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Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Vs
51%
21%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Riga FC II win✓ Hit
51.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-880W60W31W14L35L40W50W40W01L31WA·PRO19/10H·RĪG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.230.972.930.933.531.00
vs Stronger (23)3.000.962.580.833.451.09
vs Similar (5)4.001.005.501.503.000.67
vs Weaker (2)4.001.002.001.006.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-823L06L61W60W22D20W30W70W50W81WH·SAL15/10A·RIG22/10H·VAL28/10H·TUK05/11A·RĒZ13/11H·SAL07/04A·TUK15/04H·DIN22/04H·BEI30/04H·RĒZ05/05
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
4.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.271.373.471.063.001.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.901.403.671.001.752.00
vs Weaker (20)3.451.353.361.093.561.67
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%06%116%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.4%
Under 1.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.8%
Under 2.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.2%
Under 3.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.9%
No
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
2-3
3.9%
Riga FC II goals ↓
Rīgas FS II goals →
01234
02.6%2.4%2.6%1.5%0.6%
13.6%8.0%6.1%3.4%1.4%
25.0%8.3%7.0%3.9%1.6%
33.8%6.4%5.3%3.0%1.3%
42.2%3.7%3.1%1.7%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Riga FC II goals (down), columns = Rīgas FS II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
Riga FC II is 1.02 points better than Rīgas FS II in terms of average points per game (2.44 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
Rīgas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo Rīga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
Riga FC II is 1.05 goals better than Rīgas FS II in terms of goals scored per game (3.28 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo Rīga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
Riga FC II is 1.02 goals better than Rīgas FS II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W40W21W12L03L30W20W10W01L10WA·PRO19/10H·RĪG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.471.330.471.330.47
vs Stronger (23)1.260.481.330.421.180.55
vs Similar (5)1.200.401.000.501.330.33
vs Weaker (2)2.500.502.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L31W30W12L10W10W40W20W41WH·SAL15/10A·RIG22/10H·VAL28/10H·TUK05/11A·RĒZ13/11H·SAL07/04A·TUK15/04H·DIN22/04H·BEI30/04H·RĒZ05/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.831.940.711.691.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.000.831.501.25
vs Weaker (20)1.850.751.910.641.780.89
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W10W02L32W10W30W30W00D21WA·PRO19/10H·RĪG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.501.600.472.200.53
vs Stronger (23)1.740.481.250.422.270.55
vs Similar (5)2.800.604.501.001.670.33
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L30W30W10W10W20W30W30W40WH·SAL15/10A·RIG22/10H·VAL28/10H·TUK05/11A·RĒZ13/11H·SAL07/04A·TUK15/04H·DIN22/04H·BEI30/04H·RĒZ05/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.531.530.351.310.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.401.670.170.250.75
vs Weaker (20)1.600.601.450.451.780.78
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.8%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
RFI wins
0
Draws
0
RFI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II · H/A from RFI
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HRFI Vs Rīgas FS II6-0
02/07/22ARīgas FS II Vs RFI0-2

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23AValmiera II Vs RFI1-3
29/04/23HRFI Vs Grobiņa0-1
22/04/23HRFI Vs JFK Ventspils4-0
16/04/23ARēzekne FA Vs RFI0-5
11/04/23HRFI Vs Beitar4-0
13/11/22AGrobiņa Vs RFI5-3
05/11/22HRFI Vs FS Jelgava1-4
30/10/22ARēzekne FA Vs RFI1-3
22/10/22HRFI Vs Rīgas FS II6-0
19/10/22AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs RFI0-8

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/23HRFI Vs Rēzekne FA8-1
30/04/23HRFI Vs Beitar5-0
22/04/23HRFI Vs Dinamo Rīga7-0
15/04/23ATukums II Vs RFI0-3
07/04/23HRFI Vs Saldus SS/Leevon2-0
13/11/22ARēzekne FA Vs RFI2-2
05/11/22HRFI Vs Tukums II6-0
28/10/22HRFI Vs Valmiera II6-1
22/10/22ARiga FC II Vs RFI6-0
15/10/22HRFI Vs Salaspils2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.32
HomeWLWWL2.31
AwayWWLWW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%75%73%
AVG goals4.163.814.53
Over 1.5 %90%81%100%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %61%50%73%
Scored3.232.943.53
Conceded0.940.881.00
BTTS45%38%53%
Clean Sheet48%50%47%
Corners---
Cards---
Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.97
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayWWLDW1.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%65%57%
AVG goals4.654.534.79
Over 1.5 %94%88%100%
Over 2.5 %77%71%86%
Over 3.5 %71%71%71%
Scored3.233.472.93
Conceded1.421.061.86
BTTS58%53%64%
Clean Sheet26%29%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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