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Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 6-0
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Vs
89%
8%
3%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Riga FC II win✓ Hit
88.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
7.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA win✗ Miss
3.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1131W21W30W01L112W70W22D30W00D01LH·VAL03/09A·RĪG15/09H·JDF24/09A·SKA30/09H·PRO07/10A·SMI22/10H·SAL29/10A·TUK04/11H·OGR07/04H·SUP13/04
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.970.873.270.872.670.87
vs Stronger (22)2.820.953.090.912.551.00
vs Similar (6)3.500.504.000.333.000.67
vs Weaker (2)3.001.003.002.003.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-901L11D09L00D12L03L07L21W05L22DH·RĪG03/09A·JDF17/09A·SKA24/09A·PRO30/09H·SMI07/10A·SAL22/10H·TUK29/10H·BEI12/11A·SUP06/04H·JFK15/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.673.130.812.380.504.00
vs Stronger (13)0.772.770.861.430.674.33
vs Similar (13)0.543.460.862.570.174.50
vs Weaker (4)0.753.250.505.001.001.50
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%05%112%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.9%
Under 1.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.0%
Under 2.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.7%
Under 3.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
10.2%
4-0
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
5-0
7.1%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.0%
5-1
5.1%
Riga FC II goals ↓
Rēzekne FA goals →
01234
01.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
14.1%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.1%
28.2%6.0%2.2%0.5%0.1%
310%7.4%2.7%0.7%0.1%
49.5%6.9%2.5%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Riga FC II goals (down), columns = Rēzekne FA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Super Nova
2.50
Rīgas FS II
2.42
JDFS Alberts
2.23
Riga FC II
1.85
Skanste
1.58
Valmiera II
1.31
Mārupe
1.27
Leevon / PPK
1.19
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.15
JFK Ventspils
1.15
Ogre United
1.12
Tukums II
0.73
Smiltene
0.65
Rēzekne FA
0.54
Riga FC II is 1.31 points better than Rēzekne FA in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 0.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rīgas FS II
2.73
Super Nova
2.50
Riga FC II
2.27
JDFS Alberts
2.04
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.73
Valmiera II
1.58
Skanste
1.50
Ogre United
1.42
Leevon / PPK
1.38
JFK Ventspils
1.23
Mārupe
0.96
Tukums II
0.96
Smiltene
0.92
Rēzekne FA
0.69
Riga FC II is 1.58 goals better than Rēzekne FA in terms of goals scored per game (2.27 vs 0.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Super Nova
0.42
Rīgas FS II
0.69
JDFS Alberts
0.81
Riga FC II
1.00
Skanste
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.42
Leevon / PPK
1.46
Valmiera II
1.50
Ogre United
1.69
Mārupe
1.69
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.92
Smiltene
2.38
Tukums II
2.62
Rēzekne FA
3.23
Riga FC II is 2.23 goals better than Rēzekne FA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 3.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D30W01L41W40W20W20W00D00DH·VAL03/09A·RĪG15/09H·JDF24/09A·SKA30/09H·PRO07/10A·SMI22/10H·SAL29/10A·TUK04/11H·OGR07/04H·SUP13/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.431.600.401.270.47
vs Stronger (22)1.360.411.550.361.180.45
vs Similar (6)1.670.332.000.001.330.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W03L00D02L01L02L01L01L21WH·RĪG03/09A·JDF17/09A·SKA24/09A·PRO30/09H·SMI07/10A·SAL22/10H·TUK29/10H·BEI12/11A·SUP06/04H·JFK15/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.530.501.250.211.86
vs Stronger (13)0.381.620.571.000.172.33
vs Similar (13)0.381.620.571.430.171.83
vs Weaker (4)0.251.000.001.500.500.50
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D21W00D00D71W30W02L10W00D01LH·VAL03/09A·RĪG15/09H·JDF24/09A·SKA30/09H·PRO07/10A·SMI22/10H·SAL29/10A·TUK04/11H·OGR07/04H·SUP13/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.431.800.471.400.40
vs Stronger (22)1.550.551.730.551.360.55
vs Similar (6)1.830.172.000.331.670.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Rēzekne FA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D01L06L00D10W02L05L20W04L01LH·RĪG03/09A·JDF17/09A·SKA24/09A·PRO30/09H·SMI07/10A·SAL22/10H·TUK29/10H·BEI12/11A·SUP06/04H·JFK15/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.600.311.120.292.14
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.290.430.502.00
vs Similar (13)0.151.850.291.140.002.67
vs Weaker (4)0.502.250.503.500.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rēzekne FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win88.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
L/P (1)
€0m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (12)
€2m
SN (8)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SN (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
L/P (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OU (11)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
L/P (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
4
RFI wins
0
Draws
0
RF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA · H/A from RFI
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HRFI Vs Rēzekne FA9-0
16/04/23ARēzekne FA Vs RFI0-5
30/10/22ARēzekne FA Vs RFI1-3
16/07/22HRFI Vs Rēzekne FA5-1

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HRFI Vs Super Nova0-1
07/04/24HRFI Vs Ogre United0-0
04/11/23ATukums II Vs RFI0-3
29/10/23HRFI Vs Saldus SS/Leevon2-2
22/10/23ASmiltene Vs RFI0-7
07/10/23HRFI Vs Progress / AFA Olaine11-2
30/09/23ASkanste Vs RFI1-0
24/09/23HRFI Vs JDFS Alberts3-0
15/09/23ARīgas FS II Vs RFI1-2
03/09/23HRFI Vs Valmiera II3-1

Rēzekne FARēzekne FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/24HRF Vs JFK Ventspils2-2
06/04/24ASuper Nova Vs RF5-0
12/11/23HRF Vs Beitar2-1
29/10/23HRF Vs Tukums II0-7
22/10/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs RF3-0
07/10/23HRF Vs Smiltene1-2
30/09/23AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs RF0-0
24/09/23ASkanste Vs RF9-0
17/09/23AJDFS Alberts Vs RF1-1
03/09/23HRF Vs Rīgas FS II0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL2.36
HomeWWDDL2.40
AwayDWLWW2.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%76%72%
AVG goals4.064.203.92
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %56%56%56%
Scored3.243.363.12
Conceded0.820.840.80
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet50%52%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Rēzekne FA
Rēzekne FA
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD0.58
HomeLLLWD0.80
AwayDLDLL0.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%24%4%
AVG goals3.823.683.96
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %66%72%60%
Over 3.5 %54%56%52%
Scored0.921.240.60
Conceded2.902.443.36
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Super NovaSuper Nova2665
81%
2.5
6511+54
2.9
73%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.50.4
-
2Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2663
77%
2.4
7118+53
3.4
88%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.7
-
3JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2658
73%
2.2
5321+32
2.8
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
4Riga FC IIRiga FC II2648
50%
1.8
5926+33
3.3
77%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
5SkansteSkanste2641
46%
1.6
3928+11
2.6
58%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Valmiera IIValmiera II2634
38%
1.3
4139+2
3.1
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
7MārupeMārupe2633
35%
1.3
2544-19
2.7
65%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2631
35%
1.2
3638-2
2.8
73%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
9Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2630
31%
1.2
4550-5
3.7
92%
73%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2630
31%
1.2
3237-5
2.7
77%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ogre UnitedOgre United2629
27%
1.1
3744-7
3.1
85%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.41.7
-
12Tukums IITukums II2619
19%
0.7
2568-43
3.6
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.6
-
13SmilteneSmiltene2617
15%
0.7
2462-38
3.3
92%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.4
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2614
12%
0.5
1884-66
3.9
92%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.2
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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