This opponent (Monza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
0.75
0.75
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.4%
@ 1.88-11.9%
Under 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.90+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
Reggiana goals ↓
Monza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
12%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.6%
6.8%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.9%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggiana goals (down), columns = Monza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Reggiana is 0.79 points worse than Monza in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Reggiana is 0.53 goals worse than Monza in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Reggiana is 0.63 goals worse than Monza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.87).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggiana
For 4.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 17.4 · Total 32.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Monza
For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 14.4 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggiana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
9.1
9.8
8.3
5.2
6.2
4.2
32.9
37.5
26.7
vs Stronger (4)
9.8
10.0
9.0
5.2
6.0
3.0
32.5
38.3
15.0
vs Similar (4)
8.3
9.0
8.0
5.2
7.0
4.7
33.3
35.0
32.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
50%
33%
75%
100%
50%
86%
100%
67%
% under line
57%
50%
67%
25%
0%
50%
14%
0%
33%
This opponent (Monza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
10.7
10.8
10.5
4.8
6.0
3.2
31.0
32.4
29.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
11.0
15.0
9.0
3.7
4.0
3.5
29.7
40.0
24.5
vs Weaker (6)
10.5
9.8
12.0
5.3
6.5
3.0
31.7
30.5
34.0
% over line
67%
80%
50%
78%
100%
50%
89%
100%
75%
% under line
33%
20%
50%
22%
0%
50%
11%
0%
25%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
12.0
Monza
10.7
Spal
10.6
Cittadella
10.6
Pordenone
10.3
Cosenza
10.3
Cremonese
10.3
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Brescia
10.2
Frosinone
10.0
Empoli
9.9
Venezia
9.8
Reggina
9.5
Virtus Entella
9.4
Reggiana
9.1
Pisa
9.0
Chievo
8.9
Ascoli
8.8
Pescara
8.8
Salernitana
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
7.4
Pisa
6.4
Vicenza Virtus
6.1
Salernitana
6.1
Reggiana
6.0
Ascoli
5.9
Cosenza
5.8
Virtus Entella
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Venezia
5.5
Pordenone
5.4
Chievo
5.3
Brescia
5.2
Spal
5.2
Pescara
5.1
Lecce
5.0
Frosinone
4.9
Monza
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
36.8
Salernitana
34.5
Frosinone
33.1
Cittadella
33.0
Reggiana
32.9
Vicenza Virtus
32.8
Pisa
32.7
Venezia
31.7
Ascoli
31.5
Pordenone
31.3
Monza
31.0
Chievo
31.0
Cosenza
30.9
Virtus Entella
30.4
Pescara
30.0
Brescia
29.3
Empoli
29.0
Spal
29.0
Cremonese
27.4
Lecce
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.2%
Under 9.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.8%
Under 21.5
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggiana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.29
0.75
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Monza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.22
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
78% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggiana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.71
0.50
0.25
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.67
0.33
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Monza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.44
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggiana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggiana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggiana · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manolo Portanova19%
Mathis Lambourde17%
Elayis Tavsan16%
Francesco Vicari14%
Andrija Novakovich12%
Natan Girma12%
Cedric Gondo11%
Mateus Lusuardi9%
Tobías Reinhart9%
Andrea Bozzolan7%
Manuel Marras6%
Massimo Bertagnoli3%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tobías Reinhart32%
Manuel Marras29%
Mateus Lusuardi27%
Andrea Papetti26%
Natan Girma24%
Paolo Rozzio23%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Bonetti19%
Charlys19%
Giangiacomo Magnani18%
Mario Sampirisi17%
Manolo Portanova16%
Matteo Rover15%
Andrea Bozzolan15%
Alessandro Micai13%
Cedric Gondo11%
Francesco Vallarelli11%
Luca Belardinelli9%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Massimo Bertagnoli7%
Lorenzo Libutti6%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Edoardo Motta5%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Oumar Conté0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Marras24%
Massimo Bertagnoli17%
Kleis Bozhanaj8%
Natan Girma8%
Danilo Quaranta7%
Charlys6%
Matteo Rover6%
Elayis Tavsan5%
Mathis Lambourde4%
Simone Bonetti4%
Cedric Gondo4%
Andrea Bozzolan4%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Manolo Portanova3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Natan Girma24%
Manolo Portanova16%
Mathis Lambourde8%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Cedric Gondo4%
Charlys3%
Matteo Rover3%
Tobías Reinhart0%
Giangiacomo Magnani0%
Andrea Seculin0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Leo Štulac0%
Luca Belardinelli0%
Danilo Quaranta0%
Manuel Marras0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Lorenzo Libutti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Elayis Tavsan0%
Paolo Rozzio0%
Tommaso Fumagalli0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Kleis Bozhanaj0%
Andrea Bozzolan0%
Leonardo Mendicino0%
Francesco Vallarelli0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Mateus Lusuardi0%
Oumar Conté0%
Simone Bonetti0%
Monza · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gustavo Varela100%
Andrea Colpani33%
Omari Forson33%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Samuele Birindelli0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Filippo Delli Carri0%
Andrea Carboni0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Mathis Mout0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lorenzo Lucchesi67%
Eddy Kouadio33%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Andrea Colpani0%
Samuele Birindelli0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Filippo Delli Carri0%
Andrea Carboni0%
Omari Forson0%
Gustavo Varela0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Mathis Mout0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Cutrone33%
Ricardo Mangas33%
Mathis Mout33%
Andrea Colpani0%
Samuele Birindelli0%
Filippo Delli Carri0%
Andrea Carboni0%
Omari Forson0%
Gustavo Varela0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Varela67%
Patrick Cutrone33%
Andrea Colpani0%
Samuele Birindelli0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Filippo Delli Carri0%
Andrea Carboni0%
Omari Forson0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Mathis Mout0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
Reggiana's squad is €62m less valuable than Monza's (€8m vs €70m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Reggiana's attack is €24m less valuable than Monza's (€1m vs €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
VV (12)
€5m
ASC (6)
€3m
REG (9)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Reggiana's midfield is €22m less valuable than Monza's (€2m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Reggiana's defence is €16m less valuable than Monza's (€4m vs €20m).
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Empoli
Salernitana
Lecce
Venezia
Cittadella
Brescia
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Cremonese
Pisa
Vicenza Virtus
Ascoli
Cosenza
Pescara
Virtus Entella