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Rogaška vs Maribor Result & Analysis

Date: 20/08/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 2-2
Rogaška
Rogaška
vs
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaška win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maribor win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RogaškaRogaška

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D30W31W24L10W20W02L05L02LA·BEL10/04H·DEK15/04A·DOB23/04H·BIL28/04A·PRI03/05H·KRK12/05A·KRŠ19/05A·BRA22/07A·OLI29/07A·CEL13/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.002.071.071.380.94
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.401.831.501.221.33
vs Weaker (14)2.070.502.250.751.830.17
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D21W40W11D10W33D13L21W03LH·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07A·RAD23/07A·FC 27/07H·ALU30/07H·FC 03/08A·FEN10/08H·BRA13/08H·FEN17/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.032.310.881.711.21
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.731.072.000.781.331.50
vs Weaker (13)2.620.693.170.672.140.71
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rogaška) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Rogaška is 0.94 points worse than Maribor in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Rogaška is 0.89 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Rogaška is 0.89 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RogaškaRogaška

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1405456311616435361027274911147108912911H·FENH·BRAA·FENH·FC H·ALUA·FC A·BIRH·BIRH·BRAA·TAB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

12031422257411433472122464125561134H·FENH·BRAA·FENH·FC H·ALUA·FC A·BIRH·BIRH·BRAA·TAB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

48013108117921279111518119121291081223191648203320241920H·FENH·BRAA·FENH·FC H·ALUA·BIRH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RogaškaRogaška

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.88.23.43.63.125.325.125.7
vs Stronger (2)11.59.014.04.04.04.019.523.016.0
vs Similar (28)8.49.07.73.94.33.426.226.725.5
vs Weaker (20)9.811.58.02.62.42.725.223.027.8
% over line37%42%31%44%40%48%68%62%75%
% under line63%58%69%56%60%52%32%38%25%
This opponent (Rogaška) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.7
Celje
9.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.6
Aluminij
9.6
Koper
9.3
Maribor
9.1
Bravo
8.9
NK Domzale
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.1
Aluminij
4.8
Maribor
4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.4
Koper
4.1
Celje
4.1
Bravo
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
27.7
Aluminij
27.2
Bravo
26.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.6
Mura
26.3
Maribor
25.3
Celje
24.4
Koper
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.6%
Under 9.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.7%
Under 3.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.0%
Under 21.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RogaškaRogaška

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W20W20W00D10W01L02L00DA·BEL10/04H·DEK15/04A·DOB23/04H·BIL28/04A·PRI03/05H·KRK12/05A·KRŠ19/05A·BRA22/07A·OLI29/07A·CEL13/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.070.710.690.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.670.671.001.000.440.44
vs Weaker (14)1.140.291.120.501.170.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L20W01L00D12L00D20W01LH·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07A·RAD23/07A·FC 27/07H·ALU30/07H·FC 03/08A·FEN10/08H·BRA13/08H·FEN17/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.310.440.860.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (15)1.000.471.220.330.670.67
vs Weaker (13)1.380.541.670.501.140.57
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Rogaška) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rogaška over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaška over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaška over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RogaškaRogaška

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W11D04L10W10W01L03L02LA·BEL10/04H·DEK15/04A·DOB23/04H·BIL28/04A·PRI03/05H·KRK12/05A·KRŠ19/05A·BRA22/07A·OLI29/07A·CEL13/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.000.360.690.69
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.730.830.500.780.89
vs Weaker (14)0.930.211.120.250.670.17
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W20W10W10W21W13L01L02LH·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07A·RAD23/07A·FC 27/07H·ALU30/07H·FC 03/08A·FEN10/08H·BRA13/08H·FEN17/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.531.000.440.860.64
vs Stronger (2)0.502.500.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (15)0.730.600.780.440.670.83
vs Weaker (13)1.230.151.500.171.000.14
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Rogaška) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rogaška over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaška over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaška over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls89.1%--------
Over 2.5 cards80.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners79.3%--------
Over 21.5 fouls79.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards73.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ROG wins
0
Draws
0
MAR wins

Head-to-head

Rogaška vs Maribor · H/A from ROG
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RogaškaRogaška

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/23ACelje Vs ROG2-0
29/07/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ROG5-0
22/07/23ABravo Vs ROG2-0
19/05/23AKrško Vs ROG0-2
12/05/23HROG Vs Krka1-0
03/05/23APrimorje Vs ROG4-2
28/04/23HROG Vs Bilje3-1
23/04/23ADob Vs ROG0-3
15/04/23HROG Vs Dekani0-0
10/04/23ABeltinci Vs ROG0-2

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/23HMAR Vs Fenerbahçe0-3
13/08/23HMAR Vs Bravo2-1
10/08/23AFenerbahçe Vs MAR3-1
03/08/23HMAR Vs FC Differdange 033-3
30/07/23HMAR Vs Aluminij1-0
27/07/23AFC Differdange 03 Vs MAR1-1
23/07/23ARadomlje Vs MAR0-4
20/07/23ABirkirkara Vs MAR1-2
13/07/23HMAR Vs Birkirkara1-1
20/05/23HMAR Vs Bravo1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rogaška
Rogaška
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL2.06
HomeLWDWW2.00
AwayLWLLL2.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%60%67%
AVG goals2.553.002.17
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %39%53%28%
Over 3.5 %24%40%11%
Scored1.581.931.28
Conceded0.971.070.89
BTTS33%47%22%
Clean Sheet48%33%61%
Corners---
Cards---
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.58
HomeDWDWL1.76
AwayDWWDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.862.882.84
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.701.761.64
Conceded1.161.121.20
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners9.069.798.19
Cards4.834.794.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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