This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.17
1.00
1.00
1.40
1.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.80
0.86
0.71
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.35
1.12
1.25
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.10+0.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.72-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
Reggina goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
9.4%
6.9%
2.9%
0.9%
1
8.8%
14%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.0%
7.7%
4.9%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.4%
3.1%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Reggina goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Reggina is 0.45 points worse than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Reggina is 0.55 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Reggina is 0.18 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Reggina
For 4.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 17.3 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
For 5.2 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.6 · Against 16.1 · Total 33.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.1
6.0
6.5
5.6
34.0
34.5
33.6
vs Stronger (19)
10.6
9.2
12.6
6.2
6.8
5.2
33.8
34.5
32.8
vs Similar (31)
10.2
9.9
10.4
6.0
6.2
5.8
34.2
34.4
34.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
44%
64%
80%
84%
76%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
56%
36%
20%
16%
24%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
6.1
6.4
5.7
32.9
34.2
31.5
vs Stronger (18)
10.3
11.5
9.3
6.1
6.2
6.0
32.5
36.0
29.7
vs Similar (32)
9.8
8.9
10.7
6.1
6.5
5.5
33.1
33.4
32.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
40%
48%
88%
92%
84%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
12%
8%
16%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Alessandria
11.0
Brescia
10.8
Benevento
10.8
Spal
10.7
Frosinone
10.7
Pisa
10.5
Monza
10.4
Reggina
10.3
Crotone
10.3
Cittadella
10.2
Cremonese
10.2
Cosenza
10.0
Lecce
10.0
Como
10.0
Ternana
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Pordenone
9.9
Perugia
9.6
Parma
9.5
Vicenza Virtus
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ascoli
6.1
Reggina
6.0
Pordenone
5.8
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Como
5.5
Perugia
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Pisa
5.4
Spal
5.3
Frosinone
5.3
Monza
5.2
Crotone
5.1
Cosenza
5.0
Brescia
5.0
Benevento
5.0
Alessandria
4.9
Cremonese
4.9
Parma
4.8
Lecce
4.8
Ternana
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.0
Cittadella
33.7
Ascoli
32.9
Pordenone
32.8
Perugia
32.6
Pisa
32.4
Monza
32.0
Vicenza Virtus
31.9
Spal
31.8
Frosinone
31.0
Alessandria
30.9
Cremonese
30.1
Como
29.7
Ternana
29.5
Benevento
29.1
Crotone
28.1
Brescia
27.8
Cosenza
27.8
Parma
27.5
Lecce
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.3%
Under 3.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.1%
Under 21.5
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Reggina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.53
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.58
0.29
0.43
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.50
0.62
0.62
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.60
0.29
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.70
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Reggina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Reggina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.29
1.00
0.60
0.20
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.56
1.12
0.38
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.20
0.57
0.14
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.65
0.25
0.62
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Reggina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggina · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alessandro Lombardi25%
Hernani Jr.23%
Giovanni Fabbian19%
Luigi Canotto16%
Jérémy Ménez15%
David Strelec12%
Niccolò Pierozzi11%
Devid Eugene Bouah11%
Gabriele Gori9%
Rigoberto Rivas8%
Riccardo Gagliolo6%
Lorenzo Crisetig3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Žan Majer3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Federico Santander0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Federico Ricci0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
Warren Bondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Federico Ravaglia50%
Devid Eugene Bouah44%
Žan Majer34%
Riccardo Gagliolo29%
Jérémy Ménez27%
Niccolò Pierozzi23%
Thiago Cionek22%
Giovanni Fabbian22%
Hernani Jr.19%
Lorenzo Crisetig17%
Michele Camporese15%
Giuseppe Loiacono14%
Gianluca Di Chiara12%
Luigi Canotto11%
Emanuele Terranova10%
Federico Ricci8%
Simone Colombi8%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Rigoberto Rivas3%
Federico Santander0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Gălăbinov20%
Hernani Jr.13%
Žan Majer9%
Jérémy Ménez9%
Federico Ricci8%
Luigi Canotto8%
David Strelec6%
Gianluca Di Chiara6%
Niccolò Pierozzi6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Thiago Cionek3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Giovanni Fabbian3%
Federico Santander0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Riccardo Gagliolo0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Nikita Contini0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Federico Santander33%
Hernani Jr.16%
Luigi Canotto11%
Federico Ricci8%
Giovanni Fabbian8%
Jérémy Ménez6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Riccardo Gagliolo3%
Žan Majer3%
Gianluca Di Chiara3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Niccolò Pierozzi3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Daniele Liotti0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Como
Spal
Cosenza
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