The contest between Rudar and Jedinstvo is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home and away win chances sit at 37 % and 36 % respectively, while a draw is 27 %. The average goal count is 3.0, yet the most probable total is 2 goals, with a 24 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4 % probability. Rudar, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Jedinstvo’s away form mirrors the same pattern of 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded against stronger opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8 %), Under 6.5 (96.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %), Under 5.5 (91.7 %), Home +2 handicap (82.3 %), Under 4.5 (81.7 %) and Away +2 handicap (81.5 %). Both sides have recently lost their opening matches, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rudar (Montenegro) win
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo win
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rudar (Montenegro)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.33
1.88
1.06
0.64
1.64
vs Stronger (17)
0.88
1.41
1.33
1.00
0.38
1.88
vs Similar (13)
1.85
1.23
2.57
1.14
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.40
0.69
1.00
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
1.83
0.40
1.00
1.14
2.43
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.89
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
Rudar (Montenegro) goals ↓
Jedinstvo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.1%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.8%
12%
8.0%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.2%
8.8%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.2%
4.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Jedinstvo goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Rudar (Montenegro) is 1.02 points worse than Jedinstvo in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 2.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.76 goals worse than Jedinstvo in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro) is 0.56 goals worse than Jedinstvo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rudar (Montenegro) or Draw
66.4%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Rudar (Montenegro) + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) or Jedinstvo
73.4%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Rudar (Montenegro) + Jedinstvo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Jedinstvo
60.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Jedinstvo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5
Over
79.0%
Under
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5
Over
46.2%
Under
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5
Over
75.8%
Under
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5
Over
41.4%
Under
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rudar (Montenegro), so a minus line means Rudar (Montenegro) give that many goals of a start and Jedinstvo receive them. At -1, Rudar (Montenegro) must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rudar (Montenegro) win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) -2
8.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
Jedinstvo +2
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) -1
20.3%
Draw -1
19.5%
Jedinstvo +1
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) +1
66.4%
Draw +1
17.6%
Jedinstvo -1
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rudar (Montenegro))
Rudar (Montenegro) +2
84.0%
Draw +2
10.1%
Jedinstvo -2
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rudar (Montenegro)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.38
0.50
0.07
0.57
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
0.59
1.11
0.44
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.46
1.71
0.57
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.57
0.06
0.31
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.00
0.40
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.33
0.11
0.11
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rudar (Montenegro)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.50
0.56
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.82
0.22
0.56
0.38
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.77
0.86
0.57
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.78
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Jedinstvo have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Jedinstvo have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Jedinstvo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Rudar (Montenegro) and Jedinstvo have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mladost Lješkopolje
Zeta
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Berane