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Rīgas FS II vs Riga FC II Result & Analysis

Date: 15/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rīgas FS II win✗ Miss
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II win✓ Hit
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L01L10W12L32W01L14L23L10WH·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08A·RĒZ03/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.831.403.430.792.311.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.921.003.830.502.001.50
vs Weaker (18)2.781.673.121.002.502.20
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-910W30W31W32W21W60W90W00D11D31WA·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07A·DIN29/07A·BEI05/08H·RĒZ12/08A·JFK20/08A·GRO27/08H·VAL03/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.200.803.360.793.060.81
vs Stronger (23)2.910.742.700.603.080.85
vs Similar (5)4.800.807.501.003.000.67
vs Weaker (2)2.501.502.501.50--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2 ✓
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
Rīgas FS II goals ↓
Riga FC II goals →
01234
05.0%5.3%5.1%2.7%1.1%
15.4%11%8.3%4.4%1.8%
25.2%8.4%6.7%3.6%1.4%
32.8%4.5%3.6%1.9%0.8%
41.1%1.8%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rīgas FS II goals (down), columns = Riga FC II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo Rīga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
Rīgas FS II is 1.02 points worse than Riga FC II in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 2.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
Rīgas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo Rīga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
Rīgas FS II is 1.05 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals scored per game (2.23 vs 3.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
Rīgas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo Rīga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
Rīgas FS II is 1.02 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L10W02L31W00D02L11D10WH·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08A·RĒZ03/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.831.600.601.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.750.751.830.501.671.00
vs Weaker (18)1.280.891.440.671.111.11
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D21W12L20W30W30W00D10W20WA·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07A·DIN29/07A·BEI05/08H·RĒZ12/08A·JFK20/08A·GRO27/08H·VAL03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.471.460.541.410.41
vs Stronger (23)1.350.351.220.331.430.36
vs Similar (5)1.800.602.500.501.330.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.501.501.50--
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D00D10W01L01L12L12L00DH·JFK03/06H·JDF02/07A·SKA09/07H·PRO22/07A·SMI29/07A·SAL05/08H·TUK11/08A·DIN19/08A·BEI26/08A·RĒZ03/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.471.600.201.130.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.252.000.000.330.50
vs Weaker (18)1.500.611.330.331.670.89
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W30W10W20W01L30W60W00D01L11DA·PRO03/06H·SMI01/07A·SAL09/07H·TUK22/07A·DIN29/07A·BEI05/08H·RĒZ12/08A·JFK20/08A·GRO27/08H·VAL03/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.331.850.311.590.35
vs Stronger (23)1.480.391.330.331.570.43
vs Similar (5)3.000.205.000.501.670.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Rīgas FS II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rīgas FS II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rīgas FS II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
RFI wins
0
Draws
3
RFI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rīgas FS II vs Riga FC II · H/A from RFI
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23ARiga FC II Vs RFI4-0
22/10/22ARiga FC II Vs RFI6-0
02/07/22HRFI Vs Riga FC II0-2

Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23ARēzekne FA Vs RFI0-1
26/08/23ABeitar Vs RFI3-2
19/08/23ADinamo Rīga Vs RFI4-1
11/08/23HRFI Vs Tukums II0-1
05/08/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs RFI2-3
29/07/23ASmiltene Vs RFI2-1
22/07/23HRFI Vs Progress / AFA Olaine1-0
09/07/23ASkanste Vs RFI1-0
02/07/23HRFI Vs JDFS Alberts1-2
03/06/23HRFI Vs JFK Ventspils2-0

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23HRFI Vs Valmiera II3-1
27/08/23AGrobiņa Vs RFI1-1
20/08/23AJFK Ventspils Vs RFI0-0
12/08/23HRFI Vs Rēzekne FA9-0
05/08/23ABeitar Vs RFI0-6
29/07/23ADinamo Rīga Vs RFI1-2
22/07/23HRFI Vs Tukums II3-2
09/07/23ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs RFI1-3
01/07/23HRFI Vs Smiltene3-0
03/06/23AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs RFI0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rīgas FS II
Rīgas FS II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.75
HomeWWLWL1.95
AwayLWLLW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%64%45%
AVG goals4.164.094.23
Over 1.5 %86%82%91%
Over 2.5 %70%64%77%
Over 3.5 %61%59%64%
Scored2.683.092.27
Conceded1.481.001.95
BTTS57%50%64%
Clean Sheet25%32%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW2.39
HomeWWWWW2.50
AwayWWWDD2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%82%68%
AVG goals3.954.003.91
Over 1.5 %89%86%91%
Over 2.5 %70%77%64%
Over 3.5 %57%55%59%
Scored3.143.233.05
Conceded0.820.770.86
BTTS45%36%55%
Clean Sheet50%55%45%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RīgaDinamo Rīga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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