Rosenborg, fresh from a 2-4 loss to Bodo/Glimt, are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 63% chance of a home win. The prediction hinges on their strong home form, averaging 3.33 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded against weaker opponents, while Ham-Kam, playing away against a stronger side, average only 0.33 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. The expected total is 3.2 goals, with the most likely total being 3, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%. The model’s picks reflect a heavy tilt toward Rosenborg’s dominance: Home win 63%, Draw 21%, Away win 16%. Suggested selections include Home +2 handicap at 95.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals98.7%, Under 7.5 goals 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals97.1%, Under 6.5 goals 96.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals94.8%, and Away under 2.5 goals94.0%. The model’s confidence in Rosenborg’s superiority is reinforced by the stark contrast in recent form and venue advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rosenborg win
63.4%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.34
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.38
Dafabet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Draw
21.2%
Avg Implied 18.5% · @ 5.03
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.41
Dafabet
5.40
1xBet
5.27
Superbet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Ham-Kam win
15.5%
Avg Implied 12.2% · @ 7.61
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.45
Marathonbet
8.30
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rosenborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.60
2.07
1.20
1.07
2.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.20
1.67
1.33
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (17)
1.47
1.59
1.78
1.44
1.12
1.75
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
1.25
3.33
0.33
1.00
1.80
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ham-Kam
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.53
2.14
1.29
1.56
1.75
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.42
1.67
2.00
0.33
2.83
vs Similar (17)
2.24
1.00
2.50
0.75
2.00
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.1%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Under 1.5
15.9%
@ 5.41-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Pinnacle
5.62
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.47-0.9%
Under 2.5
37.5%
@ 2.55+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Under
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.3%
@ 2.20-2.4%
Under 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.64+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Under
Unibet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Both teams to score
Yes
57.8%
@ 1.72+3.8%
No
42.2%
@ 2.01-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
No
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.9%@ 7.84+4.1%
1-1
9.8%@ 9.35+5.0%
2-0
9.7%@ 7.20+3.4%
1-0
7.9%@ 8.34+2.5%
3-1
7.3%@ 9.67+2.6%
3-0
7.1%@ 8.91+2.1%
2-2
5.0%@ 16.00+2.2%
0-0
4.9%@ 16.55+2.2%
Rosenborg goals ↓
Ham-Kam goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.2%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.9%
9.8%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.7%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.1%
7.3%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
4
3.9%
4.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rosenborg goals (down), columns = Ham-Kam goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Rosenborg is 0.06 points better than Ham-Kam in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Rosenborg is 0.06 goals better than Ham-Kam in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Rosenborg is 0.33 goals better than Ham-Kam in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.78).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Rosenborg is 4.3 percentage points better than Ham-Kam in terms of average possession (52% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rosenborg
For 6.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ham-Kam
For 4.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rosenborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.4
10.3
3.3
3.1
3.4
24.8
25.0
24.6
vs Stronger (8)
11.6
11.5
11.8
3.6
3.0
4.2
24.5
24.0
25.0
vs Similar (28)
11.3
12.8
9.8
3.8
3.7
3.8
25.1
25.4
24.8
vs Weaker (14)
11.0
12.0
10.3
2.2
1.6
2.6
24.3
24.8
24.0
% over line
69%
85%
55%
48%
48%
48%
67%
70%
64%
% under line
31%
15%
45%
52%
52%
52%
33%
30%
36%
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ham-Kam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.2
9.8
2.5
2.2
2.8
23.6
23.5
23.7
vs Stronger (18)
10.7
11.0
10.4
2.3
1.6
3.2
22.2
22.0
22.5
vs Similar (31)
10.4
11.4
9.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
24.4
24.6
24.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
58%
59%
57%
30%
22%
37%
58%
64%
52%
% under line
42%
41%
43%
70%
78%
63%
42%
36%
48%
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalesund
12.1
Viking
12.0
Valerenga
11.9
Rosenborg
11.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Brann
11.1
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Sandefjord
10.9
Lillestrom
10.6
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.1
Fredrikstad
9.9
Start
9.2
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.2
Molde
4.2
Start
4.1
Lillestrom
4.0
Brann
4.0
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
4.0
KFUM Oslo
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.5
Rosenborg
24.4
Valerenga
24.1
Brann
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Start
23.6
Ham-Kam
23.2
Molde
23.0
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.8
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
20.9
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
67.8%
@ 1.38+1.5%
Under 9.5
32.2%
@ 2.73-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.80
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.53
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rosenborg or Draw
85.8%
Avg Implied 87.2% · @ 1.08
Edge
-1.4%
63%
21%
15%
covers Rosenborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Rosenborg or Ham-Kam
78.5%
Avg Implied 82.2% · @ 1.14
Edge
-3.8%
63%
21%
15%
covers Rosenborg + Ham-Kam
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Draw or Ham-Kam
35.7%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.07
Edge
+5.1%
63%
21%
15%
covers Draw + Ham-Kam
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
William Hil
3.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
@ 1.06-0.9%
Under
11.9%
@ 8.52+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.00
Rosenborg over/under 1.5
Over
62.7%
@ 1.36-5.7%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.94+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.17
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Rosenborg over/under 2.5
Over
35.8%
@ 2.13-8.0%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.66+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Rosenborg over/under 3.5
Over
16.7%
@ 3.88-7.3%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.22+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5
Over
60.0%
@ 1.60+1.8%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.22-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.31
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5
Over
23.3%
@ 3.91-0.5%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.22+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5
Over
6.5%
@ 11.24-1.9%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Ham-Kam over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
@ 38.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
35.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rosenborg, so a minus line means Rosenborg give that many goals of a start and Ham-Kam receive them. At -1, Rosenborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rosenborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rosenborg)
Rosenborg -2
21.6%
@ 3.19-6.5%
Draw -2
19.8%
@ 4.12-2.1%
Ham-Kam +2
58.6%
@ 1.80+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.73
Handicap -1 (Rosenborg)
Rosenborg -1
41.4%
@ 1.90-5.7%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.77-0.9%
Ham-Kam +1
35.7%
@ 3.08+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Handicap +1 (Rosenborg)
Rosenborg +1
85.8%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Draw +1
9.3%
@ 9.00-0.8%
Ham-Kam -1
4.9%
@ 15.75-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
Unibet
12.50
Handicap +2 (Rosenborg)
Rosenborg +2
95.1%
@ 1.02+1.2%
Draw +2
3.7%
@ 23.00-0.5%
Ham-Kam -2
1.2%
@ 51.00-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rosenborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.93
0.53
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.88
0.89
0.67
0.38
1.12
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
1.33
0.00
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ham-Kam
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.21
0.36
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.92
1.00
0.67
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.35
1.38
0.12
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.23-1.4%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.73+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.2%
@ 2.15-6.1%
Under 1.5
62.8%
@ 1.64+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Under
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.77-5.4%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.9%
@ 1.42-9.4%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.67+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.88
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.7%
@ 3.03-7.8%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.33+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Under
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.5%
@ 7.53-6.8%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.06+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.10
Superbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.4%
@ 2.79+2.1%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.39-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.0%
@ 10.05-1.2%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.02+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
@ 45.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rosenborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.13
0.67
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
1.00
0.67
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.71
0.89
0.78
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.75
2.00
0.33
0.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ham-Kam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.97
0.93
0.93
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (17)
1.29
0.65
1.12
0.62
1.44
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.8%
@ 1.14+0.6%
Under 0.5
17.2%
@ 5.22-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Under
Marathonbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.71-3.0%
Under 1.5
48.3%
@ 2.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 3.21-5.0%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.31+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.3%
@ 1.29-6.7%
Under
34.7%
@ 3.33+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Under
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
29.9%
@ 2.32-10.1%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.54+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.2%
@ 5.19-8.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.12+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.4%
@ 2.30+3.1%
Under
56.6%
@ 1.55-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.3%
@ 7.90-0.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
7.60
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
@ 20.75-2.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
+3.7%
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+6.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+1.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.2%
Under 5.5
91.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+4.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.8%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
-
+8.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-0.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+5.4%
Home or Draw
85.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-1.4%
Home +1 handicap
85.8%
1.08
Unibet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+1.7%
Over 1.5
84.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+1.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.22
+7.3%
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
+0.6%
Under 4.5
80.8%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+5.8%
Home or Away
78.5%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
-3.8%
Over 8.5 corners
78.3%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.3%
1.33
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+7.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
76.7%
1.22
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+0.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.31
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+5.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-1.4%
Over 2.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.1%
1.54
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
+10.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rosenborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amin Chiakha44%
Simen Nordli36%
Iver Fossum23%
Emil Konradsen Ceide22%
Dino Islamović9%
Jonas Svensson8%
Dávid Ďuriš8%
Noah Sahsah8%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira8%
Mads Bomholt6%
Ole Selnaes0%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Aslak Witry0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aslak Witry31%
Jonas Svensson25%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde25%
Tomáš Nemčík20%
Simen Nordli18%
Amin Chiakha17%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira15%
Tobias Solheim Dahl14%
Ole Selnaes13%
Håkon Røsten12%
Emil Konradsen Ceide11%
Mads Bomholt11%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide10%
Dino Islamović9%
Jonas Mortensen8%
Leopold Wahlstedt6%
Iver Fossum0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Håkon Volden0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ole Selnaes33%
Mads Bomholt22%
Emil Konradsen Ceide17%
Amin Chiakha11%
Jonas Svensson8%
Iver Fossum8%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira0%
Aslak Witry0%
Dino Islamović0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Simen Nordli0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha39%
Emil Konradsen Ceide22%
Simen Nordli18%
Iver Fossum15%
Mads Bomholt11%
Dino Islamović9%
Dávid Ďuriš8%
Ole Selnaes0%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Jonas Svensson0%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira0%
Aslak Witry0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
Ham-Kam
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mame Alassane Niang45%
Danilo Al-Saed25%
Henrik Udahl22%
Blerton Isufi20%
Martin Gjone20%
Aksel Baran Potur18%
Markus Johnsgard12%
Loris Mettler12%
Anders Trondsen7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Ethan Amundsen-Day6%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Viðar Ari Jónsson0%
David Benjamin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Blerton Isufi40%
Anton Ekeroth33%
Gard Simenstad25%
Ian Hoffmann22%
David Benjamin17%
Anders Trondsen14%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Luc Mares11%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl11%
Viðar Ari Jónsson8%
William Osnes-Ringen8%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Martin Gjone7%
Markus Johnsgard6%
Ethan Amundsen-Day6%
Aksel Baran Potur6%
Fredrik Sjolstad6%
Marcus Sandberg6%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Loris Mettler0%
Mame Alassane Niang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Metcalfe27%
Loris Mettler25%
Martin Gjone20%
Anton Ekeroth17%
Viðar Ari Jónsson17%
David Benjamin17%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl11%
Snorre Strand Nilsen7%
Markus Johnsgard6%
Aksel Baran Potur6%
Anders Trondsen0%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Mame Alassane Niang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrik Udahl28%
Markus Johnsgard12%
Aksel Baran Potur12%
Mame Alassane Niang9%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Martin Gjone7%
Anders Trondsen0%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Loris Mettler0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Viðar Ari Jónsson0%
David Benjamin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Rosenborg's squad is €12m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€23m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Rosenborg's attack is €7m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€10m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Rosenborg and Ham-Kam have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Rosenborg's defence is €5m more valuable than Ham-Kam's (€9m vs €4m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
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