This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esbjerg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.53
1.00
1.57
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.57
1.00
1.57
1.64
1.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ringsted) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (35%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
95.8%
Under 1.5
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
86.0%
Under 2.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
81.9%
No
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
1-1
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
4.3%
2-4
4.3%
Ringsted goals ↓
Esbjerg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.3%
1.8%
3.2%
3.0%
2.1%
1
1.2%
5.0%
6.4%
6.0%
4.2%
2
1.6%
4.6%
6.4%
6.0%
4.3%
3
1.1%
3.1%
4.3%
4.1%
2.9%
4
0.5%
1.5%
2.2%
2.0%
1.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ringsted goals (down), columns = Esbjerg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
3.00
Skive
2.50
Esbjerg
2.25
Frem
2.25
Næsby
2.25
Holbæk B&I
2.25
Avarta
2.00
Ishøj
2.00
Holstebro
2.00
Gørslev
2.00
Vanløse
2.00
VSK Århus
2.00
Silkeborg
2.00
Nykobing FC
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Aalborg
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Sonderjyske
2.00
FC Nordsjaelland
2.00
FC Fredericia
2.00
HB Koge
2.00
Brabrand
1.83
Aarhus
1.75
Middelfart
1.67
Brondby
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Kolding IF
1.67
Viborg
1.57
Thisted FC
1.50
Silkeborg KFUM
1.50
Vejgaard B
1.50
Allerød
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Midtjylland
1.50
AB Copenhagen
1.50
Randers FC
1.50
AC Horsens
1.50
Brønshøj
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Fremad Amager
1.33
Odense
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Snejbjerg
0.97
Skjold Sæby
0.97
Husum
0.97
Norager
0.97
Rudersdal
0.97
Øresund OKF
0.97
Marstal / Rise
0.97
Raklev
0.97
Skibsby-Hojene
0.97
KFUM Odense
0.97
FC Kalundborg
0.97
GVI
0.97
Sønderborg
0.97
Viktoria
0.97
Fredensborg BI
0.97
Tune
0.97
BK Chang
0.97
Skovsgård
0.97
LSF
0.97
FC Horsens
0.97
Vallensbæk
0.97
Oksbøl
0.97
Farsø/Ullits
0.97
Ålholm
0.97
Marienlyst
0.97
Tårnby FF
0.97
BSI
0.97
Skanderborg
0.97
Stenløse
0.97
Frem Sakskøbing
0.97
Grenaa
0.97
Skødstrup
0.97
Billund
0.97
Tved
0.97
TRIF
0.97
Mejrup
0.97
Bramming
0.97
Kolding B
0.50
ASA Aarhus
0.00
Naestved
0.00
Odder
0.00
Kastrup
0.00
Ringsted
0.00
Sundby
0.00
ESPM
0.00
SfB-Oure
0.00
Nørresundby
0.00
FC Nakskov
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
FA 2000
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
BiH Odense
0.00
Nerashté Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
Lyngby
0.00
Ringsted is 2.25 points worse than Esbjerg in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vanløse
5.50
Randers FC
5.00
Holstebro
4.67
FC Fredericia
4.67
Næsby
4.50
Ishøj
4.00
Skive
3.75
Sonderjyske
3.67
Esbjerg
3.50
Frem
3.25
Aalborg
3.20
FC Nordsjaelland
3.00
Silkeborg
2.57
Silkeborg KFUM
2.50
Vejgaard B
2.50
OKS
2.50
Hobro
2.50
AC Horsens
2.50
Brondby
2.33
HB Koge
2.33
Kolding IF
2.33
Viborg
2.29
Avarta
2.00
Gørslev
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
B 93
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
FC Midtjylland
2.00
AB Copenhagen
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.86
Holbæk B&I
1.75
Aarhus
1.75
Snejbjerg
1.50
Skjold Sæby
1.50
Husum
1.50
Norager
1.50
Rudersdal
1.50
Øresund OKF
1.50
Marstal / Rise
1.50
Raklev
1.50
Skibsby-Hojene
1.50
KFUM Odense
1.50
FC Kalundborg
1.50
GVI
1.50
Sønderborg
1.50
Viktoria
1.50
Fredensborg BI
1.50
Tune
1.50
BK Chang
1.50
Skovsgård
1.50
LSF
1.50
FC Horsens
1.50
Vallensbæk
1.50
Oksbøl
1.50
Farsø/Ullits
1.50
Ålholm
1.50
Marienlyst
1.50
Tårnby FF
1.50
BSI
1.50
Skanderborg
1.50
Stenløse
1.50
Frem Sakskøbing
1.50
Grenaa
1.50
Skødstrup
1.50
Billund
1.50
Tved
1.50
TRIF
1.50
Mejrup
1.50
Bramming
1.50
Brabrand
1.50
Allerød
1.50
NB Bornholm
1.50
B 1909
1.50
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
VSK Århus
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Middelfart
1.33
Hvidovre
1.33
Thisted FC
1.00
ASA Aarhus
1.00
Brønshøj
1.00
Kastrup
1.00
Kolding B
1.00
Ringsted
1.00
Sundby
1.00
SfB-Oure
1.00
Nørresundby
1.00
FC Nakskov
1.00
FA 2000
1.00
BiH Odense
1.00
Nykobing FC
1.00
Vendsyssel FF
1.00
Lyngby
1.00
Vejle
1.00
Naestved
0.00
Odense
0.00
Odder
0.00
ESPM
0.00
Lyseng
0.00
Kjellerup
0.00
Nerashté Ballerup
0.00
HIK
0.00
LUIF
0.00
Ringsted is 2.50 goals worse than Esbjerg in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Odense
0.00
FC Copenhagen
0.29
Skive
0.50
Vanløse
0.50
Nykobing FC
0.50
Randers FC
0.50
FC Nordsjaelland
0.50
Viborg
0.71
Frem
1.00
Gørslev
1.00
Allerød
1.00
VSK Århus
1.00
Lyseng
1.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.00
Nerashté Ballerup
1.00
Middelfart
1.00
B 93
1.00
FC Midtjylland
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Aalborg
1.00
Vejle
1.00
HB Koge
1.00
Hvidovre
1.00
Kolding IF
1.00
Esbjerg
1.25
Avarta
1.33
Ishøj
1.33
Holstebro
1.33
Roskilde
1.33
Sonderjyske
1.33
Brondby
1.33
Brabrand
1.50
Kolding B
1.50
OKS
1.50
Hobro
1.50
Aarhus
1.50
Silkeborg
1.57
Brønshøj
1.67
Hillerød
1.67
FC Fredericia
1.67
Næsby
1.75
Holbæk B&I
1.75
Thisted FC
2.00
ASA Aarhus
2.00
Naestved
2.00
Odder
2.00
Silkeborg KFUM
2.00
Kastrup
2.00
Vejgaard B
2.00
Ringsted
2.00
FC Helsingor
2.00
HIK
2.00
Fremad Amager
2.00
Vendsyssel FF
2.00
AC Horsens
2.00
NB Bornholm
2.50
B 1909
2.50
Snejbjerg
2.55
Skjold Sæby
2.55
Husum
2.55
Norager
2.55
Rudersdal
2.55
Øresund OKF
2.55
Marstal / Rise
2.55
Raklev
2.55
Skibsby-Hojene
2.55
KFUM Odense
2.55
FC Kalundborg
2.55
GVI
2.55
Sønderborg
2.55
Viktoria
2.55
Fredensborg BI
2.55
Tune
2.55
BK Chang
2.55
Skovsgård
2.55
LSF
2.55
FC Horsens
2.55
Vallensbæk
2.55
Oksbøl
2.55
Farsø/Ullits
2.55
Ålholm
2.55
Marienlyst
2.55
Tårnby FF
2.55
BSI
2.55
Skanderborg
2.55
Stenløse
2.55
Frem Sakskøbing
2.55
Grenaa
2.55
Skødstrup
2.55
Billund
2.55
Tved
2.55
TRIF
2.55
Mejrup
2.55
Bramming
2.55
Sundby
3.00
SfB-Oure
3.00
Nørresundby
4.00
FC Nakskov
4.00
BiH Odense
4.00
Lyngby
4.00
ESPM
5.00
FA 2000
5.00
Kjellerup
5.00
LUIF
10.00
Ringsted is 0.75 goals worse than Esbjerg in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ringsted or Draw✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
27%
19%
55%
covers Ringsted + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ringsted or Esbjerg✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied -
27%
19%
55%
covers Ringsted + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Esbjerg✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
27%
19%
55%
covers Draw + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ringsted over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
86.7%
Under
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.0%
Under
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
53.5%
Under
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
31.2%
Under
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ringsted, so a minus line means Ringsted give that many goals of a start and Esbjerg receive them. At -1, Ringsted must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ringsted win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ringsted)Actual: Esbjerg
Ringsted -2
6.1%
Draw -2
7.9%
Esbjerg +2
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ringsted)Actual: Esbjerg
Ringsted -1
14.0%
Draw -1
12.8%
Esbjerg +1
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ringsted)Actual: Draw
Ringsted +1
45.3%
Draw +1
18.0%
Esbjerg -1
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ringsted)Actual: Ringsted
Ringsted +2
63.4%
Draw +2
15.5%
Esbjerg -2
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ringsted
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esbjerg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.43
0.71
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.71
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ringsted) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ringsted over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ringsted
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.67
2.00
1.67
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
2.50
2.00
2.50
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esbjerg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.79
0.57
0.86
0.93
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ringsted) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ringsted over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ringsted over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
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Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →