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Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 0-4
Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Ruthin Town are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick for a home win. The clash is expected to see a modest 3.0 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Ruthin’s home form shows they score 1.25 and concede 1.33 against similarly matched opponents, while Mold Alexandra on the road average 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded. The probabilities are 42% for a home win, 26% for a draw and 32% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Under 6.5 at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.8% with a 5% edge, and Home under 3.5 goals at 92.1% with a 1% edge. Ruthin’s recent draw and Mold’s two-game winning streak add intrigue, but the data favours a Ruthin victory.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Mold Alexandra overturned a home disadvantage to win 4-0, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Ruthin Town, had a 42% chance of victory, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.5%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.1%, while Away under 3.5 goals missed at 94.8%. The final score of 0-4 confirmed the away side’s dominance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ruthin Town win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.70
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.80
1xBet
2.78
Superbet
2.77
Pinnacle
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.49
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.49
Marathonbet
3.48
Mold Alexandra win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.23
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.30
Dafabet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.21

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L21W10W25L23L12L12L21W22DA·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08A·GUI22/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.001.121.621.432.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.271.591.251.331.301.90
vs Weaker (8)1.253.120.752.501.753.75
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-808L10W41W21W21W31W22D23L10W10WA·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08H·BUC21/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.381.311.211.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.331.701.201.251.50
vs Weaker (12)1.001.830.831.501.172.17
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
@ 4.29-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.57-1.2%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.22+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Under
Bet365
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.41-2.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.47+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.42
Superbet
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.9%
@ 1.50-0.5%
No
39.1%
@ 2.38+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
No
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.39
William Hil
2.38
Marathonbet
2.34

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.88+6.2%
2-1
9.0%@ 9.38+4.5%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.88+3.0%
1-0
7.0%@ 10.75+3.1%
2-0
6.5%@ 14.00+3.5%
2-2
6.2%@ 10.75+2.3%
0-0
6.2%@ 13.50+3.1%
0-1
5.9%@ 9.75+1.6%
Ruthin Town goals ↓
Mold Alexandra goals →
01234
06.2%5.9%4.8%2.2%0.8%
17.0%12%7.7%3.6%1.2%
26.5%9.0%6.2%2.9%1.0%
33.5%4.8%3.3%1.5%0.5%
41.4%1.9%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ruthin Town goals (down), columns = Mold Alexandra goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Ruthin Town is 1.50 points worse than Mold Alexandra in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Ruthin Town is 1.00 goals worse than Mold Alexandra in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Ruthin Town is 1.17 goals worse than Mold Alexandra in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ruthin Town or Draw✗ Miss
68.0%
Avg Implied 59.9% · @ 1.53
Edge
+8.2%
42%
26%
32%
covers Ruthin Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Ruthin Town or Mold Alexandra✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.3%
42%
26%
32%
covers Ruthin Town + Mold Alexandra
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or Mold Alexandra✓ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.38
Edge
-7.9%
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Mold Alexandra
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.8%
@ 1.21+5.0%
Under
20.2%
@ 3.59-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Under
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 2.17+4.8%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.61-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 4.22+0.2%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.16-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Under
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Ruthin Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 10.00-1.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.16-3.4%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.17+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.2%
@ 1.91-8.3%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.80+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 3.83-7.6%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.20+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.65
Under
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Mold Alexandra over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.2%
@ 9.40-4.5%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Under
1xBet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ruthin Town, so a minus line means Ruthin Town give that many goals of a start and Mold Alexandra receive them. At -1, Ruthin Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ruthin Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ruthin Town)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Ruthin Town -2
8.8%
Draw -2
12.8%
Mold Alexandra +2
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ruthin Town)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Ruthin Town -1
21.6%
@ 5.40+5.5%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.55+0.8%
Mold Alexandra +1
58.4%
@ 1.35-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Ruthin Town)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Ruthin Town +1
68.0%
@ 1.53+10.7%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 4.03-4.7%
Mold Alexandra -1
14.9%
@ 4.19-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Handicap +2 (Ruthin Town)Actual: Mold Alexandra
Ruthin Town +2
85.1%
Draw +2
9.6%
Mold Alexandra -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D00D11D11D01L00D00D11DA·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08A·GUI22/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.440.810.790.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.730.420.750.800.70
vs Weaker (8)0.621.250.501.000.751.50
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D20W00D01L30W01L10W10W00DA·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08H·BUC21/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.620.380.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.500.800.400.620.62
vs Weaker (12)0.500.500.330.330.670.67
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.4%
@ 1.26-1.1%
Under 0.5
28.6%
@ 3.32+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.29-5.9%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.52+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
William Hil
2.25
Under
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 5.05-6.8%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.12+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Under
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.9%
@ 1.95-3.6%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.76+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 5.25-4.9%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.11+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.11
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 11.00-6.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.5%
@ 1.80-6.9%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.90+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.3%
@ 4.70-4.2%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.14+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 10.00-6.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W10W10W14L12L11D12L21W11DA·MOL07/03H·FLI13/03H·GRE20/03H·BUC27/03A·LLA03/04H·NEW18/04H·HOL31/07A·BAL07/08H·DEN14/08A·GUI22/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.130.690.810.641.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.680.860.830.580.501.20
vs Weaker (8)0.621.880.251.501.002.25
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mold Alexandra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L10W21W21W20W01L21W13L00D10WA·AIR13/03A·HOL21/03H·GRE28/03A·NEW03/04H·BRI11/04H·FLI18/04H·CAE01/08A·GUI08/08H·HOL15/08H·BUC21/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.750.940.571.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.830.900.800.620.88
vs Weaker (12)0.501.330.501.170.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruthin Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.15-1.0%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 4.50+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.4%
@ 1.80-7.8%
Under 1.5
56.6%
@ 1.89+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 3.35-8.2%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.25+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.24

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ruthin Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.65-3.2%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.08+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Ruthin Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.00-6.0%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.19+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Ruthin Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.10-5.7%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Mold Alexandra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.56-4.9%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.21+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Mold Alexandra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.4%
@ 3.60-7.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.23+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Mold Alexandra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 8.45-7.0%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.04+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.5%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.0%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+7.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+5.7%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.5%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals92.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.8%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+2.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.7%1.12
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
-+6.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.4%1.11
1xBet
1.11
----+4.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap85.1%-------✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals84.7%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+4.2%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals83.8%1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
---+7.6%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.1%1.19
1xBet
1.19
----+6.0%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.8%1.16
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
--+3.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals81.6%1.23
1xBet
1.23
----+7.1%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals81.1%1.25
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.24
---+8.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.581.0%1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
--+2.0%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.8%1.21
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
---+5.0%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals78.8%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
----1.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.3%1.16
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
----0.2%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals74.9%1.16
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
----3.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.5%1.24
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-0.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.4%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
RT wins
1
Draws
4
MA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ruthin Town vs Mold Alexandra · H/A from RT
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AMold Alexandra Vs RT1-0
31/10/25HRT Vs Mold Alexandra0-1
17/01/25HRT Vs Mold Alexandra3-0
14/09/24AMold Alexandra Vs RT2-0
13/04/24AMold Alexandra Vs RT0-3
28/07/23HRT Vs Mold Alexandra1-2
07/03/23HRT Vs Mold Alexandra1-1
24/09/22AMold Alexandra Vs RT1-2

Ruthin TownRuthin Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AGuilsfield Vs RT2-2
14/08/26HRT Vs Denbigh Town2-1
07/08/26ABala Town Vs RT2-1
31/07/26HRT Vs Holyhead Hotspur1-2
18/04/26HRT Vs Newtown AFC2-3
03/04/26ALlandudno Vs RT5-2
27/03/26HRT Vs Buckley Town1-0
20/03/26HRT Vs Gresford Athletic2-1
13/03/26HRT Vs Flint Mountain1-2
07/03/26AMold Alexandra Vs RT1-0

Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HMA Vs Buckley Town1-0
15/08/26HMA Vs Holyhead Hotspur1-0
08/08/26AGuilsfield Vs MA3-2
01/08/26HMA Vs Caersws2-2
18/04/26HMA Vs Flint Mountain3-1
11/04/26HMA Vs Brickfield Rangers2-1
03/04/26ANewtown AFC Vs MA1-2
28/03/26HMA Vs Gresford Athletic4-1
21/03/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs MA0-1
13/03/26AAirbus UK Vs MA8-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD0.82
HomeWWLLW1.16
AwayLLLLD0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%32%8%
AVG goals3.182.603.76
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %42%28%56%
Scored1.161.201.12
Conceded2.021.402.64
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Mold Alexandra
Mold Alexandra
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.38
HomeWWDWW1.56
AwayWLWWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.923.042.80
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.381.721.04
Conceded1.541.321.76
BTTS60%76%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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