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Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 3-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Austria: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Red Bull Salzburg are tipped to win, with a 54% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of Sturm Graz taking the victory. The model expects 2.9 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.8% chance. Salzburg’s home form shows they score 0.5 goals and concede 1.5 against similarly ranked opponents, while Sturm Graz away averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.4 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 83.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.7% and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5%. Salzburg are on a four-game winning run, having beaten Austria Vienna 4-1, whereas Sturm Graz have just returned from a defeat, losing 1-3 to Rapid Vienna.

Results analysis

Red Bull Salzburg continued their strong home spell, extending a four-game winning run with a 3-1 victory over Sturm Graz. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, reflecting the 54% probability it had assigned. The match finished 3-1, confirming the predicted outcome. The model’s selections proved largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.7%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s result was reported once. The final score matched the favoured result, and the model’s choices largely came through.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz win✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W22D03L30W15L14L11D00D11D10WH·TSV04/12H·RAP07/12H·PAR10/12H·AUS14/12A·REA22/01H·ATL29/01A·LAS02/02A·AUS09/02H·WSG15/02A·AUS22/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.531.431.431.001.62
vs Stronger (3)0.674.000.503.501.005.00
vs Similar (7)0.862.430.501.501.002.80
vs Weaker (20)1.400.851.801.001.000.70
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D30W23L05L10W02L22D03L21WH·GIR27/11A·SCR30/11A·WSG07/12A·LIL11/12A·ATA21/01H·RB 29/01H·AUS01/02H·AUS07/02A·WOL15/02H·FC 23/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.332.121.121.431.57
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.331.000.001.00
vs Similar (8)1.501.622.330.331.002.40
vs Weaker (18)2.281.282.601.401.881.12
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1 ✓
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Red Bull Salzburg goals ↓
Sturm Graz goals →
01234
06.5%4.8%3.2%1.1%0.3%
18.9%12%5.8%2.1%0.6%
29.2%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.6%6.0%3.2%1.2%0.3%
42.6%2.8%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Bull Salzburg goals (down), columns = Sturm Graz goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
Red Bull Salzburg is 0.19 points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
Red Bull Salzburg is 0.41 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 2.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
Red Bull Salzburg is 0.09 goals better than Sturm Graz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
Red Bull Salzburg is 10.8 percentage points better than Sturm Graz in terms of average possession (62% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

For 6.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

160569210545310102155114691111115913126161010A·AUSH·WSGA·AUSH·ATLA·REAH·AUSH·PARH·RAPH·TSVA·TSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

703122222123125214442123173A·AUSH·WSGA·AUSH·ATLA·REAH·AUSH·PARH·RAPH·TSVA·TSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

32013771116810109114591194151711112018242020920133222A·AUSH·WSGA·AUSH·ATLA·REAH·AUSH·PARH·RAPH·TSVA·TSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

For 3.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

130226334391122924721103149712131169114H·FC A·WOLH·AUSH·RB A·ATAA·LILA·WSGA·SCRH·GIRH·AUS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

100112312211115512113225331210325H·FC A·WOLH·AUSH·RB A·ATAA·LILA·WSGA·SCRH·GIRH·AUS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

290111011129151310131286111315141116101221232423251424292722H·FC A·WOLH·AUSH·RB A·ATAA·LILA·WSGA·SCRH·GIRH·AUS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.98.83.33.43.120.819.422.2
vs Stronger (3)9.37.513.02.02.51.020.020.020.0
vs Similar (10)10.113.87.74.34.24.321.919.023.8
vs Weaker (37)9.19.28.93.13.32.820.519.521.7
% over line46%52%39%42%42%42%37%17%57%
% under line54%48%61%58%58%58%63%83%43%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.610.63.83.63.923.922.725.1
vs Stronger (4)11.510.714.03.03.71.022.522.024.0
vs Similar (20)9.98.711.03.94.13.624.124.024.2
vs Weaker (26)8.97.99.83.83.34.324.021.726.2
% over line52%35%70%44%44%44%65%52%78%
% under line48%65%30%56%56%56%35%48%22%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
10.2
Rapid Vienna
9.9
Austria Vienna
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.6
Lask Linz
9.6
WSG Wattens
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.5
Grazer AK
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
SCR Altach
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.1
Grazer AK
5.7
SCR Altach
5.5
Wolfsberger AC
5.2
TSV Hartberg
5.1
Austria Klagenfurt
4.9
Rapid Vienna
4.8
Lask Linz
4.6
FC BW Linz
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.4
Sturm Graz
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
27.1
Austria Vienna
25.6
Grazer AK
25.2
Sturm Graz
24.0
Wolfsberger AC
23.7
Lask Linz
23.6
TSV Hartberg
23.4
WSG Wattens
23.3
FC BW Linz
23.2
Austria Klagenfurt
22.5
Rapid Vienna
22.5
Red Bull Salzburg
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.6%
Under 9.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.1%
Under 21.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W01L20W02L03L10W00D01L10WH·TSV04/12H·RAP07/12H·PAR10/12H·AUS14/12A·REA22/01H·ATL29/01A·LAS02/02A·AUS09/02H·WSG15/02A·AUS22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.570.500.560.69
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.431.140.500.500.401.40
vs Weaker (20)0.700.200.700.200.700.20
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W12L01L10W01L11D02L20WH·GIR27/11A·SCR30/11A·WSG07/12A·LIL11/12A·ATA21/01H·RB 29/01H·AUS01/02H·AUS07/02A·WOL15/02H·FC 23/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.531.000.440.860.64
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.330.670.000.00
vs Similar (8)0.620.620.670.000.601.00
vs Weaker (18)1.220.501.300.501.120.50
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L02L10W13L11D01L00D10W00DH·TSV04/12H·RAP07/12H·PAR10/12H·AUS14/12A·REA22/01H·ATL29/01A·LAS02/02A·AUS09/02H·WSG15/02A·AUS22/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.860.930.440.94
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (7)0.431.290.001.000.601.40
vs Weaker (20)0.700.651.100.800.300.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L20W11D04L00D01L11D01L01LH·GIR27/11A·SCR30/11A·WSG07/12A·LIL11/12A·ATA21/01H·RB 29/01H·AUS01/02H·AUS07/02A·WOL15/02H·FC 23/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.120.690.570.93
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.330.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.881.001.670.330.401.40
vs Weaker (18)1.060.781.300.900.750.62
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards83.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Red Bull Salzburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nene Dorgeles31%
Maurits Kjaergaard27%
Yorbe Vertessen25%
Edmund Baidoo22%
Karim Konaté21%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo19%
Oscar Gloukh18%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Petar Ratkov10%
Adam Daghim10%
Nicolás Capaldo9%
Daouda Guindo7%
Mads Bidstrup5%
Bobby Clark4%
Aleksa Terzić0%
Amar Dedić0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Maximiliano Caufriez0%
Takumu Kawamura0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Hendry Blank0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Tim Trummer0%
John Mellberg0%
Joane Gadou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Gourna-Douath43%
Nicolás Capaldo23%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo22%
Kamil Piątkowski17%
Mamady Diambou17%
Stefan Bajčetić17%
Hendry Blank17%
Mads Bidstrup15%
Daouda Guindo14%
Samson Baidoo12%
Alexander Schlager12%
Janis Blaswich10%
Adam Daghim10%
Tim Trummer9%
Amar Dedić9%
Bobby Clark9%
Yorbe Vertessen6%
Joane Gadou5%
Petar Ratkov3%
Aleksa Terzić3%
Oscar Gloukh3%
Nene Dorgeles2%
Maximiliano Caufriez0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Takumu Kawamura0%
Maurits Kjaergaard0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Karim Konaté0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
John Mellberg0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amar Dedić22%
Oscar Gloukh18%
Maurits Kjaergaard18%
Aleksa Terzić13%
Yorbe Vertessen12%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo12%
Petar Ratkov10%
Nene Dorgeles10%
Adam Daghim8%
Karim Konaté7%
Edmund Baidoo6%
Leandro Morgalla5%
Mads Bidstrup5%
Lucas Gourna-Douath5%
Kamil Piątkowski4%
Alexander Schlager4%
Nicolás Capaldo3%
Maximiliano Caufriez0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Takumu Kawamura0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Hendry Blank0%
Bobby Clark0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Tim Trummer0%
John Mellberg0%
Joane Gadou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karim Konaté57%
Karim Onisiwo38%
Yorbe Vertessen31%
Nene Dorgeles19%
Oscar Gloukh18%
Maurits Kjaergaard18%
Amar Dedić17%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo12%
Nicolás Capaldo11%
Petar Ratkov10%
Adam Daghim10%
Edmund Baidoo6%
Aleksa Terzić0%
Alexander Schlager0%
Maximiliano Caufriez0%
Takumu Kawamura0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Daouda Guindo0%
Mamady Diambou0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Samson Baidoo0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Hendry Blank0%
Bobby Clark0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Tim Trummer0%
John Mellberg0%
Joane Gadou0%
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth45%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
William Bøving24%
Leon Grgić21%
Seedy Jatta17%
Erencan Yardımcı15%
Malick Yalcouyé12%
Tomi Horvat10%
Tochi Chukwuani9%
Arjan Malić7%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Niklas Geyrhofer4%
Max Johnston3%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Emanuel Aiwu3%
Dimitri Lavalėe3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jusuf Gazibegović47%
Belmin Beganović33%
Erencan Yardımcı31%
Emanuel Aiwu27%
Daniil Khudyakov25%
Dimitri Lavalėe22%
Tochi Chukwuani21%
Emir Karić20%
Jon Gorenc Stanković19%
Malick Yalcouyé18%
Jacob Hödl17%
Gregory Wüthrich16%
Seedy Jatta14%
Max Johnston14%
Niklas Geyrhofer12%
Leon Grgić11%
Mika Biereth9%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Arjan Malić7%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Tomi Horvat5%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
William Bøving0%
Emran Soglo0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat18%
Max Johnston17%
Mika Biereth14%
William Bøving13%
Jon Gorenc Stanković13%
Leon Grgić11%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Seedy Jatta7%
Emir Karić7%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Dimitri Lavalėe5%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Stefan Hierländer5%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Erencan Yardımcı0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Biereth18%
Leon Grgić16%
Otar Kiteishvili15%
William Bøving13%
Tomi Horvat13%
Erencan Yardımcı8%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Amady Camara4%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Seedy Jatta0%
Max Johnston0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Red Bull Salzburg's squad is €53m more valuable than Sturm Graz's (€105m vs €52m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Red Bull Salzburg's attack is €22m more valuable than Sturm Graz's (€47m vs €26m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Red Bull Salzburg's midfield is €15m more valuable than Sturm Graz's (€29m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Red Bull Salzburg's defence is €16m more valuable than Sturm Graz's (€29m vs €13m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
RBS wins
4
Draws
1
SG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz · H/A from RBS
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24ASturm Graz Vs RBS5-0
28/04/24HRBS Vs Sturm Graz2-2
31/03/24ASturm Graz Vs RBS0-1
09/02/24HRBS Vs Sturm Graz1-1
16/09/23ASturm Graz Vs RBS2-2
21/05/23HRBS Vs Sturm Graz2-1
23/04/23ASturm Graz Vs RBS0-2
22/10/22HRBS Vs Sturm Graz0-0

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25AAustria Vienna Vs RBS0-1
15/02/25HRBS Vs WSG Wattens1-1
09/02/25AAustria Klagenfurt Vs RBS0-0
02/02/25ALask Linz Vs RBS1-1
29/01/25HRBS Vs Atletico Madrid1-4
22/01/25AReal Madrid Vs RBS5-1
14/12/24HRBS Vs Austria Klagenfurt3-0
10/12/24HRBS Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
07/12/24HRBS Vs Rapid Vienna2-2
04/12/24HRBS Vs TSV Hartberg4-0

Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25HSG Vs FC BW Linz2-1
15/02/25AWolfsberger AC Vs SG3-0
07/02/25HSG Vs Austria Vienna2-2
01/02/25HSG Vs Austria Vienna0-2
29/01/25HSG Vs RB Leipzig1-0
21/01/25AAtalanta Vs SG5-0
11/12/24ALille Vs SG3-2
07/12/24AWSG Wattens Vs SG0-3
30/11/24ASCR Altach Vs SG1-1
27/11/24HSG Vs Girona1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.60
HomeDLWLD1.79
AwayDLDDW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals3.343.543.15
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %58%67%50%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.902.291.54
Conceded1.441.251.62
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners9.339.878.78
Cards3.543.573.52
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Austria: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.80
HomeWWLDW1.96
AwayDWLLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.962.923.00
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.801.921.68
Conceded1.161.001.32
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.578.5710.57
Cards4.274.144.41

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sturm GrazSturm Graz3263
59%
2.0
6639+27
3.3
91%
66%
31%
9.1
38%
5.1
63%
24.0
62%
52
2614132.11.2
52%
2Lask LinzLask Linz3560
51%
1.7
5640+16
2.7
74%
60%
26%
9.4
46%
4.3
68%
21.2
46%
44
1311201.61.1
58%
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna3260
56%
1.9
4732+15
2.5
78%
53%
19%
10.4
62%
5.5
69%
23.8
66%
23
9771.51.0
54%
4Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg3257
50%
1.8
5336+17
2.8
78%
53%
31%
9.8
53%
3.6
47%
20.0
31%
105
4729291.71.1
62%
5Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC3255
50%
1.7
6038+22
3.1
81%
59%
31%
10.2
56%
4.9
77%
22.2
53%
12
3361.91.2
46%
6Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna3447
38%
1.4
4745+2
2.7
82%
53%
24%
10.5
56%
5.2
76%
22.7
53%
46
1610191.41.3
57%
7TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg3344
33%
1.3
4042-2
2.5
79%
45%
21%
9.8
45%
5.6
82%
23.3
67%
10
3351.21.3
50%
8FC BW LinzFC BW Linz3238
34%
1.2
3745-8
2.6
75%
59%
19%
9.6
47%
4.6
61%
22.3
53%
5
2121.21.4
41%
9WSG WattensWSG Wattens3230
22%
0.9
3550-15
2.7
72%
53%
25%
9.4
44%
4.8
65%
22.1
50%
7
3231.11.6
45%
10Grazer AKGrazer AK3228
16%
0.9
3454-20
2.8
72%
53%
25%
9.6
50%
6.2
90%
23.2
75%
9
2161.11.7
41%
11Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt3227
19%
0.8
3370-37
3.2
78%
59%
44%
9.6
47%
5.5
91%
22.9
69%
0
0001.02.2
45%
12SCR AltachSCR Altach3226
16%
0.8
2946-17
2.3
75%
44%
19%
8.8
41%
5.9
90%
24.9
72%
9
4140.91.4
47%
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches