Rubin are tipped to lift the trophy in a tight affair that the model favours as a home win. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly open game, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 13.8%. Rubin’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals for and 1.0 against against similar opposition, while Akhmat, on the road, averages 1.0 for and 1.43 against. The probabilities for the result are 48% home win, 30% draw, 22% away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%), Under 5.5 (97.2%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%). Rubin’s recent unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 3-1 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, gives them a psychological edge, while Akhmat’s 3-3 draw with Krylia Sovetov leaves them still searching for rhythm.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rubin win
48.8%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.64
Edge
+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.66
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
SBO
2.52
Draw
29.6%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.07
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.16
Dafabet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Pinnacle
3.07
SBO
2.92
Akhmat win
21.5%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.85
Edge
-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Pinnacle
2.90
Dafabet
2.85
SBO
2.56
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rubin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.10
1.29
1.14
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.18
1.57
1.14
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.47
1.57
1.21
0.88
1.69
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.64
1.00
1.20
0.78
1.89
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.31
1.89
1.22
1.00
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.40+1.4%
Under 1.5
32.3%
@ 2.75-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.86
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.69
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.36-1.0%
Under 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.63+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.6%
@ 4.24-2.2%
Under 3.5
80.4%
@ 1.18+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.31
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
45.0%
@ 1.93-3.1%
No
55.0%
@ 1.79+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
No
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 5.47+5.8%
1-0
13.3%@ 6.69+6.8%
0-0
11.5%@ 6.98+5.2%
2-0
10.3%@ 11.76+6.6%
2-1
8.9%@ 10.14+4.6%
0-1
7.6%@ 6.95+1.3%
1-2
5.4%@ 10.37+1.2%
3-0
4.9%@ 29.23+3.4%
Rubin goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
1
13%
14%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
2
10%
8.9%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
3
4.9%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rubin goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Rubin is 0.50 points better than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Rubin and Akhmat are level in goals scored per game (both 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Rubin and Akhmat are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Rubin is 0.7 percentage points worse than Akhmat in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rubin
For 3.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.8
8.5
4.2
4.6
3.9
29.0
28.8
29.3
vs Stronger (13)
6.9
7.4
6.4
4.1
3.9
4.3
30.3
30.0
30.6
vs Similar (26)
7.9
7.2
8.5
4.6
5.2
4.1
29.0
29.1
28.9
vs Weaker (11)
10.6
10.2
11.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
27.3
26.2
28.7
% over line
29%
20%
38%
60%
62%
58%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
71%
80%
62%
40%
38%
42%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.7
9.0
4.1
4.0
4.2
28.1
27.9
28.4
vs Stronger (20)
9.4
10.4
8.7
3.6
3.6
3.7
27.6
26.7
28.2
vs Similar (30)
9.2
9.3
9.2
4.5
4.2
4.7
28.5
28.6
28.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
50%
33%
58%
58%
58%
88%
90%
85%
% under line
59%
50%
67%
42%
42%
42%
12%
10%
15%
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.9%
Under 9.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.4%
Under 3.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.8%
Under 21.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rubin or Draw
78.5%
Avg Implied 66.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
+11.7%
49%
30%
22%
covers Rubin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
SBO
1.40
Rubin or Akhmat
70.4%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
+1.3%
49%
30%
22%
covers Rubin + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
SBO
1.31
Draw or Akhmat
51.2%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.48
Edge
-13.0%
49%
30%
22%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
SBO
1.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rubin over/under 0.5
Over
75.8%
@ 1.36+7.2%
Under
24.2%
@ 2.98-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Rubin over/under 1.5
Over
41.5%
@ 2.80+7.8%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.42-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Rubin over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
@ 7.20+4.2%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.06-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Rubin over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5
Over
57.7%
@ 1.40-9.1%
Under
42.3%
@ 2.82+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.94
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Akhmat over/under 1.5
Over
21.3%
@ 2.95-10.6%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.38+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Akhmat over/under 2.5
Over
5.6%
@ 7.80-6.2%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.05+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Akhmat over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rubin, so a minus line means Rubin give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, Rubin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rubin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rubin)
Rubin -2
9.5%
@ 6.90-2.0%
Draw -2
15.2%
@ 4.60-2.0%
Akhmat +2
75.3%
@ 1.11+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.90
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Rubin)
Rubin -1
24.7%
@ 5.40+7.7%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 4.10+1.8%
Akhmat +1
51.2%
@ 1.51-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
1.51
Handicap +1 (Rubin)
Rubin +1
78.5%
@ 1.43+14.5%
Draw +1
14.1%
@ 4.35-6.9%
Akhmat -1
7.4%
@ 6.10-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
Marathonbet
4.35
Away
Marathonbet
6.10
Handicap +2 (Rubin)
Rubin +2
92.6%
Draw +2
5.6%
Akhmat -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rubin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.43
0.36
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.47
0.29
0.57
0.70
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.57
0.64
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.07
0.40
0.60
0.44
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.67
0.67
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.4%
@ 1.51+3.2%
Under 0.5
34.6%
@ 2.48-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.59
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.7%
@ 3.38+0.9%
Under 1.5
71.3%
@ 1.30-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.38
Marathonbet
3.38
Under
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.6%
@ 9.00-1.6%
Under 2.5
91.4%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.9%
@ 2.28+5.0%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.57-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Rubin over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 8.30+0.3%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Rubin over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.4%
@ 2.38-4.7%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.53+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.8%
@ 9.00-4.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rubin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.86
0.79
0.12
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
1.29
0.57
0.10
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
1.00
0.57
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.56
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.75
1.22
0.56
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.2%
@ 1.32+3.1%
Under 0.5
25.8%
@ 3.25-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.5%
@ 2.45-1.8%
Under 1.5
63.5%
@ 1.52+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.65-0.7%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.7%
@ 1.88+2.5%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.82-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Rubin over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.9%
@ 5.70+2.7%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.10-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Rubin over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.5%
@ 1.96-1.7%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.75+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.8%
@ 6.20-3.1%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.4%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
+6.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.5%
Home +2 handicap
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.9%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.6%
Over 21.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-0.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.2%
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
+3.1%
Under 11.5 corners
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+0.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-4.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-2.7%
Under 3.5
80.4%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 goals
78.7%
1.38
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
-
-
+10.6%
Home or Draw
78.5%
1.42
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
SBO
1.40
-
-
+11.7%
Home +1 handicap
78.5%
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
-
-
-
-
+14.5%
Under 10.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.36
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
-
-
+7.2%
Away +2 handicap
75.3%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.2%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
-
+3.1%
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-0.9%
Home or Away
70.4%
1.37
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
SBO
1.31
-
-
+1.3%
Over 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rubin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacques Siwe40%
Bogdan Jočić33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Jukić50%
Veldin Hodža33%
Igor Vujačić20%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Samoshnikov25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Evgeniy Staver17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ugochukwu Iwu33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Egas Cacintura50%
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Erald Maksuti20%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Júlio Romão20%
Erald Maksuti20%
Miroslav Bogosavac17%
Klisman Cake17%
Ousmane N’Dong17%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Egas Cacintura0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Egas Cacintura25%
Arsen Adamov17%
Kirill Shchetinin17%
Georgiy Melkadze0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismael Silva33%
Egas Cacintura25%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Georgiy Melkadze17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Rubin's squad is €15m more valuable than Akhmat's (€45m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Rubin's attack is €10m less valuable than Akhmat's (€8m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Rubin's midfield is €8m more valuable than Akhmat's (€12m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Rubin's defence is €17m more valuable than Akhmat's (€25m vs €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel