This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.33
2.20
1.13
1.87
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.60
2.00
1.67
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (25)
2.16
1.28
2.25
1.00
2.08
1.54
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
Rizespor goals ↓
Beşiktaş goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
6.6%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
1
6.1%
12%
8.7%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.2%
8.1%
6.3%
3.3%
1.3%
3
2.5%
3.9%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rizespor goals (down), columns = Beşiktaş goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Rizespor is 0.71 points worse than Beşiktaş in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Rizespor is 0.71 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 2.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Rizespor is 0.09 goals worse than Beşiktaş in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rizespor
For 3.7 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beşiktaş
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rizespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
9.6
12.6
2.2
1.8
2.7
28.4
29.6
27.4
vs Stronger (13)
10.3
10.0
10.5
2.2
0.8
3.3
25.0
25.0
25.0
vs Similar (27)
12.5
10.6
14.2
2.3
1.8
2.7
29.9
32.7
27.5
vs Weaker (10)
8.2
7.0
10.0
2.2
2.8
1.6
28.0
25.3
32.0
% over line
62%
42%
79%
30%
21%
38%
88%
92%
86%
% under line
38%
58%
21%
70%
79%
62%
12%
8%
14%
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.3
5.5
5.9
5.0
29.8
30.6
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
9.6
11.0
7.3
5.5
5.8
5.0
33.6
33.8
33.3
vs Weaker (42)
11.4
11.0
11.8
5.5
6.0
5.0
29.1
29.8
28.5
% over line
66%
60%
72%
74%
84%
64%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
34%
40%
28%
26%
16%
36%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Rizespor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rizespor
11.2
Beşiktaş
11.1
Erzurumspor FK
10.6
Kasımpaşa
10.4
Göztepe
10.0
Antalyaspor
10.0
Fenerbahçe
9.8
Konyaspor
9.7
Sivasspor
9.7
Ankaragücü
9.6
Trabzonspor
9.5
Galatasaray
9.4
Akhisar Belediyespor
9.3
Kayserispor
9.3
Bursaspor
9.2
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.1
Alanyaspor
9.1
Başakşehir
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Alanyaspor
5.7
Beşiktaş
5.5
Ankaragücü
5.4
Göztepe
5.3
Sivasspor
5.3
Konyaspor
5.3
Fenerbahçe
5.2
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.2
Galatasaray
5.2
Kayserispor
5.0
Trabzonspor
4.9
Antalyaspor
4.7
Kasımpaşa
4.5
Bursaspor
4.5
Başakşehir
4.4
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Rizespor
4.3
Erzurumspor FK
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alanyaspor
30.7
Bursaspor
30.1
Beşiktaş
29.8
Akhisar Belediyespor
29.6
Ankaragücü
29.1
Trabzonspor
28.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
28.6
Rizespor
28.4
Fenerbahçe
28.2
Sivasspor
28.0
Antalyaspor
27.9
Göztepe
27.7
Kasımpaşa
27.0
Galatasaray
26.9
Erzurumspor FK
26.4
Konyaspor
26.3
Başakşehir
25.6
Kayserispor
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.4%
Under 9.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
91.8%
Under 21.5
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rizespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.71
0.29
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.17
0.67
0.22
0.56
0.11
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.13
0.40
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
0.84
0.44
1.08
0.42
0.62
0.46
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rizespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.93
0.50
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
0.67
0.56
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Beşiktaş) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beşiktaş
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.90
1.07
0.73
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.20
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.32
0.84
1.17
0.58
1.46
1.08
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beşiktaş over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rizespor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Sowe33%
Qazim Laci33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Mocsi33%
Ali Sowe33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Qazim Laci33%
Dal Varešanović33%
Mithat Pala33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mithat Pala33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Kutucu33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Beşiktaş · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Václav Černý67%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Junior Olaitan67%
Emmanuel Agbadou33%
İlhan Fakılı33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Václav Černý0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Orkun Kökçü0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý33%
Leandro Trossard33%
Orkun Kökçü33%
Alexander Nübel0%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Wilfred Ndidi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Hyeon-gyu Oh0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Junior Olaitan0%
İlhan Fakılı0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Rizespor's squad is €158m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€44m vs €202m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Rizespor's attack is €58m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€12m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Rizespor's midfield is €43m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€7m vs €50m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Rizespor's defence is €57m less valuable than Beşiktaş's (€25m vs €82m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Sivasspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Kasımpaşa
Göztepe
Bursaspor
Erzurumspor FK