This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.40
0.93
1.20
1.07
1.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.21
1.10
1.00
1.11
1.44
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.40
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
@ 2.16+11.7%
Under 2.5
44.6%
@ 1.68-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Rizespor goals ↓
Erzurumspor FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.1%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.6%
12%
6.2%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.7%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.1%
5.8%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rizespor goals (down), columns = Erzurumspor FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beşiktaş
2.10
Galatasaray
2.10
Fenerbahçe
2.05
Trabzonspor
1.77
Sivasspor
1.62
Hatayspor
1.52
Alanyaspor
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Gaziantep FK
1.45
Göztepe
1.27
Konyaspor
1.25
Başakşehir
1.20
Rizespor
1.20
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.12
Antalyaspor
1.10
Kayserispor
1.02
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.95
Ankaragücü
0.95
Denizlispor
0.70
Rizespor is 0.20 points better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.23
Galatasaray
2.00
Fenerbahçe
1.80
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Hatayspor
1.55
Gaziantep FK
1.48
Göztepe
1.48
Alanyaspor
1.45
Sivasspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.32
Trabzonspor
1.25
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.23
Konyaspor
1.23
Kasımpaşa
1.18
Ankaragücü
1.15
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.10
Erzurumspor FK
1.10
Başakşehir
1.07
Antalyaspor
1.02
Denizlispor
0.95
Kayserispor
0.88
Rizespor is 0.22 goals better than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.90
Trabzonspor
0.93
Fenerbahçe
1.02
Sivasspor
1.07
Beşiktaş
1.10
Alanyaspor
1.12
Konyaspor
1.20
Gaziantep FK
1.27
Fatih Karagümrük
1.30
Kayserispor
1.30
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.32
Hatayspor
1.32
Antalyaspor
1.38
Başakşehir
1.38
Kasımpaşa
1.43
Göztepe
1.48
Ankaragücü
1.62
Erzurumspor FK
1.70
Rizespor
1.73
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.90
Denizlispor
1.93
Rizespor is 0.03 goals worse than Erzurumspor FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rizespor
For 3.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 14.7 · Total 31.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rizespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.2
10.1
4.7
5.0
4.4
27.9
28.6
27.3
vs Stronger (13)
9.2
9.0
9.4
4.4
4.7
4.1
26.6
26.0
27.1
vs Similar (27)
8.7
7.2
10.1
5.0
5.4
4.6
27.7
28.2
27.3
vs Weaker (10)
10.3
9.6
11.0
4.4
4.6
4.2
30.1
32.6
27.6
% over line
46%
33%
58%
70%
67%
73%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
54%
67%
42%
30%
33%
27%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.6
5.1
4.2
27.4
25.4
29.5
vs Stronger (12)
10.6
9.8
11.1
4.5
4.4
4.6
26.1
22.8
28.4
vs Similar (31)
10.1
10.6
9.3
4.2
4.8
3.5
26.8
25.4
28.8
vs Weaker (7)
10.9
12.0
10.0
6.7
8.0
5.8
32.0
30.0
33.5
% over line
56%
62%
50%
58%
65%
50%
86%
85%
88%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
42%
35%
50%
14%
15%
12%
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Galatasaray
11.4
Trabzonspor
10.5
Denizlispor
10.4
Erzurumspor FK
10.3
Fatih Karagümrük
10.2
Alanyaspor
10.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
10.1
Gaziantep FK
10.0
Fenerbahçe
10.0
Kasımpaşa
9.9
Antalyaspor
9.9
Başakşehir
9.7
Ankaragücü
9.7
Sivasspor
9.7
Beşiktaş
9.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.4
Kayserispor
9.3
Rizespor
9.2
Konyaspor
9.0
Göztepe
8.8
Hatayspor
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fenerbahçe
6.3
Ankaragücü
5.7
Hatayspor
5.6
Galatasaray
5.5
Gaziantep FK
5.5
Beşiktaş
5.4
Fatih Karagümrük
5.3
Antalyaspor
5.2
Alanyaspor
5.2
Trabzonspor
5.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
5.1
Kasımpaşa
4.8
Sivasspor
4.8
Rizespor
4.7
Konyaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Göztepe
4.5
Denizlispor
4.3
Başakşehir
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ankaragücü
29.3
Fenerbahçe
28.6
Denizlispor
28.5
Antalyaspor
28.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
28.1
Rizespor
27.9
Gaziantep FK
27.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Sivasspor
27.4
Erzurumspor FK
27.4
Hatayspor
27.3
Beşiktaş
27.1
Alanyaspor
26.9
Kayserispor
26.7
Galatasaray
26.3
Fatih Karagümrük
26.3
Göztepe
26.0
Trabzonspor
25.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.7
Konyaspor
24.6
Başakşehir
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.2%
Under 9.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.6%
Under 3.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.6%
Under 21.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rizespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.86
0.57
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.00
0.50
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.41
0.75
0.12
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.17
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.40
0.27
0.27
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.37
0.30
0.10
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rizespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.10
1.07
0.86
0.38
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.00
0.50
2.50
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.82
1.12
0.88
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.83
1.25
0.00
0.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.67
0.93
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.84
0.80
0.90
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.50
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rizespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rizespor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rizespor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rizespor · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Sowe33%
Qazim Laci33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Mocsi33%
Ali Sowe33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Qazim Laci33%
Dal Varešanović33%
Mithat Pala33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mithat Pala33%
Emrecan Bulut33%
Ahmed Kutucu0%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Modibo Sagnan0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Kutucu33%
Modibo Sagnan33%
Attila Mocsi0%
Ali Sowe0%
Qazim Laci0%
Taylan Antalyalı0%
Yahia Fofana0%
Dal Varešanović0%
Mithat Pala0%
Ibrahim Olawoyin0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Emrecan Bulut0%
Erzurumspor FK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
EF (26)
€26m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
HAT (16)
€2m
Rizespor's squad is €18m more valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€44m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
HAT (4)
€0m
Rizespor's attack is €2m more valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€12m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
FK (3)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
HAT (3)
€0m
Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK have a similar midfield value (both €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
FK (11)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
HAT (9)
€1m
Rizespor's defence is €16m more valuable than Erzurumspor FK's (€25m vs €8m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Beşiktaş
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Sivasspor
Hatayspor
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
Göztepe
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Yeni Malatyaspor
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Denizlispor