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Rudar (Montenegro) vs Iskra (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Vs
44%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Rudar (Montenegro) are poised to extend their winning streak, having beaten Brskovo 5-0 in their last match. They are the heavy favourites to beat Iskra (Montenegro) at home, with a 44% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an away win. The model's selection is a home win, and the expected total number of goals is 2.6. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability.

At home, Rudar have been scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 1.0 per game against opponents of similar strength. Iskra, meanwhile, have been scoring 1.08 goals and conceding 1.46 per game while playing away against similar opponents.

The model suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a 74.5% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 73.6% probability. Rudar have a 44% chance of winning, Iskra a 27% chance, and there's a 28% chance of a draw.

Results analysis

Rudar's 1-0 win extends their 3-game winning run, with Iskra suffering their third consecutive defeat. The model's call of a home win proved correct, as they were the pre-match favourite with a 44% probability of winning. The final score matched one of the model's most likely outcomes, a 1-0 result with a 9.8% probability.

The model's selection, a home win, was correct. The selection of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a 74.5% probability, while Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 73.6% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rudar (Montenegro) win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L11D41W10W12L00D00D13L21W50WA·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.431.941.000.791.93
vs Stronger (16)1.001.621.380.880.622.38
vs Similar (14)1.861.212.501.121.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W00D21W22D22D31W31W03L15LH·LOV12/04A·IGA18/04H·MLA26/04A·KOM03/05A·GRB10/05H·OTR16/05A·INT20/05H·RUD24/05A·JEZ29/05H·JEZ03/06← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.171.570.931.381.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.361.071.141.141.571.00
vs Weaker (16)1.561.252.000.711.221.67
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0 ✓
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
Rudar (Montenegro) goals ↓
Iskra (Montenegro) goals →
01234
08.7%7.1%4.7%1.7%0.5%
19.8%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.0%4.5%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.44 points worse than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.00 goals better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.35 goals worse than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W20W00D12L00D00D02L00D40WA·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.631.380.500.070.79
vs Stronger (16)0.560.751.120.380.001.12
vs Similar (14)1.000.501.620.620.170.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D20W11D10W31W20W02L02LH·LOV12/04A·IGA18/04H·MLA26/04A·KOM03/05A·GRB10/05H·OTR16/05A·INT20/05H·RUD24/05A·JEZ29/05H·JEZ03/06← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.570.360.810.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.500.290.430.860.57
vs Weaker (16)0.810.500.860.290.780.67
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L21W10W00D00D00D11D21W10WA·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05A·ISK24/05A·BRS29/05H·BRS03/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.560.500.711.14
vs Stronger (16)0.440.880.250.500.621.25
vs Similar (14)0.860.710.880.500.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D01L11D12L00D11D01L13LH·LOV12/04A·IGA18/04H·MLA26/04A·KOM03/05A·GRB10/05H·OTR16/05A·INT20/05H·RUD24/05A·JEZ29/05H·JEZ03/06← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.000.570.560.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.570.860.710.710.43
vs Weaker (16)0.750.751.140.430.441.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
R( wins
1
Draws
5
I( wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rudar (Montenegro) vs Iskra (Montenegro) · H/A from R(
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(3-1
04/04/26HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-2
30/11/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(2-0
28/09/25HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-1
27/04/25HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-2
12/03/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(0-2
26/10/24HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-0
01/09/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(0-2

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/06/26HR( Vs Brskovo5-0
29/05/26ABrskovo Vs R(1-2
24/05/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs R(3-1
20/05/26HR( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
16/05/26AIgalo Vs R(0-0
10/05/26HR( Vs Lovćen1-2
03/05/26ABerane Vs R(0-1
26/04/26HR( Vs Kom4-1
18/04/26HR( Vs Internacional Podgorica1-1
12/04/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs R(4-0

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/06/26HI( Vs Jezero1-5
29/05/26AJezero Vs I(3-0
24/05/26HI( Vs Rudar (Montenegro)3-1
20/05/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs I(1-3
16/05/26HI( Vs Otrant-Olympic2-2
10/05/26AGrbalj Vs I(2-2
03/05/26AKom Vs I(1-2
26/04/26HI( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
18/04/26AIgalo Vs I(0-1
12/04/26HI( Vs Lovćen1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.36
HomeDWLDW1.76
AwayLWDLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals2.802.922.68
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.481.961.00
Conceded1.320.961.68
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.66
HomeWDDWL1.56
AwayWWDWL1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.562.642.48
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.101.081.12
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
2ZetaZeta37
67%
2.3
41+3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
3MogrenMogren36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
4LovćenLovćen36
67%
2.0
67-1
4.3
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.3
-
5GrbaljGrbalj35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
6KomKom33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
7Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.7
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.7
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
10BeraneBerane30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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