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Rudar (Montenegro) vs Berane Prediction & Stats

Date: 30/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Vs
50%
28%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Rudar (Montenegro) are tipped to win at home, a 50% chance that the match ends in a victory for the hosts. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, with the most likely total being two goals at a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% chance, which fits the balanced attacking and defensive figures: Rudar average 2.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Berane averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Recent form shows Rudar recovering from two straight defeats to finish LLWWW, whereas Berane has endured five consecutive losses, ending 2-3 against Lovćen. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 5.5 (95.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.7%), Home +2 handicap (91.9%), and Under 4.5 (88.9%). The probabilities for the match result are 50% home win, 28% draw, and 22% away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rudar (Montenegro) win
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Berane win
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W12L00D00D13L21W50W10W02L03LA·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06H·ISK15/08A·ZET22/08H·MOG29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.331.881.060.641.64
vs Stronger (17)0.881.411.331.000.381.88
vs Similar (13)1.851.232.571.141.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D01L43W00D01L13L01L01L23LH·OTR18/04A·INT26/04H·RUD03/05H·KOM10/05A·LOV16/05H·IGA20/05A·MLA24/05A·JED16/08H·ISK23/08A·LOV29/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.071.531.131.07
vs Stronger (20)1.001.251.001.301.001.20
vs Similar (10)1.301.401.202.001.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
Rudar (Montenegro) goals ↓
Berane goals →
01234
09.3%6.6%3.7%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.8%1.9%0.4%
29.8%9.4%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.1%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Berane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.05 points worse than Berane in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.17 goals better than Berane in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.29 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rudar (Montenegro) or Draw
77.9%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Rudar (Montenegro) + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) or Berane
72.1%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Rudar (Montenegro) + Berane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Berane
50.0%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Berane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5
Over
78.9%
Under
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5
Over
20.5%
Under
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5
Over
61.7%
Under
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5
Over
24.9%
Under
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Rudar (Montenegro), so a minus line means Rudar (Montenegro) give that many goals of a start and Berane receive them. At -1, Rudar (Montenegro) must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rudar (Montenegro) win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) -2
10.9%
Draw -2
15.7%
Berane +2
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) -1
26.6%
Draw -1
23.4%
Berane +1
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) +1
77.9%
Draw +1
14.0%
Berane -1
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) +2
91.9%
Draw +2
6.0%
Berane -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L00D00D02L00D40W10W00D01LA·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06H·ISK15/08A·ZET22/08H·MOG29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.531.380.500.070.57
vs Stronger (17)0.590.591.110.440.000.75
vs Similar (13)1.000.461.710.570.170.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D13L00D01L11D00D00D21WH·OTR18/04A·INT26/04H·RUD03/05H·KOM10/05A·LOV16/05H·IGA20/05A·MLA24/05A·JED16/08H·ISK23/08A·LOV29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.400.730.530.27
vs Stronger (20)0.400.450.400.600.400.30
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.401.000.800.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D11D21W10W00D02L02LA·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06H·ISK15/08A·ZET22/08H·MOG29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.500.560.571.07
vs Stronger (17)0.290.820.220.560.381.12
vs Similar (13)0.850.770.860.570.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W01L30W00D00D02L01L01L02LH·OTR18/04A·INT26/04H·RUD03/05H·KOM10/05A·LOV16/05H·IGA20/05A·MLA24/05A·JED16/08H·ISK23/08A·LOV29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.670.800.600.80
vs Stronger (20)0.600.800.600.700.600.90
vs Similar (10)0.700.800.801.000.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------
Under 5.595.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.7%-------
Home +2 handicap91.9%-------
Under 4.588.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals79.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals78.9%-------
Home or Draw77.9%-------
Home +1 handicap77.9%-------
Under 3.575.5%-------
Away under 1.5 goals75.1%-------
Away +2 handicap73.4%-------
Over 1.572.8%-------
Home or Away72.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Berane have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Berane have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Berane have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
R( wins
2
Draws
0
BER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rudar (Montenegro) vs Berane · H/A from R(
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26ABerane Vs R(0-1
14/03/26HR( Vs Berane0-0
01/11/25ABerane Vs R(0-2
10/09/25HR( Vs Berane0-0

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HR( Vs Mogren0-3
22/08/26AZeta Vs R(2-0
15/08/26HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
03/06/26HR( Vs Brskovo5-0
29/05/26ABrskovo Vs R(1-2
24/05/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(3-1
20/05/26HR( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
16/05/26AIgalo Vs R(0-0
10/05/26HR( Vs Lovćen1-2
03/05/26ABerane Vs R(0-1

BeraneBerane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ALovćen Vs BER3-2
23/08/26HBER Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-1
16/08/26AJedinstvo Vs BER1-0
24/05/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs BER3-1
20/05/26HBER Vs Igalo0-1
16/05/26ALovćen Vs BER0-0
10/05/26HBER Vs Kom4-3
03/05/26HBER Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-1
26/04/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs BER2-2
18/04/26HBER Vs Otrant-Olympic0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.34
HomeLDWWL1.69
AwayWDLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals2.642.772.50
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.361.770.92
Conceded1.281.001.58
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet32%38%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.10
HomeLLWLL0.96
AwayDDLLL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals2.362.622.12
Over 1.5 %68%79%58%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.081.081.08
Conceded1.281.541.04
BTTS40%50%31%
Clean Sheet36%21%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
2ZetaZeta37
67%
2.3
41+3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
3MogrenMogren36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
4LovćenLovćen36
67%
2.0
67-1
4.3
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.3
-
5GrbaljGrbalj35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
6KomKom33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
7Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.7
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.7
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
10BeraneBerane30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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