Real Betis is expected to win this match, with the model predicting a home win as the most likely outcome. The recent form of the teams is a storyline worth noting, with Real Betis coming off a win and Real Sociedad coming off a draw. Real Betis has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 1.86 goals and conceding 0.71 goals per match against similar opponents. Real Sociedad, on the other hand, has been struggling away from home, scoring 0.75 goals and conceding 1.5 goals per match against similar opponents.
The expected total number of goals in this match is 3.0, with the most likely score being a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 12% probability. The most likely total number of goals is 2. Real Betis has a 50% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing, and a 24% chance of losing. The model's selection is the over 1.5 goals, occurring with an 80.6% probability. The model also suggests the over 21.5 fouls, occurring with a 72.5% probability, and the over 3.5 cards, occurring with a 71.0% probability.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Real Betis secured a 1-0 home win, extending their two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 50 % probability and the outcome matched the actual result. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.7 %, Under 6.5 at 97.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 %, Under 5.5 at 93.7 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.5 %, and Home +2 handicap at 91.5 %. All eight picks were settled, each achieving a hit. The match confirmed the model’s overall accuracy and the reliability of its high-confidence choices.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Real Betis win✓ Hit
50.2%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 2.06
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.13
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.09
10Bet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.44
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.52
Real Sociedad win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.60
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Real Betis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.47
1.88
1.19
1.07
1.79
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.28
1.82
1.09
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
1.00
3.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.57
2.07
1.57
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.20
1.50
1.00
1.67
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.40
1.50
2.00
1.80
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (15)
1.93
1.40
2.29
1.57
1.62
1.25
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.27+5.9%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 3.70-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Superbet
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.87+5.6%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 1.95-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.04
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
1xBet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
@ 3.09+3.5%
Under 3.5
65.9%
@ 1.36-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.17
Unibet
3.15
Betano
3.15
Betfair
3.10
Under
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
BetVictor
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
@ 1.68+2.9%
No
41.5%
@ 2.11-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.70
888Sport
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Unibet
1.67
No
888Sport
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 6.24+4.6%
2-1
9.7%@ 8.08+4.0%
2-0
8.2%@ 9.78+3.5%
1-0 ✓
8.2%@ 7.56+2.1%
1-2
6.4%@ 11.21+2.3%
0-0
6.3%@ 10.86+2.1%
3-1
5.7%@ 14.70+2.6%
2-2
5.7%@ 12.58+2.0%
Real Betis goals ↓
Real Sociedad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
5.1%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.2%
12%
6.4%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.7%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.9%
5.7%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.5%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Betis goals (down), columns = Real Sociedad goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Real Betis is 0.37 points better than Real Sociedad in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Real Betis and Real Sociedad are level in goals scored per game (both 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Real Betis is 0.34 goals better than Real Sociedad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Real Betis is 1.1 percentage points worse than Real Sociedad in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Betis
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad
For 5.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.9 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Betis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.2
9.7
4.4
4.5
4.4
23.6
23.8
23.5
vs Stronger (8)
10.1
9.6
11.0
3.4
4.0
2.3
21.0
23.2
17.3
vs Similar (32)
8.3
7.4
9.3
5.3
5.2
5.4
24.6
24.9
24.3
vs Weaker (10)
9.9
10.0
9.8
2.5
1.3
3.0
22.4
18.3
24.8
% over line
42%
20%
65%
66%
64%
68%
73%
76%
70%
% under line
58%
80%
35%
34%
36%
32%
27%
24%
30%
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.0
9.5
4.7
5.2
4.3
26.6
27.3
26.0
vs Stronger (9)
11.8
14.0
10.7
3.3
5.7
2.2
20.8
23.0
19.7
vs Similar (18)
9.9
10.3
9.4
5.4
5.3
5.6
26.4
26.2
26.8
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
10.8
8.9
4.6
4.9
4.4
29.3
29.8
28.8
% over line
54%
65%
44%
64%
78%
52%
75%
83%
68%
% under line
46%
35%
56%
36%
22%
48%
25%
17%
32%
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.6
Alaves
10.5
Racing Santander
10.5
Real Sociedad
10.2
Levante
10.0
Espanyol
9.8
Valencia
9.8
Athletic Club
9.6
Sevilla
9.3
Osasuna
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Real Betis
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.0
Malaga
9.0
Getafe
8.7
Elche
8.3
Celta Vigo
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Getafe
5.4
Malaga
5.2
Sevilla
5.2
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Alaves
4.9
Osasuna
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.8
Real Betis
4.8
Levante
4.8
Elche
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Athletic Club
4.6
Barcelona
4.4
Villarreal
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.2
Alaves
28.9
Elche
27.9
Sevilla
27.6
Real Sociedad
26.9
Racing Santander
26.7
Rayo Vallecano
25.8
Espanyol
25.7
Athletic Club
25.4
Osasuna
25.3
Levante
24.8
Malaga
24.6
Celta Vigo
24.5
Villarreal
24.5
Valencia
24.3
Real Madrid
24.0
Real Betis
23.7
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.2%
@ 1.93-7.4%
Under 9.5
58.8%
@ 1.82+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.38+5.6%
Under 3.5
26.8%
@ 2.88-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.12
Superbet
3.05
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.43
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.2%
@ 1.27+6.6%
Under 21.5
21.8%
@ 3.20-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.20
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Real Betis or Draw✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
+4.7%
50%
26%
24%
covers Real Betis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Real Betis or Real Sociedad✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.1%
50%
26%
24%
covers Real Betis + Real Sociedad
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Draw or Real Sociedad✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.75
Edge
-5.8%
50%
26%
24%
covers Draw + Real Sociedad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
SBO
1.77
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Real Betis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.2%
@ 1.19+3.8%
Under
17.8%
@ 4.31-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.71
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.40
888Sport
4.40
Real Betis over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.5%
@ 1.96+3.8%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.79-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.01
Pinnacle
2.01
Unibet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
888Sport
1.80
Real Betis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.9%
@ 4.12+2.2%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.21-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.22
Marathonbet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Real Betis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 9.32-0.3%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.04+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
888Sport
10.00
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.2%
@ 1.38-2.5%
Under
34.8%
@ 2.89+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.90
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.4%
@ 2.84-4.4%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.39+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
888Sport
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.23-3.9%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.07+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.70
888Sport
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Real Sociedad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 18.31-3.0%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Real Betis, so a minus line means Real Betis give that many goals of a start and Real Sociedad receive them. At -1, Real Betis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Real Betis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Real Betis)Actual: Real Sociedad
Real Betis -2
12.9%
@ 8.13+1.8%
Draw -2
16.3%
@ 5.89+0.9%
Real Sociedad +2
70.8%
@ 1.23-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.20
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Draw
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Away
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Handicap -1 (Real Betis)Actual: Draw
Real Betis -1
29.2%
@ 3.73+5.0%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.76-1.3%
Real Sociedad +1
48.1%
@ 1.75-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.80
Unibet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Unibet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Handicap +1 (Real Betis)Actual: Real Betis
Real Betis +1
78.0%
@ 1.28+7.4%
Draw +1
13.5%
@ 5.16-4.1%
Real Sociedad -1
8.5%
@ 7.68-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Away
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
8.20
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Handicap +2 (Real Betis)Actual: Real Betis
Real Betis +2
91.5%
@ 1.06+5.4%
Draw +2
6.1%
@ 10.25-2.8%
Real Sociedad -2
2.4%
@ 18.00-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Unibet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Betis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.94
0.62
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.61
0.91
0.55
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.79
0.64
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.37+2.8%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 2.95-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
3.02
Pinnacle
2.99
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.73+1.9%
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.43-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
10Bet
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.85-0.7%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Under
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Betis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.1%
@ 1.85+5.9%
Under
43.9%
@ 1.87-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Real Betis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 5.33+0.1%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.12-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Unibet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Real Betis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 13.00-3.4%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.5%
@ 2.35-3.1%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.54+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.32
1xBet
2.29
Under
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 8.04-4.0%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.05+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.10
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 20.50-3.4%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Betano
13.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Betis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.94
0.56
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.00
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.67
0.91
0.55
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Sociedad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.29
0.93
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.90
1.40
1.20
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.73
1.29
0.71
0.88
0.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Betis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Betis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Betis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
1.04
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.9%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.04
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.11
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.08
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.12
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.2%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
1.27
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.3%
1.28
Unibet
1.34
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.2%
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.0%
1.29
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.1%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.9%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
1.38
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.31
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.6%
1.39
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
70.8%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.6%
1.49
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
+8.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Betis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo Riquelme67%
Pablo García33%
Fran García0%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran García33%
Héctor Bellerín33%
Pablo García33%
Isco0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fran García33%
Cucho Hernández33%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Antony0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Rodrigo Riquelme0%
Nelson Deossa0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antony67%
Rodrigo Riquelme33%
Nelson Deossa33%
Fran García0%
Isco0%
Héctor Bellerín0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Álvaro Valles0%
Cucho Hernández0%
Facundo Bernal0%
Pablo García0%
Real Sociedad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Sučić25%
Barrenetxea25%
Orri Óskarsson25%
Sergio Gómez0%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Carlos Soler0%
Y. Herrera0%
T. Kubo0%
Álex Remiro0%
Zubeldia0%
Mikel Oyarzabal0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Jon Aramburu0%
Jon Martín0%
Alex Marchal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Y. Herrera50%
Zubeldia50%
Jon Aramburu50%
Sergio Gómez25%
Luka Sučić25%
Beñat Turrientes25%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Carlos Soler0%
T. Kubo0%
Álex Remiro0%
Barrenetxea0%
Mikel Oyarzabal0%
Orri Óskarsson0%
Jon Martín0%
Alex Marchal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikel Oyarzabal25%
Sergio Gómez0%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Carlos Soler0%
Y. Herrera0%
Luka Sučić0%
T. Kubo0%
Álex Remiro0%
Zubeldia0%
Barrenetxea0%
Orri Óskarsson0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Jon Aramburu0%
Jon Martín0%
Alex Marchal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gonçalo Guedes33%
Orri Óskarsson25%
Sergio Gómez0%
Carlos Soler0%
Y. Herrera0%
Luka Sučić0%
T. Kubo0%
Álex Remiro0%
Zubeldia0%
Barrenetxea0%
Mikel Oyarzabal0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Jon Aramburu0%
Jon Martín0%
Alex Marchal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Real Betis's squad is €12m less valuable than Real Sociedad's (€235m vs €247m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Real Betis's attack is €22m more valuable than Real Sociedad's (€131m vs €110m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Real Betis's midfield is €25m less valuable than Real Sociedad's (€33m vs €58m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Real Betis's defence is €9m less valuable than Real Sociedad's (€70m vs €79m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Deportivo La Coruna
Levante
Racing Santander
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Getafe
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Malaga