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Reading vs Luton Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 1-1
Reading
Reading
Vs
26%
31%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Luton
Luton
England: Championship
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reading win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 5.13
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.40
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Luton win✗ Miss
42.4%
Avg Implied 53.5% · @ 1.78
Edge
-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ReadingReading

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W05L01L01L12L11D11D11D12L00DH·BLA25/02A·MID04/03H·SHE07/03H·MIL11/03A·BLA15/03H·HUL18/03A·BRI01/04H·BIR07/04A·PRE10/04H·BUR15/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.531.211.070.751.94
vs Stronger (24)0.831.540.911.000.772.00
vs Similar (6)1.501.502.331.330.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D10W10W10W11D20W00D31W20WA·BIR25/02H·MIL28/02H·SWA04/03A·SHE11/03H·BRI15/03A·SUN18/03H·WAT01/04A·MIL07/04H·BLA10/04A·ROT15/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.771.430.791.060.75
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.280.801.640.821.000.79
vs Weaker (3)1.000.330.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.3%
@ 2.49-0.7%
Under 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.53+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
Reading goals ↓
Luton goals →
01234
013%13%8.8%3.7%1.2%
19.2%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
24.9%6.1%3.8%1.6%0.5%
31.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
40.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reading goals (down), columns = Luton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Reading is 0.65 points worse than Luton in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Reading is 0.24 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Reading is 0.63 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 0.85).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Reading is 3.8 percentage points worse than Luton in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ReadingReading

For 2.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

140372954101946223416381011514101047711H·BURA·PREH·BIRA·BRIH·HULA·BLAH·MILH·SHEA·MIDH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

50312111232132122114325351231H·BURA·PREH·BIRA·BRIH·HULA·BLAH·MILH·SHEA·MIDH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

3308131091178111518771514971313111021191819331429162621H·BURA·PREH·BIRA·BRIH·HULA·BLAH·MILH·SHEA·MIDH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

For 5.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

12062754493267243436272812812897789A·ROTH·BLAA·MILH·WATA·SUNH·BRIA·SHEH·SWAH·MILA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

70521221234432221117335472412A·ROTH·BLAA·MILH·WATA·SUNH·BRIA·SHEH·SWAH·MILA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

3301617149137141216715129111711111291133232026232720282320A·ROTH·BLAA·MILH·WATA·SUNH·BRIA·SHEH·SWAH·MILA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReadingReading

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.89.83.63.83.421.222.120.4
vs Stronger (36)9.48.89.93.63.93.221.422.420.5
vs Similar (14)9.18.69.73.63.43.720.721.320.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%52%52%52%60%44%40%36%44%
% under line48%48%48%48%40%56%60%64%56%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.09.64.14.04.123.123.123.0
vs Stronger (3)9.310.08.06.78.04.030.033.523.0
vs Similar (42)10.411.19.73.73.53.922.322.422.2
vs Weaker (5)10.010.79.05.44.76.525.220.732.0
% over line56%68%44%58%56%60%54%60%48%
% under line44%32%56%42%44%40%46%40%52%
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.9
Rotherham
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Watford
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Bristol City
10.4
Luton
10.3
QPR
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Burnley
10.2
Coventry
10.2
Huddersfield
10.1
Hull
10.1
Blackpool
10.1
Birmingham
10.0
Preston
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Cardiff
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Millwall
9.6
Sunderland
9.5
Reading
9.3
Wigan
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sheffield United
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Watford
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Preston
4.3
Cardiff
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Middlesbrough
4.1
Luton
4.1
Birmingham
4.0
Coventry
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Burnley
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Norwich
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Blackpool
3.6
Reading
3.6
West Brom
3.4
Hull
3.3
Millwall
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Luton
23.1
Watford
22.4
Stoke
22.2
Blackpool
22.2
Wigan
22.2
QPR
22.1
Swansea
21.9
Birmingham
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.4
Preston
21.3
Reading
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Millwall
21.0
Sheffield United
20.8
Burnley
20.8
Bristol City
20.7
Rotherham
20.4
Coventry
20.2
Cardiff
20.1
Hull
20.1
Blackburn
20.0
Huddersfield
19.8
West Brom
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
73.9%
Under 9.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.5%
Under 21.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ReadingReading

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D01L01L11D01L11D00D00DH·BLA25/02A·MID04/03H·SHE07/03H·MIL11/03A·BLA15/03H·HUL18/03A·BRI01/04H·BIR07/04A·PRE10/04H·BUR15/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.430.430.250.75
vs Stronger (24)0.250.620.270.450.230.77
vs Similar (6)0.670.501.000.330.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W00D10W00D10W00D11D10WA·BIR25/02H·MIL28/02H·SWA04/03A·SHE11/03H·BRI15/03A·SUN18/03H·WAT01/04A·MIL07/04H·BLA10/04A·ROT15/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.640.290.380.44
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.400.730.270.360.50
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ReadingReading

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W03L01L00D11D00D10W00D12L00DH·BLA25/02A·MID04/03H·SHE07/03H·MIL11/03A·BLA15/03H·HUL18/03A·BRI01/04H·BIR07/04A·PRE10/04H·BUR15/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.790.640.501.19
vs Stronger (24)0.580.920.640.550.541.23
vs Similar (6)0.831.001.331.000.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D10W00D11D10W00D20W10WA·BIR25/02H·MIL28/02H·SWA04/03A·SHE11/03H·BRI15/03A·SUN18/03H·WAT01/04A·MIL07/04H·BLA10/04A·ROT15/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.790.500.690.31
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.400.910.550.640.29
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners83.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.582.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners73.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls71.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andy Carroll30%
Thomas Ince21%
Lucas João18%
Yakou Méïté15%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan12%
Jeff Hendrick7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Tyrese Fornah6%
Tom McIntyre5%
Naby Sarr4%
Amadou Salif Mbengue4%
Mamadou Loum3%
Shane Long3%
Junior Hoilett3%
Andy Yiadom0%
Scott Dann0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Joe Lumley0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Liam Moore0%
Ovie Ejaria0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Femi Azeez0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
John Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Loum38%
Andy Yiadom34%
Abdul Baba Rahman28%
Thomas Holmes28%
Sam Hutchinson27%
Amadou Salif Mbengue23%
Andy Carroll20%
Dean Bouzanis20%
Thomas Ince16%
Scott Dann15%
Joe Lumley15%
Ovie Ejaria12%
Kelvin Abrefa12%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan12%
Junior Hoilett12%
Yakou Méïté11%
Tyrese Fornah9%
Naby Sarr8%
Tom McIntyre8%
Nesta Guinness-Walker7%
Jeff Hendrick7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Shane Long3%
Lucas João0%
Liam Moore0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Femi Azeez0%
Mamadi Camara0%
John Clarke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ovie Ejaria12%
Yakou Méïté11%
Thomas Ince11%
Femi Azeez10%
Sam Hutchinson9%
Andy Carroll7%
Lucas João6%
Tyrese Fornah6%
Naby Sarr4%
Nesta Guinness-Walker4%
Mamadou Loum3%
Shane Long3%
Tom McIntyre3%
Andy Yiadom2%
Joe Lumley2%
Jeff Hendrick2%
Scott Dann0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Liam Moore0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
John Clarke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andy Carroll13%
Thomas Ince11%
Jeff Hendrick9%
Yakou Méïté7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Lucas João6%
Junior Hoilett3%
Andy Yiadom2%
Mamadou Loum0%
Scott Dann0%
Shane Long0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Joe Lumley0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Liam Moore0%
Ovie Ejaria0%
Naby Sarr0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Tyrese Fornah0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Femi Azeez0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
John Clarke0%
Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris38%
Elijah Adebayo16%
Luke Berry13%
Henri Lansbury10%
Gabriel Osho10%
Tom Lockyer10%
Reece Burke9%
Luke Freeman8%
Cauley Woodrow7%
Jordan Clark7%
Allan Campbell7%
Alfie Doughty6%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu6%
Harry Cornick5%
Daniel Potts4%
Amari'i Bell2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
James Bree0%
Sonny Bradley0%
Cameron Jerome0%
Elliot Thorpe0%
Cody Drameh0%
Louie Watson0%
Joe Taylor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alfie Doughty35%
Henri Lansbury30%
Carlton Morris23%
Cody Drameh21%
Jordan Clark20%
Elijah Adebayo18%
Tom Lockyer17%
Sonny Bradley16%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu15%
Marvelous Nakamba15%
Allan Campbell14%
Reece Burke14%
Gabriel Osho13%
Luke Berry13%
Daniel Potts12%
James Bree11%
Cauley Woodrow11%
Amari'i Bell11%
Luke Freeman8%
Fred Onyedinma5%
Harry Cornick5%
Cameron Jerome5%
Ethan Horvath0%
Elliot Thorpe0%
Louie Watson0%
Joe Taylor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alfie Doughty19%
Harry Cornick16%
James Bree15%
Carlton Morris13%
Fred Onyedinma11%
Cody Drameh11%
Jordan Clark10%
Elijah Adebayo9%
Cameron Jerome5%
Allan Campbell5%
Luke Freeman4%
Cauley Woodrow4%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu3%
Tom Lockyer2%
Amari'i Bell2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Henri Lansbury0%
Reece Burke0%
Sonny Bradley0%
Daniel Potts0%
Luke Berry0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Elliot Thorpe0%
Louie Watson0%
Joe Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Carlton Morris30%
Elijah Adebayo16%
Cauley Woodrow7%
Tom Lockyer7%
Gabriel Osho3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Henri Lansbury0%
Reece Burke0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Luke Freeman0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
James Bree0%
Sonny Bradley0%
Daniel Potts0%
Luke Berry0%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Harry Cornick0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Jordan Clark0%
Allan Campbell0%
Cameron Jerome0%
Elliot Thorpe0%
Cody Drameh0%
Louie Watson0%
Joe Taylor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Reading's squad is €19m less valuable than Luton's (€10m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Reading's attack is €10m less valuable than Luton's (€3m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Reading's midfield is €1m less valuable than Luton's (€3m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Reading's defence is €8m less valuable than Luton's (€4m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
REA wins
2
Draws
2
LUT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Reading vs Luton · H/A from REA
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/22ALuton Vs REA0-0
07/05/22ALuton Vs REA1-0
19/01/22HREA Vs Luton0-2
21/04/21ALuton Vs REA0-0
26/12/20HREA Vs Luton2-1

ReadingReading

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23HREA Vs Burnley0-0
10/04/23APreston Vs REA2-1
07/04/23HREA Vs Birmingham1-1
01/04/23ABristol City Vs REA1-1
18/03/23HREA Vs Hull1-1
15/03/23ABlackburn Vs REA2-1
11/03/23HREA Vs Millwall0-1
07/03/23HREA Vs Sheffield United0-1
04/03/23AMiddlesbrough Vs REA5-0
25/02/23HREA Vs Blackpool3-1

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23ARotherham Vs LUT0-2
10/04/23HLUT Vs Blackpool3-1
07/04/23AMillwall Vs LUT0-0
01/04/23HLUT Vs Watford2-0
18/03/23ASunderland Vs LUT1-1
15/03/23HLUT Vs Bristol City1-0
11/03/23ASheffield United Vs LUT0-1
04/03/23HLUT Vs Swansea1-0
28/02/23HLUT Vs Millwall2-2
25/02/23ABirmingham Vs LUT0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Reading
Reading
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.12
HomeLLDDD1.60
AwayLLLDL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.582.642.52
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.061.440.68
Conceded1.521.201.84
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners9.308.769.84
Cards3.563.763.36
Luton
Luton
England: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.72
HomeDWWWW1.72
AwayWWDDW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.182.282.08
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %30%36%24%
Over 3.5 %18%28%8%
Scored1.201.361.04
Conceded0.980.921.04
BTTS42%52%32%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners10.2810.969.60
Cards4.064.004.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches