Rizespor are favoured to win, with a 48% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of Alanyaspor taking the victory. The expected total of goals is 2.7, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 13.1% probability. Rizespor, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alanyaspor, on the road, average 1.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 with 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.0% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.1% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5% with a 6% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 94.5%. Rizespor have recently come off a win, while Alanyaspor are returning from a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rizespor win
47.4%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.92
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.01
Pinnacle
1.98
William Hil
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
Unibet
1.93
Draw
27.6%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.37
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Unibet
3.40
Alanyaspor win
25.0%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.95
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.11
Bet365
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
Marathonbet
4.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rizespor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.63
2.13
1.47
1.07
1.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.50
1.33
3.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.77
1.32
2.33
1.00
1.10
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.23
1.64
1.29
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.78
1.20
1.60
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.00
1.89
1.11
1.42
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.30+3.6%
Under 1.5
24.6%
@ 3.31-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.4%
@ 1.98+1.7%
Under 2.5
50.6%
@ 1.81-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.5%
@ 3.40+0.2%
Under 3.5
72.5%
@ 1.28-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Pinnacle
3.41
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
53.5%
@ 1.80+2.2%
No
46.5%
@ 1.90-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
No
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
William Hil
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.19+5.9%
1-0
9.9%@ 6.61+3.1%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.87+3.7%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.49+3.4%
0-0
8.3%@ 8.97+3.3%
1-2
6.5%@ 12.05+2.8%
0-1
6.4%@ 10.01+2.0%
2-2
5.1%@ 13.64+1.8%
Rizespor goals ↓
Alanyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.4%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.9%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.4%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.6%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.8%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rizespor goals (down), columns = Alanyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Rizespor is 0.12 points better than Alanyaspor in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Rizespor is 0.15 goals better than Alanyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Rizespor is 0.32 goals worse than Alanyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Rizespor is 1.7 percentage points better than Alanyaspor in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rizespor
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alanyaspor
For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rizespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
3.6
3.4
3.8
25.8
26.3
25.4
vs Stronger (12)
9.8
9.6
10.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.6
23.4
22.0
vs Similar (37)
9.0
9.2
8.7
3.5
3.3
3.7
27.2
27.8
26.7
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
15.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
% over line
50%
55%
45%
48%
44%
52%
82%
86%
77%
% under line
50%
45%
55%
52%
56%
48%
18%
14%
23%
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
9.0
7.2
3.9
3.3
4.4
27.2
26.4
27.9
vs Stronger (16)
8.1
8.7
7.6
3.5
3.1
3.9
25.4
25.7
25.1
vs Similar (33)
8.0
9.1
7.1
4.2
3.4
4.9
28.0
26.8
29.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
34%
38%
30%
54%
39%
67%
84%
81%
87%
% under line
66%
62%
70%
46%
61%
33%
16%
19%
13%
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Çorum FK
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Beşiktaş
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Çorum FK
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Trabzonspor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.5
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
22.9
Amed
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.2%
@ 2.65-1.8%
Under 9.5
66.8%
@ 1.43+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.63
Under
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.3%
Under 3.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.0%
Under 21.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rizespor or Draw
71.7%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.23
Edge
-4.8%
47%
28%
25%
covers Rizespor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Rizespor or Alanyaspor
72.1%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.9%
47%
28%
25%
covers Rizespor + Alanyaspor
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or Alanyaspor
56.2%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.85
Edge
+5.7%
47%
28%
25%
covers Draw + Alanyaspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rizespor over/under 0.5
Over
77.9%
@ 1.19+0.2%
Under
22.1%
@ 4.16-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Betano
4.05
Rizespor over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
@ 2.00-2.1%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.75+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Rizespor over/under 2.5
Over
19.4%
@ 4.13-3.1%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.20+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.17
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Rizespor over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
@ 9.24-3.4%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
8.90
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5
Over
69.1%
@ 1.47+5.8%
Under
30.9%
@ 2.53-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5
Over
32.8%
@ 3.32+4.7%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.30-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
Unibet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
@ 8.86+0.9%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.04-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
8.90
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Alanyaspor over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
@ 20.75-1.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rizespor, so a minus line means Rizespor give that many goals of a start and Alanyaspor receive them. At -1, Rizespor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rizespor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rizespor)
Rizespor -2
8.9%
@ 7.36-3.3%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 5.39-3.1%
Alanyaspor +2
77.6%
@ 1.26+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Rizespor)
Rizespor -1
22.4%
@ 3.42-3.8%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.58-3.6%
Alanyaspor +1
56.2%
@ 1.84+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Handicap +1 (Rizespor)
Rizespor +1
71.7%
@ 1.23-1.8%
Draw +1
16.3%
@ 5.50-0.1%
Alanyaspor -1
12.0%
@ 9.06+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Rizespor)
Rizespor +2
88.0%
@ 1.05+0.0%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 11.50+0.1%
Alanyaspor -2
3.8%
@ 23.67-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
10Bet
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rizespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
1.07
0.40
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.62
1.33
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.59
1.00
0.42
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.71
0.64
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.40
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.33
0.89
0.44
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.40+2.8%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 2.76-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.94
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.7%
@ 2.83-1.1%
Under 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.38+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Pinnacle
2.93
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 7.25-2.4%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.10
William Hil
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.8%
@ 1.83-3.9%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.88+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Unibet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Rizespor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.5%
@ 5.28-5.1%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.13+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Rizespor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 11.00-6.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.7%
@ 2.55+5.2%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.47-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.61
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
Unibet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.44
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.0%
@ 9.33+2.0%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.03-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rizespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.03
1.07
1.07
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.88
0.00
3.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.73
1.33
0.58
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Alanyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alanyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.93
0.64
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.80
0.60
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.24+2.0%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 3.69-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betano
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
1xBet
3.66
Marathonbet
3.66
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.15+0.2%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.64-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 4.62-2.0%
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.17+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.1%
@ 1.57-3.1%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.28+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Rizespor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.6%
@ 3.72-4.2%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.23+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Rizespor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 9.07-5.4%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Alanyaspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.7%
@ 2.09+4.3%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.66-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Alanyaspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.9%
@ 6.67+0.0%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.07-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Alanyaspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 12.00-5.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 5.5
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+2.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-2.0%
Home +2 handicap
88.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+0.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+5.1%
Under 4.5
86.5%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
+0.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-0.0%
Under 11.5 corners
85.8%
1.14
Unibet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.6%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+4.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.9%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+0.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
77.6%
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
+3.0%
Away +2 handicap
77.6%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+6.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.0%
Over 1.5
75.4%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+3.6%
Under 3.5
72.5%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-0.2%
Home or Away
72.1%
1.28
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
-0.9%
Home or Draw
71.7%
1.23
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
-4.8%
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-1.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rizespor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Sowe33%
Qazim Laci33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Mocsi33%
Ali Sowe33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Qazim Laci33%
Dal Varešanović33%
Mithat Pala33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mithat Pala33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Kutucu33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Alanyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nuno Lima33%
Arda Usluoğlu33%
Ruan Pereira Duarte33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gaius Makouta33%
Fidan Aliti33%
Ümit Akdağ33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Florent Hadergjonaj33%
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hwang Ui-Jo0%
Paulo Victor0%
Florent Hadergjonaj0%
Gaius Makouta0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nuno Lima0%
Yusuf Özdemir0%
Ibrahim Kaya0%
Arda Usluoğlu0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Baran Ali Gezek0%
Ruan Pereira Duarte0%
Omar Ben Ali0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Rizespor's squad is €6m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€44m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Rizespor's attack is €3m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€12m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Rizespor's midfield is €11m less valuable than Alanyaspor's (€7m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Rizespor's defence is €14m more valuable than Alanyaspor's (€25m vs €11m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor