Rēzekne FA vs JFK Ventspils Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, giving JFK Ventspils a 52% chance to lift the trophy, while a home victory sits at 22% and a draw at 25%. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, with the most likely total being 2 goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.1% chance. Rēzekne FA, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, whereas JFK Ventspils, on the road to a weaker side, averages 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded. The model’s selection list includes Over 1.5 goals at 79.4%. Recent form shows Rēzekne FA on a five-game losing streak after a 1-6 defeat to Valmiera / BSS, while JFK Ventspils comes off a 1-1 draw with Riga FC II. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is named with its exact label and probability.

After a winless run, Rēzekne FA’s form story ended with a 0-1 loss to JFK Ventspils, who were coming off a draw. The model’s favourite was an Away win at 52% probability, and the result matched that pick, confirming the model’s call. The final score of 0-1 delivered the expected Away win. The model also suggested Over 1.5 goals with a 79.4% chance, but that selection missed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 had only a 12.1% chance, while 1-2 and 0-2 were 9.8% and 8.9% respectively, showing the game stayed below the predicted 2.9 total.