This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.81
1.00
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.30
1.00
1.17
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.85
0.70
0.90
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.8%
@ 2.29-2.3%
Under 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.60+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
Reggiana goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
8.7%
3.7%
1.2%
1
8.9%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.1%
2
4.9%
6.3%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.6%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggiana goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Reggiana is 0.03 points worse than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 0.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Reggiana is 0.05 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Reggiana is 0.26 goals worse than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggiana
For 4.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.4
9.0
9.9
5.3
6.1
4.5
32.5
33.8
31.1
vs Stronger (12)
9.6
8.7
10.5
5.0
5.7
4.3
31.8
34.3
29.2
vs Similar (17)
9.3
9.2
9.4
5.5
6.4
4.7
33.0
33.4
32.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
36%
64%
76%
79%
73%
96%
100%
93%
% under line
50%
64%
36%
24%
21%
27%
4%
0%
7%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.5
9.8
5.7
5.8
5.6
30.7
31.1
30.4
vs Stronger (18)
11.2
12.1
10.3
5.0
5.7
4.3
29.0
29.1
28.9
vs Similar (32)
10.4
11.2
9.5
6.1
5.8
6.4
31.7
32.1
31.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
69%
54%
84%
85%
83%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
38%
31%
46%
16%
15%
17%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
11.0
Empoli
10.9
Cosenza
10.7
Venezia
10.4
Cittadella
10.3
Spal
10.2
Pordenone
10.2
Cremonese
10.2
Monza
10.1
Brescia
9.8
Reggina
9.8
Frosinone
9.7
Vicenza Virtus
9.6
Reggiana
9.4
Pisa
9.4
Virtus Entella
9.3
Ascoli
9.3
Chievo
9.0
Pescara
8.9
Salernitana
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.5
Ascoli
6.0
Salernitana
5.8
Cosenza
5.7
Pisa
5.6
Pordenone
5.6
Pescara
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Reggiana
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Virtus Entella
5.3
Cittadella
5.3
Monza
5.3
Brescia
5.1
Chievo
5.0
Lecce
4.9
Frosinone
4.9
Spal
4.8
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
35.6
Frosinone
32.7
Cittadella
32.7
Pisa
32.6
Salernitana
32.6
Reggiana
32.5
Venezia
32.3
Monza
32.2
Vicenza Virtus
31.9
Ascoli
31.9
Pordenone
31.7
Virtus Entella
31.3
Cosenza
30.7
Chievo
30.5
Pescara
30.4
Spal
30.0
Empoli
28.9
Cremonese
28.7
Brescia
28.5
Lecce
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.5%
Under 3.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.4%
Under 21.5
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.32
0.79
0.29
0.57
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.08
0.50
1.00
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.56
0.12
0.25
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.56
0.50
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.35
0.50
0.40
0.10
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.75
0.71
0.64
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.50
0.20
0.50
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggiana · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manolo Portanova19%
Mathis Lambourde17%
Elayis Tavsan16%
Francesco Vicari14%
Andrija Novakovich12%
Natan Girma12%
Cedric Gondo11%
Mateus Lusuardi9%
Tobías Reinhart9%
Andrea Bozzolan7%
Manuel Marras6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tobías Reinhart32%
Manuel Marras29%
Mateus Lusuardi27%
Andrea Papetti26%
Natan Girma24%
Paolo Rozzio23%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Bonetti19%
Charlys19%
Giangiacomo Magnani18%
Mario Sampirisi17%
Manolo Portanova16%
Matteo Rover15%
Andrea Bozzolan15%
Alessandro Micai13%
Cedric Gondo11%
Francesco Vallarelli11%
Luca Belardinelli9%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Lorenzo Libutti6%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Edoardo Motta5%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Oumar Conté0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Marras24%
Massimo Bertagnoli17%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Natan Girma8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Charlys6%
Matteo Rover6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Mathis Lambourde4%
Simone Bonetti4%
Cedric Gondo4%
Andrea Bozzolan4%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Manolo Portanova3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Natan Girma24%
Manolo Portanova16%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Cedric Gondo4%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Manuel Marras0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Elayis Tavsan0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Andrea Bozzolan0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
Cosenza · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Empoli
Salernitana
Monza
Lecce
Venezia
Cittadella
Brescia
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Cremonese
Pisa
Vicenza Virtus
Ascoli
Pescara
Virtus Entella