This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.37
1.80
1.40
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (11)
1.27
1.36
1.33
1.67
1.20
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.37
2.11
1.22
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.21-4.4%
Under 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.65+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
Reggiana goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
8.1%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.5%
15%
8.1%
3.3%
1.0%
2
5.4%
6.6%
4.0%
1.7%
0.5%
3
1.8%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggiana goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Reggiana is 0.58 points worse than Brescia in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Reggiana is 0.79 goals worse than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Reggiana is 0.11 goals worse than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggiana
For 4.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.7 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
For 4.5 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
9.7
9.2
10.2
5.2
5.9
4.5
32.2
33.1
31.2
vs Stronger (13)
10.0
8.7
11.1
4.9
5.7
4.3
31.8
34.3
29.6
vs Similar (18)
9.5
9.6
9.4
5.3
6.0
4.7
32.5
32.3
32.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
40%
67%
74%
73%
75%
97%
100%
93%
% under line
47%
60%
33%
26%
27%
25%
3%
0%
7%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.1
9.7
5.0
5.0
4.9
28.4
27.8
29.0
vs Stronger (28)
10.2
10.2
10.3
5.0
5.2
4.9
28.8
29.0
28.6
vs Similar (22)
9.5
10.0
8.9
4.9
4.8
4.9
27.8
26.3
29.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
58%
54%
68%
73%
62%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
44%
42%
46%
32%
27%
38%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Empoli
11.0
Lecce
10.9
Cosenza
10.6
Spal
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Pordenone
10.3
Cremonese
10.2
Monza
10.2
Cittadella
10.1
Brescia
9.9
Frosinone
9.9
Reggina
9.8
Reggiana
9.7
Vicenza Virtus
9.5
Pisa
9.5
Virtus Entella
9.3
Chievo
9.3
Ascoli
9.2
Pescara
9.0
Salernitana
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.4
Ascoli
5.9
Salernitana
5.6
Pisa
5.6
Pordenone
5.6
Cosenza
5.5
Pescara
5.5
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Reggiana
5.3
Monza
5.3
Virtus Entella
5.3
Venezia
5.2
Cittadella
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Chievo
4.9
Spal
4.9
Frosinone
4.9
Lecce
4.8
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
35.4
Frosinone
32.7
Pisa
32.6
Cittadella
32.5
Monza
32.5
Reggiana
32.2
Venezia
32.1
Ascoli
32.0
Vicenza Virtus
31.9
Salernitana
31.9
Pordenone
31.5
Virtus Entella
31.3
Cosenza
30.6
Pescara
30.5
Chievo
30.5
Spal
30.3
Empoli
28.9
Cremonese
28.7
Brescia
28.4
Lecce
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.8%
Under 21.5
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.27
0.60
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.59
0.11
0.33
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
1.07
0.60
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.55
0.83
0.67
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.47
1.22
0.56
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.73
0.60
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.92
1.00
0.67
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.53
0.56
0.56
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.82
0.50
1.00
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.89
0.89
0.67
0.60
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggiana · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manolo Portanova19%
Mathis Lambourde17%
Elayis Tavsan16%
Francesco Vicari14%
Andrija Novakovich12%
Natan Girma12%
Cedric Gondo11%
Mateus Lusuardi9%
Tobías Reinhart9%
Andrea Bozzolan7%
Manuel Marras6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tobías Reinhart32%
Manuel Marras29%
Mateus Lusuardi27%
Andrea Papetti26%
Natan Girma24%
Paolo Rozzio23%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Bonetti19%
Charlys19%
Giangiacomo Magnani18%
Mario Sampirisi17%
Manolo Portanova16%
Matteo Rover15%
Andrea Bozzolan15%
Alessandro Micai13%
Cedric Gondo11%
Francesco Vallarelli11%
Luca Belardinelli9%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Lorenzo Libutti6%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Edoardo Motta5%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Oumar Conté0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Marras24%
Massimo Bertagnoli17%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Natan Girma8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Charlys6%
Matteo Rover6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Mathis Lambourde4%
Simone Bonetti4%
Cedric Gondo4%
Andrea Bozzolan4%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Manolo Portanova3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Natan Girma24%
Manolo Portanova16%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Cedric Gondo4%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Manuel Marras0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Elayis Tavsan0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Andrea Bozzolan0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
Brescia · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini20%
Gennaro Borrelli19%
Flavio Bianchi17%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Riccardo Fogliata14%
Matthias Verreth12%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah8%
Davide Adorni8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Ante Matej Jurić6%
Gabriele Calvani5%
Andrea Cistana4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Michele Besaggio3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabrizio Paghera38%
Davide Adorni30%
Lorenzo Dickmann26%
Dimitri Bisoli26%
Matthias Verreth24%
Gennaro Borrelli22%
Ante Matej Jurić19%
Andrea Papetti16%
Birkir Bjarnason15%
Giacomo Olzer15%
Michele Besaggio14%
Gabriele Calvani14%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah12%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Andrea Cistana9%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi8%
Gabriele Moncini8%
Luca Lezzerini8%
Alexander Jallow6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Niccolò Corrado3%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi21%
Dimitri Bisoli19%
Ante Matej Jurić9%
Andrea Cistana9%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Niccolò Corrado5%
Andrea Papetti5%
Gabriele Moncini4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Giacomo Olzer4%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Matthias Verreth3%
Gennaro Borrelli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Borrelli33%
Gabriele Moncini24%
Luca D'Andrea11%
Matthias Verreth9%
Davide Adorni8%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Dimitri Bisoli6%
Flavio Bianchi4%
Birkir Bjarnason4%
Ante Matej Jurić3%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Gabriele Calvani0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Empoli
Salernitana
Monza
Lecce
Venezia
Cittadella
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Cremonese
Pisa
Vicenza Virtus
Ascoli
Cosenza
Pescara
Virtus Entella