Ried enter the match after a defeat, their recent five games showing a mix of losses and a draw, while Red Bull Salzburg come off a four-game winning streak, scoring four against Austria Vienna. The model’s most confident outcome is an away win, with a 54% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 20% home win. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% probability. Ried, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Salzburg, away against a weaker side, average 2.15 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%, edge 4%), Under 6.5 (98.3%, edge 4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%, edge 4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%, edge 7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%, edge 9%) and Under 5.5 (95.1%, edge 7%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ried win
19.7%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.50
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.97
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.95
Red Bull Salzburg win
53.7%
Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.67
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ried
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.60
0.87
1.07
1.73
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
1.56
1.60
1.00
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.21
1.60
0.80
0.78
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.10
1.73
1.07
2.07
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.96
1.04
1.79
1.07
2.15
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.4%
@ 1.17-4.7%
Under 1.5
25.6%
@ 4.43+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.60-10.8%
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 2.30+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Bet365
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.43-11.8%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.50+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Both teams to score
Yes
50.3%
@ 1.60-7.6%
No
49.7%
@ 2.19+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
No
1xBet
2.21
William Hil
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 7.59+6.7%
0-1
11.3%@ 8.39+5.8%
0-2
10.4%@ 8.98+5.3%
1-2
9.6%@ 7.83+3.8%
0-0
8.6%@ 13.89+5.3%
0-3
5.8%@ 12.86+2.2%
1-0
5.8%@ 14.96+2.7%
1-3
5.4%@ 11.61+1.4%
Ried goals ↓
Red Bull Salzburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
11%
10%
5.8%
2.4%
1
5.8%
13%
9.6%
5.4%
2.2%
2
3.2%
5.4%
4.5%
2.5%
1.0%
3
1.0%
1.7%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ried goals (down), columns = Red Bull Salzburg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Ried is 1.80 points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Ried is 1.60 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Ried is 1.40 goals worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Ried is 13.6 percentage points worse than Red Bull Salzburg in terms of average possession (52% vs 66%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ried
For 4.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Red Bull Salzburg
For 8.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 17.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.5
3.9
4.2
3.5
22.7
22.2
23.3
vs Stronger (14)
8.9
10.3
7.5
3.4
3.4
3.5
20.2
20.7
19.8
vs Similar (31)
9.0
9.3
8.6
4.5
4.6
4.5
23.8
22.8
25.0
vs Weaker (5)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
-
0.8
22.0
-
22.0
% over line
39%
48%
30%
60%
67%
54%
61%
52%
70%
% under line
61%
52%
70%
40%
33%
46%
39%
48%
30%
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.7
8.8
3.1
3.5
2.7
20.2
19.3
21.2
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (9)
8.2
11.3
6.7
3.4
3.0
3.7
21.6
20.3
22.2
vs Weaker (40)
9.5
9.5
9.6
3.0
3.5
2.4
19.8
18.9
20.8
% over line
41%
48%
33%
34%
40%
28%
34%
30%
38%
% under line
59%
52%
67%
66%
60%
72%
66%
70%
62%
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Lask Linz
3.7
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
Ried
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.3
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.3%
Under 3.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.6%
Under 21.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ried or Draw
46.3%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.16
Edge
+2.8%
20%
27%
54%
covers Ried + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Ried or Red Bull Salzburg
73.4%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
-3.7%
20%
27%
54%
covers Ried + Red Bull Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw or Red Bull Salzburg
80.3%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.19
Edge
+1.0%
20%
27%
54%
covers Draw + Red Bull Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ried over/under 0.5
Over
60.5%
@ 1.40-5.6%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.73+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.68
Marathonbet
2.68
Ried over/under 1.5
Over
23.8%
@ 2.94-7.8%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.36+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.99
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Ried over/under 2.5
Over
6.8%
@ 7.48-5.7%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Ried over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 17.25-4.1%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5
Over
81.2%
@ 1.11-3.1%
Under
18.8%
@ 5.92+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.50
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5
Over
49.7%
@ 1.59-8.8%
Under
50.3%
@ 2.25+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5
Over
23.5%
@ 2.83-9.4%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.39+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 3.5
Over
8.9%
@ 5.78-7.3%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.11+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ried, so a minus line means Ried give that many goals of a start and Red Bull Salzburg receive them. At -1, Ried must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ried win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ried)
Ried -2
1.8%
@ 26.00-1.8%
Draw -2
5.2%
@ 14.50-1.3%
Red Bull Salzburg +2
92.9%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
26.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (Ried)
Ried -1
7.1%
@ 9.55-2.4%
Draw -1
12.7%
@ 6.26-1.7%
Red Bull Salzburg +1
80.3%
@ 1.19+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
10Bet
8.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Handicap +1 (Ried)
Ried +1
46.3%
@ 2.15+4.5%
Draw +1
23.7%
@ 3.69-0.6%
Red Bull Salzburg -1
29.9%
@ 2.65-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.60
Handicap +2 (Ried)
Ried +2
70.1%
@ 1.41+5.9%
Draw +2
16.9%
@ 4.89-1.6%
Red Bull Salzburg -2
13.0%
@ 5.20-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.20
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.60
0.20
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.42
0.60
0.20
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.93
0.53
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
0.93
0.63
0.93
0.57
0.92
0.69
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.27-4.1%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 3.39+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
William Hil
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.3%
@ 2.30-7.3%
Under 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.57+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Under
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 5.20-5.8%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.13+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.4%
@ 2.35-1.1%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.53+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Ried over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 7.95-3.0%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Ried over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.6%
@ 1.61-3.9%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.18+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.3%
@ 3.88-8.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.21+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 9.50-6.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
1.00
0.67
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.89
1.00
0.80
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.79
1.00
0.60
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Bull Salzburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Red Bull Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
0.80
0.53
1.13
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.04
0.41
0.86
0.50
1.23
0.31
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.17-2.5%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 4.67+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.75
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.82-9.0%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.92+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
2.00
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.8%
@ 3.48-7.9%
Under 2.5
81.2%
@ 1.27+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.7%
@ 1.96-1.6%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.76+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.98
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.72
Ried over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
@ 5.78-3.3%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.10+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Ried over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
@ 15.25-2.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.2%
@ 1.39-9.3%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.77+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.0%
@ 2.85-11.5%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.37+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Red Bull Salzburg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
@ 6.90-8.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.07+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.5%
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+7.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+8.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
+5.7%
Away +2 handicap
92.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+3.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
91.1%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+7.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.8%
Under 4.5
87.7%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+9.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+3.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.21
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-
+8.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+7.9%
Away over 0.5 goals
81.2%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-3.1%
Draw or Away
80.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+1.0%
Away +1 handicap
80.3%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-
+4.1%
Under 5.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.0%
1.37
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
-
+11.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.17
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-2.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
76.5%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
+9.4%
Home under 1.5 goals
76.2%
1.36
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+7.8%
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.4%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-4.7%
Under 3.5
73.6%
1.50
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
+11.8%
Home or Away
73.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-3.7%
Under 23.5 fouls
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
70.1%
1.41
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
-
+5.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niama Pape Sissoko40%
Jussef Nasrawe25%
Stefan Schwab20%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi20%
Evan Eghosa20%
Ante Bajić0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Malicsek40%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi40%
Niama Pape Sissoko40%
Joris Boguo33%
Tino Kusanović33%
Tobias Lund Jensen25%
Martin Rasner20%
Stefan Schwab0%
Ante Bajić0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Jussef Nasrawe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ante Bajić40%
Jussef Nasrawe25%
Stefan Schwab20%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Niama Pape Sissoko0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi20%
Niama Pape Sissoko20%
Stefan Schwab0%
Ante Bajić0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
Jussef Nasrawe0%
Red Bull Salzburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Konaté75%
H. Tabaković50%
Y. Vertessen40%
Frans Krätzig33%
Edmund Baidoo33%
Sota Kitano25%
N. Veratschnig20%
B. Mazurek20%
D. Schmid0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Kévin Boma0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
A. Camara0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Schmid25%
A. Camara25%
H. Tabaković0%
Y. Vertessen0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Kévin Boma0%
Frans Krätzig0%
N. Veratschnig0%
Damir Redzic0%
Sota Kitano0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
K. Konaté0%
B. Mazurek0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abubakr Barry40%
Frans Krätzig33%
D. Schmid25%
Kévin Boma25%
Sota Kitano25%
A. Camara25%
Y. Vertessen20%
N. Veratschnig20%
B. Mazurek20%
H. Tabaković0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
K. Konaté0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
K. Konaté100%
H. Tabaković50%
A. Camara50%
Kévin Boma25%
Sota Kitano25%
Y. Vertessen20%
N. Veratschnig20%
D. Schmid0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Damir Redzic0%
Tim Drexler0%
L. Morgalla0%
B. Mazurek0%
Valentin Zabransky0%
Christian Zawieschitzky0%
Edmund Baidoo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Ried's squad is €98m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€7m vs €105m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Ried's attack is €45m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€2m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Ried's midfield is €26m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€3m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Ried's defence is €27m less valuable than Red Bull Salzburg's (€3m vs €29m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna