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Rubin vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Stats

Date: 25/11/2026
Time: 17:30
Rubin
Rubin
Vs
62%
22%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
Russia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Rubin’s recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 3-1 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, sets them up as the clear favourite to win at home. The model rates a home victory at 62%, with a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%. The most likely result is a home win, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.2% chance, even though the expected total goals is 3.2. Rubin’s home form shows an average of 1.62 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opponents, while Rodina Moskva, playing away, averages 1.83 scored and 0.67 conceded. The expected total of three goals aligns with the model’s 22% probability for the 3-goal outcome. Suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners (99.6%), Under 10.5 corners (99.0%), Under 7.5 (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Under 9.5 corners (97.6%), Under 6.5 (95.7%), Under 8.5 corners (94.6%), and Home +2 handicap (94.0%). These selections reflect the low corner expectation and the strong home advantage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rubin win
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva win
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RubinRubin

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D13L21W05L11D11D11D11D31W11DH·NIZ17/05H·FC 26/07A·AKR01/08A·ROD04/08H·FC 09/08A·FC 15/08H·SPA19/08A·BAL24/08H·DIN30/08A·FC 02/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.101.291.140.621.06
vs Stronger (7)0.711.291.001.250.331.33
vs Similar (17)1.121.181.571.140.801.20
vs Weaker (6)0.670.671.001.000.330.33
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W03L24L50W21W33D14L13L03L13LA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.301.671.271.801.33
vs Stronger (4)1.002.50--1.002.50
vs Similar (17)1.881.241.801.602.000.71
vs Weaker (9)1.780.891.400.602.251.25
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.3%
Under 2.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.0%
Under 3.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
Rubin goals ↓
Rodina Moskva goals →
01234
05.1%3.4%2.2%0.8%0.2%
18.1%10%4.8%1.6%0.4%
29.6%9.9%5.1%1.8%0.5%
36.9%7.1%3.6%1.3%0.3%
43.7%3.8%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rubin goals (down), columns = Rodina Moskva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Rubin is 1.14 points worse than Rodina Moskva in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Rubin is 0.79 goals worse than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Rubin is 1.29 goals worse than Rodina Moskva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RubinRubin

For 3.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1202825352591352466364610787108612910A·FC H·DINA·BALA·FC H·FC A·AKRH·FC H·NIZA·SPAA·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70143132131212321521713343537A·FC H·DINA·BALA·FC H·FC A·RODA·AKRH·FC H·NIZA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3201013812111413147121913151010161220151023202527193225263225H·DINA·BALA·FC H·FC A·AKRH·FC H·NIZA·SPAA·BALH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

For 2.3 · Against 7.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

16027252515311294129776141116A·SPAH·BALA·DYNH·AKRA·ZENH·FC A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

803435244111113213217865124333A·SPAH·BALA·DYNH·FC H·AKRA·ZENH·RUBH·FC A·SPAH·KAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

36016201211161312917181411362329213525H·BALA·DYNH·AKRA·ZENH·FC A·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RubinRubin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.07.28.63.23.43.128.828.928.8
vs Stronger (13)6.06.25.73.23.42.829.930.529.0
vs Similar (27)7.96.88.73.63.93.329.128.829.3
vs Weaker (10)10.59.711.32.52.03.026.627.325.5
% over line28%13%41%48%46%50%94%100%88%
% under line72%87%59%52%54%50%6%0%12%
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.08.011.52.01.92.028.233.323.0
vs Stronger (8)11.5-11.52.20.03.623.0-23.0
vs Similar (28)8.08.0-1.62.21.033.333.3-
vs Weaker (14)---2.52.12.9---
% over line43%33%50%26%28%24%83%100%67%
% under line57%67%50%74%72%76%17%0%33%
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Rubin
8.4
Ural
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Zenit
26.8
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.8%
Under 9.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.8%
Under 21.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rubin or Draw
83.6%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Rubin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rubin or Rodina Moskva
78.1%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Rubin + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rodina Moskva
38.2%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Draw + Rodina Moskva
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rubin over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5
Over
63.0%
Under
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 3.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5
Over
64.3%
Under
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5
Over
27.6%
Under
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rubin, so a minus line means Rubin give that many goals of a start and Rodina Moskva receive them. At -1, Rubin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rubin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rubin)
Rubin -2
20.5%
Draw -2
18.9%
Rodina Moskva +2
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rubin)
Rubin -1
39.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
Rodina Moskva +1
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rubin)
Rubin +1
83.6%
Draw +1
10.3%
Rodina Moskva -1
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rubin)
Rubin +2
93.9%
Draw +2
4.4%
Rodina Moskva -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RubinRubin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D21W01L00D01L10W10W00D10WH·NIZ17/05H·FC 26/07A·AKR01/08A·ROD04/08H·FC 09/08A·FC 15/08H·SPA19/08A·BAL24/08H·DIN30/08A·FC 02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.430.360.500.38
vs Stronger (7)0.430.430.750.250.000.67
vs Similar (17)0.530.470.290.570.700.40
vs Weaker (6)0.330.000.330.000.330.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L11D10W01L20W12L11D01L11DA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.330.930.331.330.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (17)1.240.240.900.401.710.00
vs Weaker (9)1.220.221.000.201.500.25
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RubinRubin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L00D04L11D10W01L01L31W01LH·NIZ17/05H·FC 26/07A·AKR01/08A·ROD04/08H·FC 09/08A·FC 15/08H·SPA19/08A·BAL24/08H·DIN30/08A·FC 02/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.860.790.120.69
vs Stronger (7)0.290.860.251.000.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.590.711.290.570.100.80
vs Weaker (6)0.330.670.671.000.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodina Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L13L40W20W13L02L02L02L02LA·ARS16/05A·SPA25/07H·FC 31/07H·RUB04/08A·ZEN09/08H·AKR15/08H·FC 18/08A·DYN23/08H·BAL30/08A·SPA02/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.730.930.471.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.651.000.901.200.290.71
vs Weaker (9)0.560.670.400.400.751.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rubin over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodina Moskva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.9%-------
Under 6.595.7%-------
Home +2 handicap93.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.4%-------
Under 5.589.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.2%-------
Under 11.5 corners86.1%-------
Home or Draw83.6%-------
Home +1 handicap83.6%-------
Over 1.583.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.1%-------
Over 19.5 fouls82.1%-------
Under 5.5 cards79.4%-------
Under 4.578.6%-------
Home or Away78.1%-------
Under 10.5 corners77.9%-------
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals72.4%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rubin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacques Siwe40%
Bogdan Jočić33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Jukić50%
Veldin Hodža33%
Igor Vujačić20%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Samoshnikov25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Evgeniy Staver17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ugochukwu Iwu33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Rodina Moskva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Pozo33%
Artur Gharibyan20%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Dyatlov50%
Andrey Egorychev33%
Dmitriy Tananeev33%
Iker Pozo33%
Ruslan Fishchenko20%
Yordy Reyna17%
Artem Meshchaninov17%
Ivan Timoshenko17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Artem Maksimenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Gharibyan20%
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Iker Pozo17%
Stanislav Bessmertniy17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Soltmurad Bakaev17%
Artem Maksimenko17%
Leon Musaev0%
Yordy Reyna0%
Artem Sokol0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Andrey Egorychev0%
Artem Meshchaninov0%
Dmitriy Tananeev0%
Mitja Križan0%
Iker Pozo0%
Ruslan Fishchenko0%
Ivan Timoshenko0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Kirill Ushatov0%
Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov0%
Stanislav Bessmertniy0%
Ilya Dyatlov0%
Artur Gharibyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Rubin's squad is €28m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€45m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Rubin's attack is €1m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€8m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Rubin's midfield is €9m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€12m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Rubin's defence is €18m more valuable than Rodina Moskva's (€25m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
RUB wins
1
Draws
1
RM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rubin vs Rodina Moskva · H/A from RUB
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/26ARodina Moskva Vs RUB5-0
03/06/23ARodina Moskva Vs RUB0-0
17/07/22HRUB Vs Rodina Moskva2-0

RubinRubin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AFC Orenburg Vs RUB1-1
30/08/26HRUB Vs Dinamo Makhachkala3-1
24/08/26ABaltika Vs RUB1-1
19/08/26HRUB Vs Spartak Moscow1-1
15/08/26AFC Rostov Vs RUB1-1
09/08/26HRUB Vs FC Orenburg1-1
04/08/26ARodina Moskva Vs RUB5-0
01/08/26AAkron Vs RUB1-2
26/07/26HRUB Vs FC Krasnodar1-3
17/05/26HRUB Vs Nizhny Novgorod2-2

Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ASpartak Moscow Vs RM3-1
30/08/26HRM Vs Baltika0-3
23/08/26ADynamo Vs RM3-1
18/08/26HRM Vs FC Orenburg1-4
15/08/26HRM Vs Akron3-3
09/08/26AZenit Vs RM1-2
04/08/26HRM Vs Rubin5-0
31/07/26HRM Vs FC Rostov2-4
25/07/26ASpartak Moscow Vs RM3-0
16/05/26AArsenal Tula Vs RM1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rubin
Rubin
Russia: Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.32
HomeDLDDW1.75
AwayWLDDD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%19%
AVG goals2.282.382.19
Over 1.5 %64%67%62%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.061.380.77
Conceded1.221.001.42
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet36%42%31%
Corners8.177.858.48
Cards4.495.004.04
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva
Russia: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.76
HomeLWDLL1.88
AwayWLWLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals2.883.042.72
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.721.921.52
Conceded1.161.121.20
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners10.008.0011.50
Cards3.753.723.78

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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