This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.47
1.60
1.53
1.53
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.00
1.12
1.88
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (18)
1.83
1.28
1.86
1.29
1.82
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.2%
Under 2.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
Ried goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
9.0%
7.6%
3.8%
1.4%
1
6.9%
13%
9.1%
4.5%
1.7%
2
4.8%
7.2%
5.4%
2.7%
1.0%
3
1.9%
2.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ried goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Grazer AK
1.16
FC BW Linz
0.91
Ried is 0.12 points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
FC BW Linz
1.16
SCR Altach
1.12
Ried is 0.05 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
FC BW Linz
1.53
Austria Vienna
1.56
WSG Wattens
1.62
Ried is 0.28 goals better than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
FC BW Linz
50%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
Ried is 4.9 percentage points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (49% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ried
For 3.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
For 5.4 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.6
7.8
3.6
3.2
3.9
22.6
22.8
22.4
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
12.5
8.0
4.8
3.7
8.0
21.0
19.5
24.0
vs Similar (30)
6.9
6.5
7.1
3.9
3.7
4.1
22.6
22.4
22.8
vs Weaker (16)
8.9
8.0
9.8
2.7
2.2
3.1
23.0
25.0
21.0
% over line
22%
24%
20%
58%
46%
69%
62%
65%
60%
% under line
78%
76%
80%
42%
54%
31%
38%
35%
40%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
4.1
4.1
4.0
22.2
22.1
22.3
vs Stronger (22)
11.0
10.7
11.3
3.6
3.5
3.7
20.8
21.8
19.6
vs Similar (27)
9.2
8.8
9.5
4.6
4.7
4.5
23.4
22.3
24.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
57%
50%
54%
39%
67%
53%
61%
45%
% under line
47%
43%
50%
46%
61%
33%
47%
39%
55%
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.8
Austria Vienna
10.6
Wolfsberger AC
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.9
Lask Linz
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.5
Red Bull Salzburg
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.5
Grazer AK
9.2
FC BW Linz
9.1
SCR Altach
8.7
Ried
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Grazer AK
5.7
SCR Altach
5.6
Austria Vienna
5.3
TSV Hartberg
5.0
Ried
5.0
Wolfsberger AC
4.8
FC BW Linz
4.8
Lask Linz
4.7
Sturm Graz
4.7
Rapid Vienna
4.7
WSG Wattens
4.5
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.0
Sturm Graz
24.3
Austria Vienna
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
FC BW Linz
23.0
Ried
23.0
Wolfsberger AC
22.9
Rapid Vienna
22.8
WSG Wattens
22.6
TSV Hartberg
22.5
Lask Linz
21.4
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.9%
Under 9.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.6%
Under 3.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
0.79
0.50
0.81
0.12
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.21
0.71
0.29
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.12
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.57
0.82
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.53
0.93
0.36
1.19
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.53
0.57
0.43
1.25
0.58
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.50
1.60
0.20
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.03
0.73
1.07
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.42
0.62
1.38
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.78
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kingstone Mutandwa34%
Mark Große15%
Peter Kiedl15%
Ante Bajić13%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Philipp Pomer9%
Nikki Havenaar9%
Oliver Steurer6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Joris Boguo4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Yussef Nasrawe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Bajić32%
Christopher Wernitznig20%
Nicolas Bajlicz20%
Peter Kiedl20%
Philipp Pomer19%
Kingstone Mutandwa19%
Martin Rasner19%
Michael Sollbauer18%
Joris Boguo16%
Mark Große15%
Jonas Mayer14%
Saliou Sané12%
Yussef Nasrawe12%
Nikki Havenaar12%
Oliver Steurer11%
Andreas Leitner9%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Yusuf Maart3%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Antonio Van Wyk0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ante Bajić16%
Philipp Pomer12%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Peter Kiedl10%
Mark Große8%
Kingstone Mutandwa6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Nikki Havenaar6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Jonas Mayer3%
Michael Sollbauer3%
Andreas Leitner3%
Oliver Steurer3%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kingstone Mutandwa38%
Mark Große15%
Antonio Van Wyk7%
Ante Bajić6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Peter Kiedl5%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Nikki Havenaar0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Philipp Pomer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentino Müller26%
Nikolai Frederiksen24%
Moritz Wels17%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi12%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Marco Boras7%
Jamie Lawrence6%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Matthäus Taferner4%
David Gugganig0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Quincy Butler0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Kubatta32%
Marco Boras30%
Matthäus Taferner23%
Quincy Butler22%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi21%
Moritz Wels20%
Christian Huetz18%
Johannes Naschberger17%
Valentino Müller16%
Nikolai Frederiksen16%
Jamie Lawrence16%
Thomas Sabitzer15%
Yannick Votter15%
David Gugganig12%
Benjamin Böckle10%
David Jaunegg9%
Lukas Sulzbacher8%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Adam Stejskal3%
Tobias Anselm0%
Thomas Geris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Sulzbacher17%
Valentino Müller13%
Nikolai Frederiksen12%
Quincy Butler11%
Marco Boras10%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi8%
Matthäus Taferner8%
Thomas Sabitzer8%
Benjamin Böckle7%
Moritz Wels7%
Tobias Anselm5%
David Kubatta4%
Johannes Naschberger3%
David Gugganig0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Moritz Wels17%
Lukas Hinterseer7%
Valentino Müller6%
David Gugganig6%
Ademola Ola-Adebomi4%
Thomas Sabitzer4%
Marco Boras3%
Jamie Lawrence3%
Matthäus Taferner0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Tobias Anselm0%
Quincy Butler0%
Benjamin Böckle0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
David Kubatta0%
Yannick Votter0%
Christian Huetz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Ried and WSG Wattens have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Ried and WSG Wattens have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Ried and WSG Wattens have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Ried and WSG Wattens have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
FC BW Linz