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Reading vs Luton Result & Analysis

Date: 18/12/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 3-2
Reading
Reading
Vs
41%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Referee: E Duckworth

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reading win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.61
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.10
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Luton win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.74
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ReadingReading

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L10W11D22D10W11D30W12L02LA·EXE11/10A·CAR18/10H·NOR21/10H·DON25/10H·CAR01/11H·STE06/11H·ROT22/11A·BLA29/11H·PET09/12A·BRA13/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.231.131.201.531.27
vs Stronger (4)1.001.25--1.001.25
vs Similar (24)1.291.211.071.141.601.30
vs Weaker (2)2.501.502.002.003.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W43W30W00D05L21W11D22D11D22DA·NOR25/10H·FOR31/10A·STO08/11H·ROT15/11A·BAR22/11H·HUD25/11H·BOL29/11A·FLE06/12A·LEY09/12H·POR13/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.331.271.071.401.60
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (17)1.291.531.251.001.332.00
vs Weaker (12)1.421.081.331.171.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.18-0.8%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
Reading goals ↓
Luton goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.2%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.1%8.5%4.4%1.6%0.4%
33.5%3.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reading goals (down), columns = Luton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Reading is 0.24 points worse than Luton in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Reading is 0.09 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.48).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Reading is 0.09 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Reading is 5.5 percentage points worse than Luton in terms of average possession (50% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ReadingReading

For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

14023535243471684104554558771171214109A·BRAH·PETA·BLAH·ROTH·STEH·DONH·NORA·CARA·EXEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

70311312334113111214415723123A·BRAH·PETA·BLAH·ROTH·STEH·DONH·NORA·CARA·EXEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

2801112131214969121699991291314131323252315281818212726A·BRAH·PETA·BLAH·ROTH·STEH·DONH·NORA·CARA·EXEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

For 6.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1908422132127423435261065112415196788166H·PORA·LEYH·BOLH·HUDA·BARH·ROTA·STOH·FORA·NORH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

50122112122114121223331425340H·PORA·LEYH·BOLH·HUDA·BARH·ROTA·STOH·FORA·NORH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

290119181187916913899127101210121220291525221721172224H·PORA·LEYH·BOLH·HUDA·BARH·ROTA·STOH·FORA·NORH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReadingReading

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.810.03.33.72.822.622.922.3
vs Stronger (9)7.06.27.82.92.83.023.022.823.2
vs Similar (38)9.79.310.13.54.22.722.623.122.1
vs Weaker (3)13.58.019.02.01.04.020.519.022.0
% over line42%32%52%46%52%39%67%72%61%
% under line58%68%48%54%48%61%33%28%39%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.09.63.43.63.323.123.023.2
vs Stronger (3)6.05.07.01.73.01.021.528.015.0
vs Similar (35)10.812.49.53.94.23.623.623.823.5
vs Weaker (12)9.28.210.42.52.22.821.820.024.0
% over line54%57%52%48%39%56%60%57%64%
% under line46%43%48%52%61%44%40%43%36%
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Huddersfield
10.9
Wigan
10.4
Luton
10.4
Doncaster
10.2
Plymouth
10.0
Leyton Orient
10.0
Barnsley
10.0
Burton
9.8
Port Vale
9.8
Cardiff
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Bolton
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Reading
9.5
Mansfield
9.4
Exeter
9.3
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Bradford
9.2
Northampton
9.1
Lincoln
9.1
Peterboro
9.1
Wycombe
9.0
Stevenage
9.0
Stockport
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
4.5
Bradford
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Exeter
3.9
Lincoln
3.8
Plymouth
3.7
Port Vale
3.7
Burton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Stevenage
3.6
Doncaster
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Mansfield
3.6
Wigan
3.5
Luton
3.5
Cardiff
3.4
Reading
3.4
Rotherham
3.4
Northampton
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.4
Blackpool
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bradford
25.0
Bolton
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Peterboro
24.3
Exeter
24.2
Stockport
23.7
Mansfield
23.6
Huddersfield
23.4
Doncaster
23.4
Wigan
23.3
Northampton
23.3
Lincoln
23.3
Rotherham
23.3
Plymouth
23.2
Luton
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Wycombe
23.1
Cardiff
22.7
Reading
22.6
Blackpool
22.2
Port Vale
21.8
Burton
21.5
Barnsley
21.1
Leyton Orient
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.5%
Under 9.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ReadingReading

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W00D00D10W10W01L10W01L00DA·EXE11/10A·CAR18/10H·NOR21/10H·DON25/10H·CAR01/11H·STE06/11H·ROT22/11A·BLA29/11H·PET09/12A·BRA13/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.330.270.330.670.33
vs Stronger (4)0.500.25--0.500.25
vs Similar (24)0.420.380.210.360.700.40
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W20W00D03L10W01L00D00D11DA·NOR25/10H·FOR31/10A·STO08/11H·ROT15/11A·BAR22/11H·HUD25/11H·BOL29/11A·FLE06/12A·LEY09/12H·POR13/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.530.400.400.60
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (17)0.410.650.380.380.440.89
vs Weaker (12)0.500.250.670.330.330.17
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ReadingReading

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W11D12L00D10W20W11D02LA·EXE11/10A·CAR18/10H·NOR21/10H·DON25/10H·CAR01/11H·STE06/11H·ROT22/11A·BLA29/11H·PET09/12A·BRA13/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.900.870.870.870.93
vs Stronger (4)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.830.860.790.900.90
vs Weaker (2)1.501.501.002.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L10W00D02L11D10W22D11D11DA·NOR25/10H·FOR31/10A·STO08/11H·ROT15/11A·BAR22/11H·HUD25/11H·BOL29/11A·FLE06/12A·LEY09/12H·POR13/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.730.671.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (17)0.880.880.880.620.891.11
vs Weaker (12)0.920.830.670.831.170.83
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls74.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Marriott58%
Lewis Wing21%
Andre Garcia17%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan16%
Mamadi Camara15%
Will Keane14%
Daniel Kyerewaa14%
Randell Williams13%
Kami Doyle9%
Paudie O’Connor8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Jeriel Dorsett5%
Charlie Savage4%
Matt Ritchie4%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Ryan33%
Paudie O’Connor31%
Ashqar Ahmed27%
Matty Jacob27%
Charlie Savage22%
Haydon Roberts21%
Derrick Williams21%
Andy Yiadom21%
Daniel Kyerewaa19%
Finley Burns18%
Matt Ritchie18%
Sean Patton17%
Jeriel Dorsett15%
Michael Stickland14%
Kadan Young14%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan14%
Benn Ward12%
Lewis Wing11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Ben Elliott9%
Kami Doyle9%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Mamadi Camara8%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Mark O'Mahony5%
Joel Pereira2%
Randell Williams0%
Jack Marriott0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tivonge Rushesha33%
Lewis Wing21%
Matt Ritchie18%
Kami Doyle14%
Jack Marriott12%
Charlie Savage9%
Daniel Kyerewaa8%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Randell Williams7%
Paddy Lane6%
Derrick Williams4%
Jeriel Dorsett2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jack Marriott21%
Lewis Wing13%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan11%
Paddy Lane8%
Daniel Kyerewaa6%
Charlie Savage4%
Kami Doyle2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Randell Williams0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Finley Burns0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Andre Garcia0%
Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasey Palmer35%
Jordan Clark32%
Gideon Kodua22%
Jake Richards17%
Shayden Morris16%
Nahki Wells15%
Hakeem Odofin11%
Lamine Fanne9%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Kal Naismith8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Millenic Alli6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Isaiah Jones6%
George Saville5%
Nigel Lonwijk5%
Zack Nelson5%
Liam Walsh3%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasey Palmer30%
Jacob Brown29%
Nigel Lonwijk23%
Joseph Gbode20%
George Saville18%
Kal Naismith18%
Millenic Alli18%
Josh Keeley17%
Liam Walsh17%
Davy van den Berg13%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Jordan Clark11%
Zack Nelson10%
Teden Mengi9%
Christ Makosso9%
Lamine Fanne9%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Hakeem Odofin6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Jerry Yates4%
Nahki Wells2%
Gideon Kodua2%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Shayden Morris0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås0%
Reuell Walters0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emilio Lawrence29%
Liam Walsh23%
Lamine Fanne13%
George Saville13%
Millenic Alli12%
Nahki Wells10%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Jordan Clark8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Isaiah Jones6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Kal Naismith5%
Kasey Palmer5%
Zack Nelson5%
Shayden Morris3%
Cohen Bramall3%
Gideon Kodua2%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Christ Makosso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Clark27%
Emilio Lawrence24%
Millenic Alli18%
Nahki Wells18%
Kasey Palmer15%
Gideon Kodua10%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Shayden Morris6%
Liam Walsh6%
Zack Nelson5%
Lamine Fanne4%
Cohen Bramall3%
Kal Naismith3%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
George Saville0%
Jerry Yates0%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
Jake Richards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Reading's squad is €19m less valuable than Luton's (€10m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Reading's attack is €10m less valuable than Luton's (€3m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Reading's midfield is €1m less valuable than Luton's (€3m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Reading's defence is €8m less valuable than Luton's (€4m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
REA wins
3
Draws
2
LUT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Reading vs Luton · H/A from REA
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/23HREA Vs Luton1-1
01/11/22ALuton Vs REA0-0
07/05/22ALuton Vs REA1-0
19/01/22HREA Vs Luton0-2
21/04/21ALuton Vs REA0-0
26/12/20HREA Vs Luton2-1

ReadingReading

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25ABradford Vs REA2-0
09/12/25HREA Vs Peterboro1-2
29/11/25ABlackpool Vs REA0-3
22/11/25HREA Vs Rotherham1-1
06/11/25HREA Vs Stevenage1-0
01/11/25HREA Vs Carlisle2-2
25/10/25HREA Vs Doncaster1-1
21/10/25HREA Vs Northampton1-0
18/10/25ACardiff Vs REA2-1
11/10/25AExeter Vs REA1-1

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25HLUT Vs Port Vale2-2
09/12/25ALeyton Orient Vs LUT1-1
06/12/25AFleetwood Town Vs LUT2-2
29/11/25HLUT Vs Bolton1-1
25/11/25HLUT Vs Huddersfield2-1
22/11/25ABarnsley Vs LUT5-0
15/11/25HLUT Vs Rotherham0-0
08/11/25AStockport Vs LUT0-3
31/10/25HLUT Vs Forest Green4-3
25/10/25ANorthampton Vs LUT0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Reading
Reading
England: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.48
HomeDDWDL1.67
AwayDDLWL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%30%
AVG goals2.482.332.65
Over 1.5 %78%70%87%
Over 2.5 %44%41%48%
Over 3.5 %22%19%26%
Scored1.321.301.35
Conceded1.161.041.30
BTTS60%63%57%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners9.408.8010.04
Cards3.424.002.78
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.20
HomeWDWDD1.48
AwayWWLDD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%39%26%
AVG goals2.381.912.78
Over 1.5 %64%43%81%
Over 2.5 %38%26%48%
Over 3.5 %22%17%26%
Scored1.041.001.07
Conceded1.340.911.70
BTTS42%39%44%
Clean Sheet28%35%22%
Corners10.2310.969.56
Cards3.563.613.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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