Rēzekne FA vs JDFS Alberts Result & Analysis

The model sees JDFS Alberts as the clear favourite, rating a 67% chance of victory. Their away form is strong, scoring 2.11 and conceding just 1.22 against tougher opposition, while Rēzekne FA’s home record is weak, averaging only 0.75 goals scored and conceding four. The 3.4 expected goals and a 22% probability that the total will be exactly three points to a 1-2 scoreline, which carries a 9.6% chance, underline the expectation of a low-scoring but decisive away win. Home win probability sits at 13%, draw at 19%, and away win at 67%. The single most likely score is 1-2, with a 9.6% probability. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 selection at 86.2%. Recent form tells the same story: Rēzekne FA has lost five in a row, last falling 1-6 to Valmiera, whereas Alberts are on a three-game winning streak, beating Mārupe 2-0. All figures are presented as percentages where appropriate, and every selection is listed with its probability.

After a string of five defeats, Rēzekne FA’s home form was a bleak LLLLL, yet the pre-match favourite was the away side, JDFS Alberts, with a 67% chance of victory. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished 0-0, a draw. The predicted most likely score of 1-2 for JDFS Alberts missed, and the suggested pick Over 1.5, with an 86.2% probability, also failed. JDFS Alberts, who had been on a three-game winning run, could not convert their form into a win, while Rēzekne FA’s struggles at home continued. The final result was a goalless stalemate, leaving the model’s predictions largely unfulfilled.