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Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2022
Time: 18:30
Final 3-1
Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Vs
35%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gresford Athletic
Gresford Athletic
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ruthin Town win✓ Hit
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic win✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L12L01L12LA·CON30/07H·CEF02/08A·BUC13/08H·GUI19/08A·LLA26/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.400.501.501.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.751.250.501.501.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gresford Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L00DA·PEN30/07A·POR02/08H·MOL12/08A·CHI19/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.500.001.000.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.001.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
Ruthin Town goals ↓
Gresford Athletic goals →
01234
012%10%6.4%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.3%2.7%0.7%
27.0%7.6%4.2%1.5%0.4%
32.7%2.9%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ruthin Town goals (down), columns = Gresford Athletic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Colwyn Bay
2.77
Holywell
2.63
Barry Town
2.60
Llandudno
2.20
llanelli AFC
2.07
Briton Ferry
2.00
Guilsfield
1.90
Carmarthen Town
1.73
Ruthin Town
1.70
Afan Lido
1.57
Cambrian & Clydach
1.57
Prestatyn Town
1.53
Llantwit Major
1.50
Cefn Druids AFC
1.43
Buckley Town
1.40
Cwmbran Celtic
1.27
Pontardawe Town
1.23
Gresford Athletic
1.17
Mold Alexandra
1.17
Ammanford AFC
1.10
Porthmadog
1.10
Taffs Well
1.07
Goytre United
1.07
Abergavenny Town
1.07
Trefelin
0.90
Llanidloes Town
0.90
Chirk AAA
0.87
Swansea University
0.87
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Conwy Borough
0.77
Penrhyncoch
0.53
Holyhead Hotspur
0.50
Ruthin Town is 0.53 points better than Gresford Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Colwyn Bay
3.37
Barry Town
2.60
Holywell
2.50
Briton Ferry
2.40
Llandudno
2.33
Prestatyn Town
2.20
Carmarthen Town
2.20
Cambrian & Clydach
2.13
llanelli AFC
2.10
Cwmbran Celtic
2.07
Afan Lido
2.03
Guilsfield
1.93
Buckley Town
1.77
Pontardawe Town
1.70
Taffs Well
1.67
Trefelin
1.57
Cefn Druids AFC
1.57
Ruthin Town
1.57
Llantwit Major
1.53
Goytre United
1.50
Llanidloes Town
1.40
Mold Alexandra
1.37
Ammanford AFC
1.33
Porthmadog
1.20
Abergavenny Town
1.17
Conwy Borough
1.10
Ynyshir Albions
1.10
Chirk AAA
1.07
Gresford Athletic
1.07
Penrhyncoch
1.03
Swansea University
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town is 0.50 goals better than Gresford Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Holywell
0.73
Llandudno
0.77
Colwyn Bay
0.80
Barry Town
0.83
Briton Ferry
1.10
llanelli AFC
1.13
Guilsfield
1.23
Llantwit Major
1.33
Carmarthen Town
1.37
Gresford Athletic
1.43
Ruthin Town
1.47
Prestatyn Town
1.60
Chirk AAA
1.63
Afan Lido
1.73
Mold Alexandra
1.73
Porthmadog
1.77
Cambrian & Clydach
1.77
Cwmbran Celtic
1.77
Taffs Well
1.80
Ammanford AFC
1.90
Abergavenny Town
2.00
Buckley Town
2.03
Llanidloes Town
2.10
Conwy Borough
2.13
Swansea University
2.13
Cefn Druids AFC
2.13
Ynyshir Albions
2.23
Goytre United
2.23
Holyhead Hotspur
2.30
Trefelin
2.33
Penrhyncoch
2.40
Pontardawe Town
2.43
Ruthin Town is 0.03 goals worse than Gresford Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D01L02LA·CON30/07H·CEF02/08A·BUC13/08H·GUI19/08A·LLA26/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.000.501.000.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gresford Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D01L00DA·PEN30/07A·POR02/08H·MOL12/08A·CHI19/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.500.001.000.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.000.500.001.000.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L00D10WA·CON30/07H·CEF02/08A·BUC13/08H·GUI19/08A·LLA26/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.000.500.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.000.500.500.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gresford Athletic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00DA·PEN30/07A·POR02/08H·MOL12/08A·CHI19/08
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.000.000.000.330.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.000.000.000.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %100% (+78pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gresford Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CB (20)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CB (7)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (10)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RT wins
0
Draws
0
GA wins

Head-to-head

Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic · H/A from RT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/22ALlanidloes Town Vs RT2-1
19/08/22HRT Vs Guilsfield0-1
13/08/22ABuckley Town Vs RT2-1
02/08/22HRT Vs Cefn Druids AFC1-2
30/07/22AConwy Borough Vs RT0-1

Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/22AChirk AAA Vs GA0-0
12/08/22HGA Vs Mold Alexandra0-1
02/08/22APorthmadog Vs GA0-1
30/07/22APenrhyncoch Vs GA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.60
HomeLL0.00
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%33%
AVG goals2.202.002.33
Over 1.5 %60%50%67%
Over 2.5 %60%50%67%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.800.501.00
Conceded1.401.501.33
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet20%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Gresford Athletic
Gresford Athletic
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLD1.00
HomeL0.00
AwayLWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%33%
AVG goals0.751.000.67
Over 1.5 %0%0%0%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.250.000.33
Conceded0.501.000.33
BTTS0%0%0%
Clean Sheet50%0%67%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Colwyn BayColwyn Bay3083
90%
2.8
10124+77
4.2
100%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.40.8
-
2HolywellHolywell3079
87%
2.6
7522+53
3.2
93%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.7
-
3Barry TownBarry Town3078
83%
2.6
7825+53
3.4
80%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.60.8
-
4LlandudnoLlandudno3066
67%
2.2
7023+47
3.1
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.8
-
5llanelli AFCllanelli AFC3062
63%
2.1
6334+29
3.2
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.1
-
6Briton FerryBriton Ferry3060
57%
2.0
7233+39
3.5
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.1
-
7GuilsfieldGuilsfield3057
57%
1.9
5837+21
3.2
80%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
8Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3052
53%
1.7
6641+25
3.6
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
9Ruthin TownRuthin Town3051
53%
1.7
4744+3
3.0
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3047
47%
1.6
6453+11
3.9
87%
70%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.8
-
11Afan LidoAfan Lido3047
43%
1.6
6152+9
3.8
93%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
12Prestatyn TownPrestatyn Town3046
47%
1.5
6648+18
3.8
93%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
13Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3045
43%
1.5
4640+6
2.9
77%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
14Cefn Druids AFCCefn Druids AFC3043
43%
1.4
4764-17
3.7
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
15Buckley TownBuckley Town3042
40%
1.4
5361-8
3.8
90%
73%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
16Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3038
33%
1.3
6253+9
3.8
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.8
-
17Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town3037
40%
1.2
5173-22
4.1
93%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.4
-
18Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3035
33%
1.2
4152-11
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
19Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3035
33%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
70%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
20Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3033
27%
1.1
4057-17
3.2
87%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
21PorthmadogPorthmadog3033
33%
1.1
3653-17
3.0
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
22Taffs WellTaffs Well3032
27%
1.1
5054-4
3.5
80%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
23Goytre UnitedGoytre United3032
27%
1.1
4567-22
3.7
93%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
24Abergavenny TownAbergavenny Town3032
30%
1.1
3560-25
3.2
80%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
25Llanidloes TownLlanidloes Town3027
23%
0.9
4263-21
3.5
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
26TrefelinTrefelin3027
23%
0.9
4770-23
3.9
97%
83%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
27Chirk AAAChirk AAA3026
17%
0.9
3249-17
2.7
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
28Swansea UniversitySwansea University3026
20%
0.9
3064-34
3.1
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
29Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions3024
23%
0.8
3367-34
3.3
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
30Conwy BoroughConwy Borough3023
17%
0.8
3364-31
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
31PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3016
10%
0.5
3172-41
3.4
93%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
32Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur3015
7%
0.5
2469-45
3.1
90%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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