Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts Result & Analysis

Rēzekne FA enter the match after five consecutive defeats, their home form showing a high concession rate of four goals per game against weaker opposition. JDFS Alberts, meanwhile, are on a three-game winning streak away, averaging 1.45 goals scored and only one conceded against stronger teams. These contrasting patterns explain why the model favours an away win, assigning it a 62% probability, with a draw at 22% and a home win at 16%. The expected total goals is three, yet the most likely total is two, reflecting the model’s confidence in a moderate scoring affair. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. The model’s selection list includes an Over 1.5 goal pick at 81.3%. In summary, the probabilities are: home win 16%, draw 22%, away win 62%. The suggested pick is Over 1.5 with 81.3%.

The match saw JDFS Alberts extend their three-game winning streak, while Rēzekne FA struggled after five consecutive defeats. The final score of 0-7 confirmed the model’s prediction of an away win, and the selection of an away victory was correct. The model had given the away side a 62% chance of triumph, and the outcome matched that probability. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.3% probability, hit as the game produced seven goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not reached, but the overall predictions proved accurate, underscoring the model’s reliability in this fixture.