This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.53
1.81
1.62
1.64
1.43
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
2.05
1.80
2.20
2.00
1.90
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.3%
Under 2.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
Regensburg goals ↓
SC Paderborn 07 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
6.3%
6.4%
3.8%
1.6%
1
4.9%
11%
9.1%
5.3%
2.3%
2
4.2%
7.4%
6.5%
3.8%
1.7%
3
2.0%
3.5%
3.1%
1.8%
0.8%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Regensburg goals (down), columns = SC Paderborn 07 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.85
SC Paderborn 07
1.68
Union Berlin
1.68
Hamburger SV
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.44
Regensburg
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
SV Sandhausen
1.12
Ingolstadt
1.03
1. FC Magdeburg
0.91
Duisburg
0.82
Regensburg is 0.24 points worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
1. FC Köln
2.47
SC Paderborn 07
2.24
Holstein Kiel
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Regensburg
1.62
Union Berlin
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.35
Hamburger SV
1.32
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Erzgebirge Aue
1.26
Ingolstadt
1.26
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Duisburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
1. FC Magdeburg
1.03
Regensburg is 0.62 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
0.97
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Köln
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.41
SC Paderborn 07
1.47
Arminia Bielefeld
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.47
Holstein Kiel
1.50
SV Sandhausen
1.53
FC St. Pauli
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
Regensburg
1.59
Ingolstadt
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.65
Duisburg
1.91
Regensburg is 0.12 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
R
Regensburg
For 6.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SC Paderborn 07
For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.5
10.6
4.8
4.8
4.9
30.6
30.2
31.0
vs Stronger (30)
10.6
9.8
11.3
4.5
4.5
4.4
28.9
28.1
29.7
vs Similar (20)
9.4
9.1
9.6
5.4
5.2
5.5
33.2
33.8
32.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
46%
58%
72%
75%
69%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
28%
25%
31%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
10.7
12.9
1.8
1.8
1.8
27.4
27.4
27.4
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.6
7.3
12.3
2.1
2.0
2.1
28.6
29.3
27.8
vs Weaker (11)
17.0
18.7
14.5
2.1
2.2
2.0
24.2
23.0
26.0
% over line
61%
40%
88%
30%
31%
29%
89%
80%
100%
% under line
39%
60%
12%
70%
69%
71%
11%
20%
0%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SC Paderborn 07
11.7
1. FC Köln
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.6
1. FC Heidenheim
10.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.4
Ingolstadt
10.4
Arminia Bielefeld
10.3
Regensburg
10.1
Holstein Kiel
10.1
SV Darmstadt 98
10.0
Union Berlin
10.0
Erzgebirge Aue
9.9
VfL Bochum
9.8
FC St. Pauli
9.7
Dynamo Dresden
9.0
Duisburg
8.8
SV Sandhausen
8.7
1. FC Magdeburg
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SC Paderborn 07
5.1
Regensburg
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
Erzgebirge Aue
4.6
1. FC Heidenheim
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.5
Duisburg
4.4
SV Darmstadt 98
4.4
Holstein Kiel
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.3
Ingolstadt
4.3
SV Sandhausen
4.3
FC St. Pauli
4.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.1
1. FC Köln
4.0
Hamburger SV
3.8
Union Berlin
3.8
Arminia Bielefeld
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
30.6
SV Sandhausen
30.3
Ingolstadt
30.2
1. FC Köln
29.0
VfL Bochum
28.6
Union Berlin
28.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.4
1. FC Heidenheim
28.3
Duisburg
28.2
Erzgebirge Aue
28.0
Dynamo Dresden
27.6
SC Paderborn 07
27.4
SV Darmstadt 98
27.4
Hamburger SV
27.1
Holstein Kiel
26.8
1. FC Magdeburg
26.7
Arminia Bielefeld
26.4
FC St. Pauli
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.5%
Under 9.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.0%
Under 3.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.7%
Under 21.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.69
1.08
0.76
0.76
vs Stronger (18)
0.72
0.78
0.78
1.11
0.67
0.44
vs Similar (12)
0.75
1.08
0.50
1.00
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.75
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
0.69
0.54
1.06
1.00
vs Stronger (18)
1.00
0.72
0.67
0.44
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
0.75
0.75
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.93
1.19
1.00
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.05
1.50
1.20
1.10
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.57
0.75
0.25
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SC Paderborn 07 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Filip Bilbija39%
Adriano Grimaldi25%
Lucas Copado25%
Marcel Hoffmeier20%
Laurin Curda19%
Stefano Marino19%
Sebastian Klaas17%
Sven Michel13%
Mika Baur11%
Steffen Tigges9%
Kennedy Okpala8%
Calvin Brackelmann7%
Raphael Obermair7%
Nick Bätzner6%
Tjark Lasse Scheller6%
Luis Engelns5%
Felix Götze3%
David Kinsombi0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Santiago Castañeda0%
Ruben Müller0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Hoffmeier40%
Kennedy Okpala33%
Laurin Curda22%
Mattes Hansen21%
Sven Michel20%
Marco Wörner20%
Santiago Castañeda18%
Raphael Obermair17%
Mika Baur17%
Ruben Müller17%
Filip Bilbija15%
Tjark Lasse Scheller14%
Felix Götze12%
Nick Bätzner12%
Luis Engelns11%
Calvin Brackelmann7%
Sebastian Klaas7%
Stefano Marino6%
Steffen Tigges6%
Jonah Sticker4%
David Kinsombi0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Lucas Copado0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Obermair30%
Laurin Curda19%
Mika Baur14%
Calvin Brackelmann11%
Sebastian Klaas10%
Filip Bilbija9%
Ruben Müller8%
Felix Götze6%
Steffen Tigges6%
Nick Bätzner6%
Sven Michel3%
Stefano Marino3%
Mattes Hansen3%
David Kinsombi0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Lucas Copado0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Santiago Castañeda0%
Kennedy Okpala0%
Luis Engelns0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Marino23%
Laurin Curda19%
Steffen Tigges18%
Filip Bilbija15%
Calvin Brackelmann11%
Raphael Obermair10%
Sebastian Klaas7%
Sven Michel7%
Mika Baur6%
Nick Bätzner3%
Santiago Castañeda3%
David Kinsombi0%
Felix Götze0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Lucas Copado0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Ruben Müller0%
Kennedy Okpala0%
Luis Engelns0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
FC St. Pauli
SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Sandhausen
Ingolstadt
1. FC Magdeburg
Duisburg