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Ruch Chorzów vs Miedz Legnica Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 0-2
Ruch Chorzów
Ruch Chorzów
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Miedz Legnica
Miedz Legnica
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ruch Chorzów is expected to win this match, with a predicted score of 0-2. The model's selection, Over 1.5, is a hit, coming in at 78.5%. The match is expected to have a total of 2.8 goals, with the most likely score being 1-1 at 12.7%.

Ruch Chorzów has a strong home record, averaging 1.87 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home, especially against similar opponents. Miedz Legnica, on the other hand, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded when playing away against similar opponents. The model's pick is a home win, with a 46% chance of success. The draw percentage is 27%, while the away win percentage is 27%. Other model selections include the home win, with a 46% chance, and the away win, with a 27% chance.

Results analysis

Ruch Chorzów's home win was the upset of the match as they fell to a 0-2 defeat against Miedz Legnica, the actual result being an away win. The win extends Miedz Legnica's run of victories. The model correctly identified the pre-match favourite, Ruch Chorzów, with a 46% probability of winning. However, the model's call was incorrect as Miedz Legnica secured the victory. The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite with a 46% probability. The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite with a 46% probability. The model's selection, Over 1.5, was also selected with a 78.5% probability and hit, while the model's selection, Over 1.5, was also selected with a 78.5% probability and hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ruch Chorzów win✗ Miss
45.8%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.00
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Dafabet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
SBO
2.02
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.43
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.77
Marathonbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Miedz Legnica win✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.25
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.43
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D02L11D22D20W40W21W23L02LA·ŁKS21/03A·CHR06/04H·WIE11/04H·WIS19/04H·POG27/04H·ODR03/05A·TYC10/05A·MIE17/05A·ZNI24/05A·NIE26/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.371.871.201.471.53
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.501.501.003.50
vs Similar (25)1.841.162.081.151.581.17
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Miedz Legnica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D21W02L02L10W10W12L21W11DA·POL21/03H·POL07/04A·ZNI12/04H·GÓR20/04A·POG25/04H·STA02/05A·WIE09/05H·RUC17/05H·PUS24/05H·POD27/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.301.781.111.171.58
vs Stronger (4)2.001.252.501.001.501.50
vs Similar (23)1.521.261.711.071.221.56
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.501.500.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruch Chorzów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.22+2.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 3.85-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.74+0.0%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.01-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.79
10Bet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.05
SBO
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.82-1.3%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.37+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
@ 1.61+0.1%
No
42.6%
@ 2.16-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
No
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.32+5.7%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.77+3.7%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.81+2.8%
2-0
7.8%@ 9.65+3.2%
0-0
7.1%@ 11.43+3.2%
1-2
7.0%@ 10.48+2.8%
0-1
6.0%@ 10.44+1.7%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.70+1.9%
Ruch Chorzów goals ↓
Miedz Legnica goals →
01234
07.1%6.0%4.3%1.7%0.5%
18.4%13%7.0%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ruch Chorzów goals (down), columns = Miedz Legnica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
1.96
Arka Gdynia
1.58
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Nieciecza
1.44
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Unia Skierniewice
0.82
Podbeskidzie
0.77
Warta Poznań
0.70
Ruch Chorzów is 0.03 points better than Miedz Legnica in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.14
Arka Gdynia
1.72
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Nieciecza
1.58
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Mielec
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Unia Skierniewice
0.90
Podbeskidzie
0.84
Warta Poznań
0.76
Ruch Chorzów is 0.06 goals better than Miedz Legnica in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lechia Gdansk
1.04
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Arka Gdynia
1.29
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Nieciecza
1.41
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Stal Mielec
1.82
Unia Skierniewice
2.46
Podbeskidzie
2.64
Warta Poznań
2.92
Ruch Chorzów is 0.21 goals better than Miedz Legnica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.5%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+2.5%✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (27)
€26m
AG (29)
€9m
NIE (25)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (12)
€18m
AG (9)
€3m
NIE (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (1)
€4m
AG (8)
€4m
NIE (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (14)
€5m
AG (12)
€3m
NIE (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ruch Chorzów vs Miedz Legnica · H/A from RC
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AMiedz Legnica Vs RC1-2
07/11/25HRC Vs Miedz Legnica3-1
10/04/25HRC Vs Miedz Legnica1-2
22/09/24AMiedz Legnica Vs RC3-0

Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26ANieciecza Vs RC2-0
24/05/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs RC3-2
17/05/26AMiedz Legnica Vs RC1-2
10/05/26ATychy 71 Vs RC0-4
03/05/26HRC Vs Odra Opole2-0
27/04/26HRC Vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2-2
19/04/26HRC Vs Wisla Krakow1-1
11/04/26HRC Vs Wieczysta Kraków0-2
06/04/26AChrobry Głogów Vs RC1-1
21/03/26AŁKS Łódź Vs RC2-2

Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26HML Vs Podbeskidzie1-1
24/05/26HML Vs Puszcza Niepołomice2-1
17/05/26HML Vs Ruch Chorzów1-2
09/05/26AWieczysta Kraków Vs ML0-1
02/05/26HML Vs Stal Mielec1-0
25/04/26APogoń Siedlce Vs ML2-0
20/04/26HML Vs Górnik Łęczna0-2
12/04/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs ML1-2
07/04/26HML Vs Polonia Bytom1-1
21/03/26APolonia Warszawa Vs ML1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Ruch Chorzów
Ruch Chorzów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.34
HomeWLDDW1.37
AwayDWWLL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%37%30%
AVG goals2.922.892.96
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %58%63%52%
Over 3.5 %36%33%39%
Scored1.441.441.43
Conceded1.481.441.52
BTTS62%63%61%
Clean Sheet22%19%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Miedz Legnica
Miedz Legnica
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.40
HomeLWLWD1.83
AwayLDWLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%27%
AVG goals2.983.122.85
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.381.751.04
Conceded1.601.381.81
BTTS68%79%58%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki410
75%
2.5
61+5
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.2
-
2Stal MielecStal Mielec48
50%
2.0
117+4
4.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.8
-
3Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów47
50%
1.8
84+4
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
4Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica47
50%
1.8
62+4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
5Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
6ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3431.70.7
-
8Warta PoznańWarta Poznań46
50%
1.5
98+1
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.0
-
9NiecieczaNieciecza46
50%
1.5
65+1
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.2
-
10Odra OpoleOdra Opole46
50%
1.5
55+0
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
11Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie44
0%
1.0
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
13Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom44
25%
1.0
912-3
5.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.23.0
-
14Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów44
25%
1.0
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
15Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice33
33%
1.0
33+0
2.0
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
16Unia SkierniewiceUnia Skierniewice43
25%
0.8
48-4
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
17Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów42
0%
0.5
311-8
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
18Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk41
0%
0.2
29-7
2.8
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
26
18450.52.2
-
Poland: I Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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