This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Köln
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.83
2.19
1.62
1.79
2.07
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
2.00
1.75
2.25
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.56
2.17
1.43
1.71
1.64
2.45
vs Weaker (7)
3.29
0.86
3.60
1.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
1-3 ✓
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Regensburg goals ↓
1. FC Köln goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
8.6%
8.6%
5.1%
2.3%
1
5.1%
12%
9.7%
5.8%
2.6%
2
3.5%
6.2%
5.5%
3.3%
1.5%
3
1.3%
2.3%
2.1%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Regensburg goals (down), columns = 1. FC Köln goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.85
SC Paderborn 07
1.68
Union Berlin
1.68
Hamburger SV
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.44
Regensburg
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
SV Sandhausen
1.12
Ingolstadt
1.03
1. FC Magdeburg
0.91
Duisburg
0.82
Regensburg is 0.41 points worse than 1. FC Köln in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
1. FC Köln
2.47
SC Paderborn 07
2.24
Holstein Kiel
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Regensburg
1.62
Union Berlin
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.35
Hamburger SV
1.32
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Erzgebirge Aue
1.26
Ingolstadt
1.26
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Duisburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
1. FC Magdeburg
1.03
Regensburg is 0.85 goals worse than 1. FC Köln in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 2.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
0.97
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Köln
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.41
SC Paderborn 07
1.47
Arminia Bielefeld
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.47
Holstein Kiel
1.50
SV Sandhausen
1.53
FC St. Pauli
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
Regensburg
1.59
Ingolstadt
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.65
Duisburg
1.91
Regensburg is 0.21 goals worse than 1. FC Köln in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
R
Regensburg
For 5.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Köln
For 6.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
10.2
9.5
10.8
4.9
4.6
5.1
30.5
30.2
30.8
vs Stronger (30)
10.6
9.8
11.3
4.3
4.3
4.4
28.9
28.1
29.7
vs Similar (19)
9.6
9.1
10.1
5.7
5.2
6.2
33.1
33.8
32.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
46%
64%
76%
75%
76%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
45%
54%
36%
24%
25%
24%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Köln
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.0
10.8
4.0
4.2
3.8
28.6
28.7
28.5
vs Stronger (10)
10.8
8.8
12.8
3.0
3.0
3.0
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Similar (33)
11.0
11.4
10.6
4.1
4.3
3.9
29.9
30.2
29.5
vs Weaker (7)
10.7
11.8
8.0
4.7
4.8
4.5
30.1
29.0
33.0
% over line
60%
58%
62%
60%
62%
58%
90%
85%
96%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
40%
38%
42%
10%
15%
4%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SC Paderborn 07
12.7
1. FC Köln
10.9
Hamburger SV
10.8
1. FC Heidenheim
10.5
Ingolstadt
10.5
Arminia Bielefeld
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Regensburg
10.2
SV Darmstadt 98
10.1
Holstein Kiel
10.0
VfL Bochum
9.8
FC St. Pauli
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Erzgebirge Aue
9.4
Dynamo Dresden
9.2
SV Sandhausen
8.9
Duisburg
8.9
1. FC Magdeburg
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SC Paderborn 07
5.3
Regensburg
4.9
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
1. FC Heidenheim
4.6
Erzgebirge Aue
4.6
Holstein Kiel
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.4
Duisburg
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.3
SV Sandhausen
4.3
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Ingolstadt
4.1
FC St. Pauli
4.1
1. FC Köln
4.0
Hamburger SV
4.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.9
Union Berlin
3.8
Arminia Bielefeld
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Sandhausen
30.6
Regensburg
30.5
Ingolstadt
29.9
Erzgebirge Aue
28.7
1. FC Heidenheim
28.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.7
1. FC Köln
28.6
Union Berlin
28.6
VfL Bochum
28.2
SC Paderborn 07
28.1
Duisburg
28.1
Dynamo Dresden
27.6
SV Darmstadt 98
27.4
Holstein Kiel
27.3
Hamburger SV
27.1
1. FC Magdeburg
26.9
Arminia Bielefeld
26.3
FC St. Pauli
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.6%
Under 21.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.71
1.00
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (19)
0.79
0.68
0.89
0.89
0.70
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.09
0.40
1.20
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Köln
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.88
0.62
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.67
0.86
0.71
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.86
0.43
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (19)
0.95
0.63
0.67
0.33
1.20
0.90
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.00
1.20
0.60
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Köln) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Köln
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.23
1.31
1.00
1.21
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.50
0.57
1.00
1.09
1.82
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
0.57
2.60
0.60
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Köln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
1. FC Köln · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Said El Mala36%
Ragnar Ache23%
Jakub Kamiński19%
Luca Waldschmidt19%
Marius Bülter15%
Jan Uwe Thielmann11%
Eric Martel9%
Linton Maina8%
Alessio Castro-Montes7%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson6%
Florian Kainz6%
Tom Krauß0%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Dominique Heintz0%
Joel Schmied0%
Cenk Özkaçar0%
Timo Hübers0%
Kristoffer Lund0%
Sebastian Sebulonsen0%
Denis Huseinbašić0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Felipe Chávez0%
Fynn Schenten0%
Youssoupha Niang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eric Martel36%
Joel Schmied28%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson18%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey18%
Sebastian Sebulonsen15%
Tom Krauß15%
Jan Uwe Thielmann15%
Alessio Castro-Montes14%
Said El Mala14%
Jakub Kamiński11%
Ragnar Ache10%
Marius Bülter9%
Cenk Özkaçar7%
Denis Huseinbašić6%
Marvin Schwäbe6%
Florian Kainz6%
Kristoffer Lund6%
Linton Maina4%
Luca Waldschmidt4%
Dominique Heintz0%
Timo Hübers0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Felipe Chávez0%
Fynn Schenten0%
Youssoupha Niang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ragnar Ache16%
Luca Waldschmidt15%
Alessio Castro-Montes14%
Said El Mala11%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson9%
Marius Bülter9%
Jakub Kamiński8%
Tom Krauß7%
Rav van den Berg7%
Eric Martel6%
Florian Kainz6%
Kristoffer Lund6%
Jan Uwe Thielmann4%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Linton Maina0%
Dominique Heintz0%
Joel Schmied0%
Cenk Özkaçar0%
Timo Hübers0%
Sebastian Sebulonsen0%
Denis Huseinbašić0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Felipe Chávez0%
Fynn Schenten0%
Youssoupha Niang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ragnar Ache23%
Jakub Kamiński22%
Said El Mala19%
Marius Bülter12%
Youssoupha Niang10%
Linton Maina8%
Luca Waldschmidt8%
Jan Uwe Thielmann7%
Florian Kainz6%
Tom Krauß0%
Alessio Castro-Montes0%
Marvin Schwäbe0%
Dominique Heintz0%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson0%
Joel Schmied0%
Cenk Özkaçar0%
Timo Hübers0%
Kristoffer Lund0%
Eric Martel0%
Sebastian Sebulonsen0%
Denis Huseinbašić0%
Rav van den Berg0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Felipe Chávez0%
Fynn Schenten0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Köln
SC Paderborn 07
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
FC St. Pauli
SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Sandhausen
Ingolstadt
1. FC Magdeburg
Duisburg