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Rhyl vs Bala Town Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-3
Rhyl
Rhyl
Vs
13%
20%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bala Town
Bala Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Rhyl’s recent 4-2 victory over Caersws shows they can score, yet the model still favours a Bala Town win, reflecting the home side’s struggle against stronger opponents and the away team’s impressive 3-game winning streak. The probability of an away win sits at 67%, with a draw at 20% and a home win at 13%. The expected total goals is 3.3, and the most likely scoreline is 0-2 for Bala Town, a 10.1% chance. Rhyl’s home form averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against stronger opposition, while Bala Town’s away form is not listed but the model’s selection of “Away +2 handicap” at 95.4% underscores their offensive edge. The suggested picks are: Home under 3.5 goals 98.3%, Under 7.5 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 96.5%, Away +2 handicap 95.4%, Under 6.5 95.0%, Home under 2.5 goals 92.7%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals 91.8%. Each selection carries its own probability, with edges noted where applicable.

Results analysis

Rhyl’s recent form has dipped, coming off a defeat, while Bala Town arrive on a four-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct as the final score was 1-3 in Bala Town’s favour. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 67%. The model’s selections largely hit: Home under 3.5 goals (98.3%) hit, Under 7.5 (98.1%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%) hit, Away +2 handicap (95.4%) hit, Under 6.5 (95.0%) hit, Home under 2.5 goals (92.7%) hit, and Away under 1.5 HT goals (91.8%) hit. Only Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%) missed. The most likely score of 1-2 was close, but the actual 1-3 confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhyl win✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.57
Edge
-22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.55
Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.86
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.95
Bet365
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
Bala Town win✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.20
Edge
+25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.17

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RhylRhyl

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W01L16L30W12L10W03L11D01L42WA·BRI17/03A·CAE21/03A·NEW24/03H·DEN27/03H·GUI03/04H·GRE07/04A·PEN18/04H·GUI01/08A·POR08/08H·CAE15/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.732.001.471.002.08
vs Stronger (28)1.641.542.061.381.081.75
vs Similar (2)0.504.501.003.000.006.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bala Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bala TownBala Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L00D11D10W12L50W12L21W21W30WA·BRI21/02H·LLA27/02A·FLI14/03H·HAV21/03A·CAR28/03A·LLA03/04H·BRI18/04A·BAN31/07H·RUT07/08H·GRE21/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.531.061.441.211.64
vs Stronger (4)1.001.250.002.001.331.00
vs Similar (26)1.151.581.131.401.181.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
@ 1.13+4.4%
Under 1.5
15.2%
@ 4.62-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.48+2.0%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.39-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.41
Superbet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.7%
@ 2.21+0.3%
Under 3.5
58.3%
@ 1.56-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.5%
@ 1.44-7.2%
No
43.5%
@ 2.53+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
No
1xBet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.1%@ 12.33+6.7%
1-2
9.7%@ 9.33+5.2%
1-1
9.2%@ 7.50+3.6%
0-1
7.9%@ 10.67+3.9%
0-3
7.9%@ 18.33+5.6%
1-3 ✓
7.5%@ 14.33+4.6%
2-2
4.7%@ 11.00+0.8%
0-4
4.6%@ 42.00+3.6%
Rhyl goals ↓
Bala Town goals →
01234
04.6%7.9%10%7.9%4.6%
12.7%9.2%9.7%7.5%4.4%
21.7%4.0%4.7%3.6%2.1%
30.5%1.3%1.5%1.2%0.7%
40.1%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rhyl goals (down), columns = Bala Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Rhyl is 1.00 points worse than Bala Town in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Rhyl is 0.20 goals worse than Bala Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Rhyl is 0.80 goals worse than Bala Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rhyl or Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.56
Edge
-26.0%
13%
20%
67%
covers Rhyl + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Rhyl or Bala Town✓ Hit
80.3%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.20
Edge
+3.7%
13%
20%
67%
covers Rhyl + Bala Town
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Draw or Bala Town✓ Hit
86.9%
Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.42
Edge
+22.3%
13%
20%
67%
covers Draw + Bala Town
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rhyl over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.6%
@ 1.18-15.1%
Under
38.4%
@ 3.90+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.75
Rhyl over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.9%
@ 1.98-21.6%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.72+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Rhyl over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 4.03-15.2%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.17+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
3.85
Under
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Rhyl over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 9.90-7.6%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Under
1xBet
1.01
Bala Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.3%
@ 1.14+10.8%
Under
9.7%
@ 4.40-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.20
Bala Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.6%
@ 1.82+16.9%
Under
32.4%
@ 1.87-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Under
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Bala Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
41.2%
@ 3.50+15.1%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.23-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bala Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 8.30+9.6%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.03-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rhyl, so a minus line means Rhyl give that many goals of a start and Bala Town receive them. At -1, Rhyl must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rhyl win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rhyl)Actual: Bala Town
Rhyl -2
1.2%
Draw -2
3.4%
Bala Town +2
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rhyl)Actual: Bala Town
Rhyl -1
4.6%
@ 4.75-13.6%
Draw -1
8.5%
@ 4.25-11.7%
Bala Town +1
86.9%
@ 1.40+25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Rhyl)Actual: Bala Town
Rhyl +1
32.8%
@ 1.55-23.8%
Draw +1
21.9%
@ 4.13+0.7%
Bala Town -1
45.2%
@ 3.98+23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Handicap +2 (Rhyl)Actual: Draw
Rhyl +2
54.8%
Draw +2
20.1%
Bala Town -2
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RhylRhyl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L03L20W10W00D01L10W00D20WA·BRI17/03A·CAE21/03A·NEW24/03H·DEN27/03H·GUI03/04H·GRE07/04A·PEN18/04H·GUI01/08A·POR08/08H·CAE15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.760.590.230.77
vs Stronger (28)0.570.640.810.620.250.67
vs Similar (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bala Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bala TownBala Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W10W20W00D00D00D10WA·BRI21/02H·LLA27/02A·FLI14/03H·HAV21/03A·CAR28/03A·LLA03/04H·BRI18/04A·BAN31/07H·RUT07/08H·GRE21/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.500.810.500.57
vs Stronger (4)0.250.250.001.000.330.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.770.530.800.550.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.7%
@ 1.22-1.3%
Under 0.5
26.3%
@ 3.67+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.1%
@ 2.16-1.4%
Under 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.59+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 4.73+0.1%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.14-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rhyl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.0%
@ 1.87+7.6%
Under
43.0%
@ 1.83-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Rhyl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.0%
@ 4.85+13.1%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.13-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.85
Under
1xBet
1.13
Rhyl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 11.00+6.8%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.01-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Bala Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.2%
@ 1.77-16.1%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.95+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Bala Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 4.55-12.0%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.15+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.55
Under
1xBet
1.15
Bala Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 10.00-6.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RhylRhyl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D13L10W02L10W02L01L01L22DA·BRI17/03A·CAE21/03A·NEW24/03H·DEN27/03H·GUI03/04H·GRE07/04A·PEN18/04H·GUI01/08A·POR08/08H·CAE15/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.071.240.880.771.31
vs Stronger (28)1.070.891.250.750.831.08
vs Similar (2)0.503.501.003.000.004.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bala Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bala TownBala Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D10W00D02L30W12L21W21W20WA·BRI21/02H·LLA27/02A·FLI14/03H·HAV21/03A·CAR28/03A·LLA03/04H·BRI18/04A·BAN31/07H·RUT07/08H·GRE21/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.560.620.711.07
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.810.600.600.641.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rhyl) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
87.2%
@ 1.12+6.1%
Under 0.5
12.8%
@ 4.85-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.73+3.0%
Under 1.5
43.6%
@ 1.98-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Under
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.5%
@ 3.15+4.6%
Under 2.5
66.5%
@ 1.28-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rhyl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
70.6%
@ 1.60+13.4%
Under
29.4%
@ 2.14-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Under
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Rhyl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
34.6%
@ 3.80+10.5%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.21-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Rhyl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 9.10+7.1%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.03-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Bala Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.52-14.2%
Under
54.1%
@ 2.29+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Bala Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
12.5%
@ 3.40-14.5%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.26+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Bala Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.5%
@ 8.45-7.5%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals98.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.7%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.5%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+7.5%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap95.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals92.7%1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
---+15.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.8%1.15
1xBet
1.15
----+12.0%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals90.3%1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
---+10.8%✓ Hit
Under 5.588.5%1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+2.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.5%1.26
1xBet
1.26
----+14.5%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals87.2%1.12
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
---+6.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals84.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
-----6.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.584.8%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.12
---+4.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals82.7%1.03
1xBet
1.03
-----7.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals80.5%1.14
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
---0.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away80.3%1.20
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals79.4%1.03
1xBet
1.03
-----9.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.576.5%1.20
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
--+1.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.7%1.22
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
---1.3%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals70.6%1.60
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
---+13.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
Rhyl and Bala Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
Rhyl and Bala Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
Rhyl and Bala Town have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
Rhyl and Bala Town have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RHY wins
0
Draws
0
BT wins

Head-to-head

Rhyl vs Bala Town · H/A from RHY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RhylRhyl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HRHY Vs Caersws4-2
08/08/26APorthmadog Vs RHY1-0
01/08/26HRHY Vs Guilsfield1-1
18/04/26APenrhyncoch Vs RHY3-0
07/04/26HRHY Vs Gresford Athletic1-0
03/04/26HRHY Vs Guilsfield1-2
27/03/26HRHY Vs Denbigh Town3-0
24/03/26ANewtown AFC Vs RHY6-1
21/03/26ACaersws Vs RHY1-0
17/03/26ABrickfield Rangers Vs RHY1-2

Bala TownBala Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HBT Vs Gresford Athletic3-0
07/08/26HBT Vs Ruthin Town2-1
31/07/26ABangor City 1876 FC Vs BT1-2
18/04/26HBT Vs Briton Ferry1-2
03/04/26Allanelli AFC Vs BT0-5
28/03/26ACardiff MET Vs BT2-1
21/03/26HBT Vs Haverfordwest County AFC1-0
14/03/26AFlint Town United Vs BT1-1
27/02/26HBT Vs llanelli AFC0-0
21/02/26ABriton Ferry Vs BT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rhyl
Rhyl
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.61
HomeWLWDW1.91
AwayWLLLL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%59%37%
AVG goals3.463.553.37
Over 1.5 %80%86%74%
Over 2.5 %71%77%63%
Over 3.5 %41%45%37%
Scored1.662.001.26
Conceded1.801.552.11
BTTS66%73%58%
Clean Sheet20%23%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Bala Town
Bala Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.00
HomeDWLWW1.08
AwayLDLWW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.542.242.84
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.040.921.16
Conceded1.501.321.68
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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