William Hil
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 4.16-3.3%
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.20+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.5%
@ 1.56+1.0%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.29-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.06
Reading over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.8%
@ 3.56-5.2%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.25+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Reading over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 8.97-5.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.3%
@ 1.90-3.6%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.81+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.3%
@ 5.60-4.2%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
@ 14.00-4.2%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.6%
Under 5.5
92.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
+1.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+1.8%
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+2.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
87.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+0.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+4.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+0.3%
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+1.1%
Under 4.5
82.6%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-0.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
82.2%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
+3.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.20
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+3.3%
Over 1.5
80.2%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
+4.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+2.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.25
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+5.2%
Under 25.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
75.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-0.9%
Home or Draw
74.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+0.9%
Home +1 handicap
74.2%
1.28
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
+3.3%
Home or Away
74.1%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-0.1%
Away +2 handicap
73.3%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+0.7%
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
1.50
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.46
Betfair
1.45
+11.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.33
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.33
+0.7%
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.2%
1.35
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
+2.0%
Over 2.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Brown50%
J. Marriott33%
George Earthy33%
R. Williams25%
P. Lane25%
Benn Ward25%
Joel Pereira0%
U. Godwin-Malife0%
L. Wing0%
A. Rinomhota0%
P. O'Connor0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
D. Kyerewaa0%
C. Savage0%
Kyreece Lisbie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Rinomhota33%
P. O'Connor33%
Jeriel Dorsett33%
Joel Pereira25%
R. Williams25%
C. Savage25%
Benn Ward25%
U. Godwin-Malife0%
J. Marriott0%
L. Wing0%
J. Brown0%
D. Kyerewaa0%
P. Lane0%
George Earthy0%
Kyreece Lisbie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
L. Wing33%
Jeriel Dorsett33%
Kyreece Lisbie33%
R. Williams25%
D. Kyerewaa25%
P. Lane25%
Joel Pereira0%
U. Godwin-Malife0%
J. Marriott0%
A. Rinomhota0%
J. Brown0%
P. O'Connor0%
C. Savage0%
George Earthy0%
Benn Ward0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Kyerewaa25%
P. Lane25%
Benn Ward25%
Joel Pereira0%
U. Godwin-Malife0%
R. Williams0%
J. Marriott0%
L. Wing0%
A. Rinomhota0%
J. Brown0%
P. O'Connor0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
C. Savage0%
George Earthy0%
Kyreece Lisbie0%
Blackpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler60%
Dion Charles33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
J. Williams20%
Leighton Clarkson20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Munroe50%
Hayden Coulson33%
Z. Ashworth33%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton20%
J. Williams20%
G. Honeyman20%
Josh Bowler20%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dion Charles33%
B. Peacock-Farrell20%
G. Honeyman20%
Oliver Casey20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler40%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Reading's squad is €1m less valuable than Blackpool's (€10m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Reading and Blackpool have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Reading and Blackpool have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Reading and Blackpool have a similar defence value (both €4m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe