Rotor Volgograd are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 67 % chance to a home win and 22 % to a draw, leaving only 10 % for FK Neftekhimik to triumph. The club’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 2.25 goals and conceding just 0.25, while Neftekhimik struggles away, scoring only one goal on average and conceding two. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, with the most likely total being two goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Rotor, carrying a 14.4 % probability. Suggested picks include an Away under 3.5 goals at 99.6 %, Under 7.5 at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.4 % with a 6 % edge, Home +2 handicap at 97.2 %, and Under 5.5 at 95.4 % with a 2 % edge. Rotor’s recent form shows a loss, draw, win, loss, win, while Neftekhimik has endured three straight defeats before a win, highlighting the home side’s advantage in this fixture.
Results analysis
Rotor Volgograd’s run of two straight defeats ended in an upset, as FK Neftekhimik snatched a 1-0 away win, overturning the pre-match favourite. The model had called a home win with a 67 % probability, but the outcome proved wrong. All of the model’s selections were settled: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.6 %, Under 7.5 hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4 %, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 97.4 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 97.2 %, and Under 5.5 hit at 95.4 %. The match finished 0-1, confirming the away victory and the model’s call was incorrect.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rotor Volgograd win✗ Miss
67.5%
Avg Implied 59.0% · @ 1.57
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.59
Dafabet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.54
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.68
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
1xBet
3.82
Dafabet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
FK Neftekhimik win✓ Hit
10.3%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.82
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.44
Pinnacle
6.27
Marathonbet
6.25
Dafabet
5.60
Superbet
5.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rotor Volgograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.90
1.67
0.67
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.00
1.58
0.83
1.07
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.38
1.23
0.94
1.65
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.43
1.42
1.08
0.94
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
@ 1.34+5.3%
Under 1.5
26.6%
@ 2.87-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.2%
@ 2.17+3.8%
Under 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.66-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
@ 3.85+1.8%
Under 3.5
74.4%
@ 1.20-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.07
1xBet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
Superbet
3.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
@ 2.16-2.0%
No
59.1%
@ 1.62+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
No
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.4%@ 5.98+7.3%
1-0
14.0%@ 4.93+5.3%
1-1
10.3%@ 6.65+3.9%
3-0
9.3%@ 10.69+5.3%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.01+3.7%
0-0
8.7%@ 7.94+3.3%
3-1
5.8%@ 14.15+2.8%
4-0
4.5%@ 21.97+2.5%
Rotor Volgograd goals ↓
FK Neftekhimik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
3.9%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
1
14%
10%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
9.1%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
9.3%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
4.5%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rotor Volgograd goals (down), columns = FK Neftekhimik goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Rotor Volgograd is 0.12 points better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Rotor Volgograd is 0.62 goals better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Rotor Volgograd is 0.50 goals better than FK Neftekhimik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rotor Volgograd
For 8.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Neftekhimik
For 4.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rotor Volgograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.6
2.6
2.5
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.4
2.7
2.1
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
3.3
2.2
4.4
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
34%
33%
35%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
66%
67%
65%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
9.0
6.0
2.0
2.4
1.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
1.7
1.5
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
7.5
9.0
6.0
2.0
2.5
1.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
24%
29%
19%
-
-
-
% under line
100%
100%
100%
76%
71%
81%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.8%
@ 2.15-5.1%
Under 9.5
62.2%
@ 1.61+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rotor Volgograd or Draw✗ Miss
89.7%
Avg Implied 84.1% · @ 1.09
Edge
+5.6%
67%
22%
10%
covers Rotor Volgograd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
SBO
1.07
Rotor Volgograd or FK Neftekhimik✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+3.0%
67%
22%
10%
covers Rotor Volgograd + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
SBO
1.20
Draw or FK Neftekhimik✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied 41.1% · @ 2.24
Edge
-8.5%
67%
22%
10%
covers Draw + FK Neftekhimik
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33
Superbet
2.15
SBO
2.12
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.5%
@ 1.15+6.0%
Under
14.5%
@ 4.45-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.10
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
57.5%
@ 1.86+7.2%
Under
42.5%
@ 1.89-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.83
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.5%
@ 3.61+5.0%
Under
69.5%
@ 1.24-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.72
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Rotor Volgograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 8.30+2.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.02-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.81-4.5%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.90+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 5.25-4.4%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Superbet
4.55
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 11.33-5.6%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
FK Neftekhimik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rotor Volgograd, so a minus line means Rotor Volgograd give that many goals of a start and FK Neftekhimik receive them. At -1, Rotor Volgograd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rotor Volgograd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rotor Volgograd)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
Rotor Volgograd -2
21.2%
@ 5.40+4.6%
Draw -2
21.2%
@ 4.70+2.2%
FK Neftekhimik +2
57.6%
@ 1.39-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.39
Handicap -1 (Rotor Volgograd)Actual: FK Neftekhimik
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.54
0.85
0.29
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.82
0.58
0.75
0.31
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.44+7.4%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 2.60-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.71
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 3.13+6.8%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.31-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
1xBet
3.16
Marathonbet
3.16
Superbet
2.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 7.87+1.2%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.02-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
6.60
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
58.2%
@ 1.77+5.7%
Under
41.8%
@ 1.96-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 4.95+0.8%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.14-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 3.25+3.7%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.29-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.48
Marathonbet
3.34
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 11.50-2.2%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rotor Volgograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.07
0.27
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.58
0.92
0.33
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Neftekhimik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.85
0.38
0.65
0.76
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.61
0.83
0.33
0.62
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.26+6.0%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 3.35-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Under
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.4%
@ 2.31+6.6%
Under 1.5
53.6%
@ 1.53-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.3%
@ 5.12+4.6%
Under 2.5
77.7%
@ 1.10-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.8%
@ 1.53+5.8%
Under
34.2%
@ 2.31-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.27
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.8%
@ 3.52+3.6%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.25-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.80+0.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.01-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
36.6%
@ 2.65+1.9%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.41-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.57
Under
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 10.75-0.6%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.50
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.7%
1.09
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
SBO
1.07
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
89.7%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+18.4%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.3%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.9%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
86.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.5%
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.8%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
+4.8%
-
Under 5.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.6%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.7%
1.23
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
SBO
1.20
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.4%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.7%
1.32
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+5.1%
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.4%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
-
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.2%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Rotor Volgograd's squad is €4m more valuable than FK Neftekhimik's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Rotor Volgograd's attack is €1m more valuable than FK Neftekhimik's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Rotor Volgograd's midfield is €2m more valuable than FK Neftekhimik's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Rotor Volgograd's defence is €2m more valuable than FK Neftekhimik's (€4m vs €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk