Rilski Sportist are set to face Yantra 2019 in a match that the model deems most likely to finish with an away victory. The prediction shows a 28 % chance of a home win, 30 % for a draw and 42 % for an away win, making the latter the favoured outcome. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 14.2 %. Rilski Sportist, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Yantra 2019, on the road, average 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9 %), Under 5.5 (96.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3 %), Home under 2.5 goals (91.2 %), Under 4.5 (90.7 %) and Away +2 handicap (89.1 %). Yantra’s recent three-game winning streak and Rilski’s recent win suggest momentum for the visitors.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rilski Sportist win
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 win
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rilski Sportist
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.25
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.97
1.43
0.93
1.38
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.40
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.25
0.75
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.3%
Rilski Sportist goals ↓
Yantra 2019 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
7.9%
3.5%
1.1%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.2%
2
5.3%
7.0%
4.6%
2.0%
0.7%
3
1.9%
2.5%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rilski Sportist goals (down), columns = Yantra 2019 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Rilski Sportist is 0.57 points worse than Yantra 2019 in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Rilski Sportist is 0.29 goals worse than Yantra 2019 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Rilski Sportist and Yantra 2019 are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rilski Sportist or Draw
59.3%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
41%
covers Rilski Sportist + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist or Yantra 2019
70.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
41%
covers Rilski Sportist + Yantra 2019
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Yantra 2019
70.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
41%
covers Draw + Yantra 2019
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rilski Sportist over/under 0.5
Over
66.2%
Under
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 1.5
Over
29.6%
Under
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 2.5
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rilski Sportist, so a minus line means Rilski Sportist give that many goals of a start and Yantra 2019 receive them. At -1, Rilski Sportist must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rilski Sportist win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rilski Sportist)
Rilski Sportist -2
3.6%
Draw -2
8.4%
Yantra 2019 +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rilski Sportist)
Rilski Sportist -1
11.9%
Draw -1
17.4%
Yantra 2019 +1
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rilski Sportist)
Rilski Sportist +1
59.3%
Draw +1
21.4%
Yantra 2019 -1
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rilski Sportist)
Rilski Sportist +2
80.8%
Draw +2
12.4%
Yantra 2019 -2
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rilski Sportist
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.60
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.9%
Under 0.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.4%
Under 1.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.9%
Under 2.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rilski Sportist over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.6%
Under
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rilski Sportist
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.75
0.75
0.33
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yantra 2019
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.1%
Under 0.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.8%
Under 1.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.0%
Under 2.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rilski Sportist over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.5%
Under
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.1%
Under
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →