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Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Vs
24%
21%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rēzekne FA win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-920W15L02L12L12L11D11D09L14L13LH·PRO27/05A·SMI03/06H·SAL02/07A·TUK08/07H·DIN23/07A·BEI30/07A·JFK06/08A·RIG12/08H·GRO19/08A·VAL27/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.931.272.470.603.40
vs Stronger (10)0.602.400.501.500.673.00
vs Similar (16)1.253.251.602.800.674.00
vs Weaker (4)0.503.001.003.000.333.00
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W12L01L10W12L32W01L14L23LA·VAL28/05H·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.801.433.200.802.402.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.921.003.830.502.001.50
vs Weaker (18)2.721.722.781.002.672.44
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.8%
Under 1.5
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.7%
Under 2.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.4%
No
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-3
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
Rēzekne FA goals ↓
Rīgas FS II goals →
01234
03.1%4.5%6.0%4.6%2.6%
12.6%8.6%8.9%6.8%3.9%
22.5%5.8%6.6%5.1%2.9%
31.3%2.9%3.3%2.5%1.4%
40.5%1.1%1.2%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rēzekne FA goals (down), columns = Rīgas FS II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
Rēzekne FA is 1.02 points worse than Rīgas FS II in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
Rīgas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo Rīga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
Rēzekne FA is 1.63 goals worse than Rīgas FS II in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo Rīga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
Rēzekne FA is 1.50 goals worse than Rīgas FS II in terms of goals conceded per game (3.12 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W13L00D01L11D01L01L03L03L01LH·PRO27/05A·SMI03/06H·SAL02/07A·TUK08/07H·DIN23/07A·BEI30/07A·JFK06/08A·RIG12/08H·GRO19/08A·VAL27/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.470.871.200.201.73
vs Stronger (10)0.301.500.501.000.171.83
vs Similar (16)0.811.501.101.300.331.83
vs Weaker (4)0.001.250.001.000.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L01L10W02L31W00D02L11DA·VAL28/05H·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.831.620.561.361.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.750.751.830.501.671.00
vs Weaker (18)1.330.891.500.601.121.25
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D02L02L11D01L10W10W06L11D12LH·PRO27/05A·SMI03/06H·SAL02/07A·TUK08/07H·DIN23/07A·BEI30/07A·JFK06/08A·RIG12/08H·GRO19/08A·VAL27/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.470.401.270.401.67
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.000.500.501.17
vs Similar (16)0.441.750.501.500.332.17
vs Weaker (4)0.501.751.002.000.331.67
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D00D00D10W01L01L12L12LA·VAL28/05H·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.471.690.191.210.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.252.000.000.330.50
vs Weaker (18)1.670.611.500.301.881.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.572.7%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
RF wins
1
Draws
2
RFI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rēzekne FA vs Rīgas FS II · H/A from RF
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23ARīgas FS II Vs RF8-1
13/11/22HRF Vs Rīgas FS II2-2
30/07/22ARīgas FS II Vs RF5-0

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23AValmiera II Vs RF3-1
19/08/23HRF Vs Grobiņa1-4
12/08/23ARiga FC II Vs RF9-0
06/08/23AJFK Ventspils Vs RF1-1
30/07/23ABeitar Vs RF1-1
23/07/23HRF Vs Dinamo Rīga1-2
08/07/23ATukums II Vs RF2-1
02/07/23HRF Vs Saldus SS/Leevon0-2
03/06/23ASmiltene Vs RF5-1
27/05/23HRF Vs Progress / AFA Olaine2-0

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23ABeitar Vs RFI3-2
19/08/23ADinamo Rīga Vs RFI4-1
11/08/23HRFI Vs Tukums II0-1
05/08/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs RFI2-3
29/07/23ASmiltene Vs RFI2-1
22/07/23HRFI Vs Progress / AFA Olaine1-0
09/07/23ASkanste Vs RFI1-0
02/07/23HRFI Vs JDFS Alberts1-2
03/06/23HRFI Vs JFK Ventspils2-0
28/05/23AValmiera II Vs RFI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.60
HomeLWLLL0.86
AwayLDDLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%27%5%
AVG goals3.913.684.14
Over 1.5 %88%86%90%
Over 2.5 %65%68%62%
Over 3.5 %58%59%57%
Scored1.021.320.71
Conceded2.882.363.43
BTTS49%45%52%
Clean Sheet9%18%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.72
HomeWWLWL1.95
AwayLLWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%64%43%
AVG goals4.234.094.38
Over 1.5 %88%82%95%
Over 2.5 %72%64%81%
Over 3.5 %63%59%67%
Scored2.723.092.33
Conceded1.511.002.05
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet23%32%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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