SA Mérignac vs Istres Result & Analysis

Date: 20/12/2025

Time: 17:00

Final 0-0

SA Mérignac

21%

29%

50%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Istres

France: Coupe de France

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table 18 Who played

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SA Mérignac win✗ Miss

21.1%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✓ Hit

29.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Istres win✗ Miss

49.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SA Mérignac

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.60	0.20	0.50	0.25	6.00	0.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (3)	0.67	0.33	0.67	0.33	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	3.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	80% (+51pp vs league)

This opponent (Istres) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Istres

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.00	1.25	2.00	2.00	2.00	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	4.00	0.00	4.00	-	-
vs Weaker (3)	2.67	0.33	4.00	0.00	2.00	0.50
Clean sheet %	50% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (SA Mérignac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

68.2%

Under 1.5

31.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

40.4%

Under 2.5

59.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

20.1%

Under 3.5

79.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

45.2%

54.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.6%

0-1

13.2%

0-0 ✓

11.3%

0-2

10.4%

1-2

8.9%

1-0

7.4%

2-1

5.3%

0-3

5.0%

SA Mérignac goals ↓

	Istres goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	11%	13%	10%	5.0%	1.8%
1	7.4%	14%	8.9%	4.3%	1.6%
2	3.7%	5.3%	3.8%	1.8%	0.7%
3	1.1%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SA Mérignac goals (down), columns = Istres goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Paris Saint Germain

2.67

Cannes

2.57

Angers

2.50

Estac Troyes

2.40

Hauts Lyonnais

2.33

Thionville Lusitanos

2.33

Clermont Foot

2.33

Stade Brestois 29

2.25

Bastia

2.25

Le Puy Foot

2.25

Lorient

2.25

Guingamp

2.17

Lyon

2.00

Bordeaux

2.00

Saint-Malo

2.00

Feignies-Aulnoye

2.00

ASS Still Mutzig

2.00

Drancy

2.00

Caen

2.00

PAU

2.00

Orleans

2.00

Concarneau

2.00

Union Saint-Jean

2.00

Sochaux

2.00

Monaco

2.00

Le Mans

2.00

Marseille

2.00

Boulogne

2.00

Dunkerque

2.00

RED Star FC 93

2.00

Annecy

2.00

Metz

2.00

Stade Briochin

1.83

Quevilly

1.75

SA Mérignac

1.67

Lille

1.67

Istres

1.50

Beauvais

1.50

Aubervilliers

1.50

Saint-Colomban Locminé

1.50

Les Herbiers

1.50

Angoulême

1.50

Nantes

1.50

Nancy

1.50

Reims

1.50

Carnoux

1.50

Rennes

1.50

Marmande

1.33

Amiens

1.33

Grenoble

1.33

Toulouse

1.33

Strasbourg

1.33

Nice

1.33

Colomiers

1.00

Romorantin

1.00

Stade Béthunois

1.00

Vitré

1.00

Biesheim

1.00

Fleury 91

1.00

Avranches

1.00

Porto Portugais Amiens

1.00

Paris FC

1.00

Lens

1.00

Bourg-en-bresse 01

0.97

SS Allinges

0.97

Mulhouse

0.97

Steenvoorde

0.97

Mazeres

0.97

Dieppe

0.97

Montreuil

0.97

Saint-Pauloise

0.97

Ancienne Château-Gontier

0.97

Montceau

0.97

St Maur Lusitanos

0.97

Lyon Duchere

0.97

Olympique Marcquois

0.97

UF Touraine

0.97

Bayeux

0.97

Abbeville

0.97

Seignosse Capbreton

0.97

Chalon

0.97

Racing Besançon

0.97

Villeneuve-la-Garenne

0.97

Plouvorn

0.97

Torcy

0.97

Granville

0.97

Trélissac

0.97

Loon-Plage

0.97

Wittenheim

0.97

Cambrai

0.97

Auby

0.97

Orvault SF

0.97

Les Bleuets

0.97

France Aizenay

0.97

Quetigny

0.97

Le Cellier Mauves

0.97

Saint-Renan

0.97

Bogny

0.97

Ecotay Moingt

0.97

Bassin d'Arcachon Sud

0.97

SA Beaumont

0.97

Yvetot

0.97

Les Sables-d'Olonne

0.97

Gosier

0.97

Sarreguemines

0.97

Pontivy GSI

0.97

Stade Plabennec

0.97

Reims Sainte-Anne

0.97

Furiani-Agliani

0.97

Rhone-Vallee

0.97

Dominicaine

0.97

Avion

0.97

US Chateau-Malo

0.97

Andrézieux

0.97

Olympique de Villefontaine

0.97

Oissel

0.97

ASPTT Dijon

0.97

Ivry

0.97

Pontarlier

0.97

Lavaur

0.97

APM Metz

0.97

Forbach

0.97

Feurs

0.97

Croix Football IC

0.97

GSA Tomblaine

0.97

Seyssinet-Pariset

0.97

Chauvigny

0.97

Blois

0.97

Périgny

0.97

Boé Bon Encontre

0.97

L'Etrat La Tour

0.97

Chamalières

0.97

Aubagne

0.97

Chambly Thelle FC

0.97

Atlas Paillade

0.97

FC 2 Rives 82

0.97

Camon

0.97

Racing Colombes 92

0.97

Le Geldar

0.97

Moulien

0.97

Espoir Ste Luce

0.97

Magenta

0.97

Beaucouzé

0.97

Montreal-la-Cluse

0.97

Gobelins

0.97

Villars-l'Isle

0.97

Challans

0.97

Bandrele

0.97

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

0.97

Caen PTT

0.97

Strasbourg Koenigshoffen

0.97

Bondues

0.97

Premontre

0.97

Pierrelatte

0.97

Avenir Sportif de Gouzon

0.97

Stade Quimperlois

0.97

Grasse

0.97

Pirae

0.97

Lapalisse

0.97

Montmorillon

0.97

OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys

0.97

Plédran

0.97

Blagnac

0.97

Savigneux Montbrison

0.97

Saint-Meziery

0.97

Eveil

0.97

Longuenesse

0.97

Mauguio Carnon

0.97

Saint-Brice Courcelles

0.97

Nord Lozère

0.97

MJEP Cormontreuil

0.97

Thonon Évian

0.97

ES Cappelle

0.97

Etoile Bobigny

0.97

Poitiers

0.97

Pen Hir

0.97

Saint-Amand

0.97

Épernay

0.97

Auch

0.97

Le Poinconnet

0.97

Selongey

0.97

Laval

0.75

Chateauroux

0.59

Agde

0.50

Raon l'Etape

0.50

Dinan Léhon

0.50

Saint-Cyr Collonges

0.00

Sarre Union

0.00

Canet Roussillon

0.00

Saint Etienne

0.00

Vendée Fontenay

0.00

Bayonne

0.00

OCPAM

0.00

Freyming

0.00

Chantilly

0.00

Sablé

0.00

Auxerre

0.00

Le Havre

0.00

Rodez

0.00

Etoile Matoury

0.00

Biars-Bretenoux

0.00

Montpellier

0.00

SA Mérignac is 0.17 points better than Istres in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

RED Star FC 93

4.50

Caen

3.67

Paris Saint Germain

3.50

Cannes

3.00

Le Mans

2.80

Bastia

2.75

Le Puy Foot

2.75

Lorient

2.75

Boulogne

2.67

Guingamp

2.67

Nantes

2.50

Monaco

2.50

Marseille

2.50

Feignies-Aulnoye

2.33

Thionville Lusitanos

2.33

SA Mérignac

2.33

Union Saint-Jean

2.33

Grenoble

2.33

Annecy

2.25

Lyon

2.00

Colomiers

2.00

Istres

2.00

Aubervilliers

2.00

Saint-Colomban Locminé

2.00

ASS Still Mutzig

2.00

PAU

2.00

Orleans

2.00

Concarneau

2.00

Avranches

2.00

Sablé

2.00

Nancy

2.00

Angers

2.00

Rennes

2.00

Strasbourg

2.00

Estac Troyes

1.80

Stade Brestois 29

1.75

Sochaux

1.75

Dunkerque

1.71

Bordeaux

1.67

Marmande

1.67

Drancy

1.67

Clermont Foot

1.67

Amiens

1.67

Beauvais

1.50

Quevilly

1.50

Angoulême

1.50

Hauts Lyonnais

1.33

Metz

1.33

Bourg-en-bresse 01

1.20

SS Allinges

1.20

Mulhouse

1.20

Steenvoorde

1.20

Mazeres

1.20

Dieppe

1.20

Montreuil

1.20

Saint-Pauloise

1.20

Ancienne Château-Gontier

1.20

Montceau

1.20

St Maur Lusitanos

1.20

Lyon Duchere

1.20

Olympique Marcquois

1.20

UF Touraine

1.20

Bayeux

1.20

Abbeville

1.20

Seignosse Capbreton

1.20

Chalon

1.20

Racing Besançon

1.20

Villeneuve-la-Garenne

1.20

Plouvorn

1.20

Torcy

1.20

Granville

1.20

Trélissac

1.20

Loon-Plage

1.20

Wittenheim

1.20

Cambrai

1.20

Auby

1.20

Orvault SF

1.20

Les Bleuets

1.20

France Aizenay

1.20

Quetigny

1.20

Le Cellier Mauves

1.20

Saint-Renan

1.20

Bogny

1.20

Ecotay Moingt

1.20

Bassin d'Arcachon Sud

1.20

SA Beaumont

1.20

Yvetot

1.20

Les Sables-d'Olonne

1.20

Gosier

1.20

Sarreguemines

1.20

Pontivy GSI

1.20

Stade Plabennec

1.20

Reims Sainte-Anne

1.20

Furiani-Agliani

1.20

Rhone-Vallee

1.20

Dominicaine

1.20

Avion

1.20

US Chateau-Malo

1.20

Andrézieux

1.20

Olympique de Villefontaine

1.20

Oissel

1.20

ASPTT Dijon

1.20

Ivry

1.20

Pontarlier

1.20

Lavaur

1.20

APM Metz

1.20

Forbach

1.20

Feurs

1.20

Croix Football IC

1.20

GSA Tomblaine

1.20

Seyssinet-Pariset

1.20

Chauvigny

1.20

Blois

1.20

Périgny

1.20

Boé Bon Encontre

1.20

L'Etrat La Tour

1.20

Chamalières

1.20

Aubagne

1.20

Chambly Thelle FC

1.20

Atlas Paillade

1.20

FC 2 Rives 82

1.20

Camon

1.20

Racing Colombes 92

1.20

Le Geldar

1.20

Moulien

1.20

Espoir Ste Luce

1.20

Magenta

1.20

Beaucouzé

1.20

Montreal-la-Cluse

1.20

Gobelins

1.20

Villars-l'Isle

1.20

Challans

1.20

Bandrele

1.20

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

1.20

Caen PTT

1.20

Strasbourg Koenigshoffen

1.20

Bondues

1.20

Premontre

1.20

Pierrelatte

1.20

Avenir Sportif de Gouzon

1.20

Stade Quimperlois

1.20

Grasse

1.20

Pirae

1.20

Lapalisse

1.20

Montmorillon

1.20

OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys

1.20

Plédran

1.20

Blagnac

1.20

Savigneux Montbrison

1.20

Saint-Meziery

1.20

Eveil

1.20

Longuenesse

1.20

Mauguio Carnon

1.20

Saint-Brice Courcelles

1.20

Nord Lozère

1.20

MJEP Cormontreuil

1.20

Thonon Évian

1.20

ES Cappelle

1.20

Etoile Bobigny

1.20

Poitiers

1.20

Pen Hir

1.20

Saint-Amand

1.20

Épernay

1.20

Auch

1.20

Le Poinconnet

1.20

Selongey

1.20

Stade Briochin

1.17

Reims

1.17

Agde

1.00

Saint-Cyr Collonges

1.00

Canet Roussillon

1.00

Romorantin

1.00

Saint-Malo

1.00

Biesheim

1.00

Vendée Fontenay

1.00

Les Herbiers

1.00

Bayonne

1.00

OCPAM

1.00

Dinan Léhon

1.00

Fleury 91

1.00

Rodez

1.00

Lille

1.00

Etoile Matoury

1.00

Porto Portugais Amiens

1.00

Paris FC

1.00

Lens

1.00

Nice

1.00

Laval

0.75

Chateauroux

0.73

Toulouse

0.67

Raon l'Etape

0.50

Carnoux

0.50

Sarre Union

0.00

Stade Béthunois

0.00

Saint Etienne

0.00

Vitré

0.00

Freyming

0.00

Chantilly

0.00

Auxerre

0.00

Le Havre

0.00

Biars-Bretenoux

0.00

Montpellier

0.00

SA Mérignac is 0.33 goals better than Istres in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Stade Béthunois

0.00

Vitré

0.00

Bastia

0.25

Hauts Lyonnais

0.33

SA Mérignac

0.33

Clermont Foot

0.33

Saint-Malo

0.50

Orleans

0.50

Le Puy Foot

0.50

Lorient

0.50

Marseille

0.50

Carnoux

0.50

Estac Troyes

0.60

Feignies-Aulnoye

0.67

Thionville Lusitanos

0.67

Caen

0.67

Lille

0.67

Sochaux

0.75

Annecy

0.75

Le Mans

0.80

Paris Saint Germain

0.83

Romorantin

1.00

Aubervilliers

1.00

Raon l'Etape

1.00

Biesheim

1.00

PAU

1.00

Amiens

1.00

Quevilly

1.00

Concarneau

1.00

Fleury 91

1.00

Chantilly

1.00

Nantes

1.00

Auxerre

1.00

Le Havre

1.00

Angers

1.00

Monaco

1.00

Toulouse

1.00

Biars-Bretenoux

1.00

Laval

1.00

Porto Portugais Amiens

1.00

Metz

1.00

Rennes

1.00

Paris FC

1.00

Lens

1.00

Nice

1.00

Dunkerque

1.14

Reims

1.17

Guingamp

1.17

Stade Brestois 29

1.25

Bordeaux

1.33

ASS Still Mutzig

1.33

Grenoble

1.33

Cannes

1.43

Lyon

1.50

Les Herbiers

1.50

Angoulême

1.50

Stade Briochin

1.50

RED Star FC 93

1.50

Drancy

1.67

Union Saint-Jean

1.67

Strasbourg

1.67

Bourg-en-bresse 01

1.89

SS Allinges

1.89

Mulhouse

1.89

Steenvoorde

1.89

Mazeres

1.89

Dieppe

1.89

Montreuil

1.89

Saint-Pauloise

1.89

Ancienne Château-Gontier

1.89

Montceau

1.89

St Maur Lusitanos

1.89

Lyon Duchere

1.89

Olympique Marcquois

1.89

UF Touraine

1.89

Bayeux

1.89

Abbeville

1.89

Seignosse Capbreton

1.89

Chalon

1.89

Racing Besançon

1.89

Villeneuve-la-Garenne

1.89

Plouvorn

1.89

Torcy

1.89

Granville

1.89

Trélissac

1.89

Loon-Plage

1.89

Wittenheim

1.89

Cambrai

1.89

Auby

1.89

Orvault SF

1.89

Les Bleuets

1.89

France Aizenay

1.89

Quetigny

1.89

Le Cellier Mauves

1.89

Saint-Renan

1.89

Bogny

1.89

Ecotay Moingt

1.89

Bassin d'Arcachon Sud

1.89

SA Beaumont

1.89

Yvetot

1.89

Les Sables-d'Olonne

1.89

Gosier

1.89

Sarreguemines

1.89

Pontivy GSI

1.89

Stade Plabennec

1.89

Reims Sainte-Anne

1.89

Furiani-Agliani

1.89

Rhone-Vallee

1.89

Dominicaine

1.89

Avion

1.89

US Chateau-Malo

1.89

Andrézieux

1.89

Olympique de Villefontaine

1.89

Oissel

1.89

ASPTT Dijon

1.89

Ivry

1.89

Pontarlier

1.89

Lavaur

1.89

APM Metz

1.89

Forbach

1.89

Feurs

1.89

Croix Football IC

1.89

GSA Tomblaine

1.89

Seyssinet-Pariset

1.89

Chauvigny

1.89

Blois

1.89

Périgny

1.89

Boé Bon Encontre

1.89

L'Etrat La Tour

1.89

Chamalières

1.89

Aubagne

1.89

Chambly Thelle FC

1.89

Atlas Paillade

1.89

FC 2 Rives 82

1.89

Camon

1.89

Racing Colombes 92

1.89

Le Geldar

1.89

Moulien

1.89

Espoir Ste Luce

1.89

Magenta

1.89

Beaucouzé

1.89

Montreal-la-Cluse

1.89

Gobelins

1.89

Villars-l'Isle

1.89

Challans

1.89

Bandrele

1.89

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

1.89

Caen PTT

1.89

Strasbourg Koenigshoffen

1.89

Bondues

1.89

Premontre

1.89

Pierrelatte

1.89

Avenir Sportif de Gouzon

1.89

Stade Quimperlois

1.89

Grasse

1.89

Pirae

1.89

Lapalisse

1.89

Montmorillon

1.89

OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys

1.89

Plédran

1.89

Blagnac

1.89

Savigneux Montbrison

1.89

Saint-Meziery

1.89

Eveil

1.89

Longuenesse

1.89

Mauguio Carnon

1.89

Saint-Brice Courcelles

1.89

Nord Lozère

1.89

MJEP Cormontreuil

1.89

Thonon Évian

1.89

ES Cappelle

1.89

Etoile Bobigny

1.89

Poitiers

1.89

Pen Hir

1.89

Saint-Amand

1.89

Épernay

1.89

Auch

1.89

Le Poinconnet

1.89

Selongey

1.89

Saint-Cyr Collonges

2.00

Sarre Union

2.00

Colomiers

2.00

Istres

2.00

Beauvais

2.00

Vendée Fontenay

2.00

OCPAM

2.00

Avranches

2.00

Nancy

2.00

Rodez

2.00

Boulogne

2.00

Dinan Léhon

2.50

Etoile Matoury

2.50

Agde

3.00

Marmande

3.00

Canet Roussillon

3.00

Saint-Colomban Locminé

3.00

Bayonne

3.00

Chateauroux

3.12

Saint Etienne

4.00

Freyming

4.00

Sablé

4.00

Montpellier

4.00

SA Mérignac is 1.67 goals better than Istres in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Paris Saint Germain

76%

Cannes

61%

Reims

32%

Dunkerque

24%

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SA Mérignac

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Istres

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SA Mérignac

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (5)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (3)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Istres) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Istres

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (4)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (3)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (SA Mérignac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Les Herbiers

14.0

Avranches

12.0

Feignies-Aulnoye

12.0

Cannes

11.0

Nice

10.3

Rodez

10.2

Nantes

10.2

Laval

10.1

Montpellier

10.0

Périgny

10.0

Amiens

10.0

Grenoble

9.9

Bordeaux

9.9

PAU

9.8

Auxerre

9.8

Nancy

9.8

Caen

9.7

Lens

9.7

Lille

9.7

Lyon

9.7

Paris Saint Germain

9.5

Clermont Foot

9.5

Stade Brestois 29

9.4

Metz

9.4

Bastia

9.4

Paris FC

9.4

Reims

9.3

Saint Etienne

9.3

Rennes

9.3

Sochaux

9.3

Guingamp

9.2

RED Star FC 93

9.1

Le Havre

9.1

Chateauroux

9.1

Orleans

9.0

Toulouse

9.0

Lorient

9.0

Quevilly

8.9

Le Mans

8.9

Angers

8.8

Marseille

8.8

Annecy

8.7

Monaco

8.7

Dunkerque

8.5

Concarneau

8.4

Estac Troyes

8.3

Strasbourg

8.3

Boulogne

8.1

Canet Roussillon

5.0

Croix Football IC

4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Bastia

5.7

Avranches

5.0

Lens

4.8

Lyon

4.8

PAU

4.8

Montpellier

4.7

Auxerre

4.6

Rennes

4.6

Lille

4.6

Boulogne

4.5

Guingamp

4.4

Le Mans

4.4

Strasbourg

4.4

Paris FC

4.3

Monaco

4.3

Sochaux

4.3

Amiens

4.3

Annecy

4.3

Bordeaux

4.3

Toulouse

4.3

Marseille

4.2

Clermont Foot

4.2

Le Havre

4.2

Nancy

4.2

Dunkerque

4.1

Rodez

4.1

Nantes

4.1

Nice

4.1

Saint Etienne

4.1

Lorient

4.0

Laval

4.0

Les Herbiers

4.0

Reims

3.9

Chateauroux

3.9

Caen

3.8

Estac Troyes

3.8

Metz

3.8

Orleans

3.8

Angers

3.8

Stade Brestois 29

3.7

Concarneau

3.6

Grenoble

3.6

Quevilly

3.5

RED Star FC 93

3.5

Canet Roussillon

3.0

Cannes

3.0

Feignies-Aulnoye

3.0

Périgny

3.0

Paris Saint Germain

3.0

Croix Football IC

1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Canet Roussillon

36.0

Chateauroux

30.2

Avranches

30.0

Annecy

29.0

Le Mans

28.9

Boulogne

28.6

Bastia

28.4

Nancy

28.4

Périgny

28.0

Quevilly

27.5

Montpellier

27.5

Laval

27.5

Amiens

27.4

Guingamp

27.4

Bordeaux

27.3

Caen

27.0

Orleans

26.9

Concarneau

26.9

Sochaux

26.0

Dunkerque

26.0

Toulouse

25.9

Lens

25.9

Lyon

25.7

Clermont Foot

25.7

Estac Troyes

25.7

Saint Etienne

25.5

PAU

25.5

Monaco

25.4

Grenoble

25.4

RED Star FC 93

25.3

Paris FC

25.0

Feignies-Aulnoye

25.0

Lorient

24.9

Rennes

24.9

Auxerre

24.8

Le Havre

24.8

Stade Brestois 29

24.7

Nantes

24.5

Rodez

24.4

Nice

24.3

Metz

24.1

Cannes

24.0

Reims

23.9

Strasbourg

23.8

Lille

23.7

Angers

23.2

Marseille

22.9

Paris Saint Germain

19.2

Les Herbiers

19.0

Croix Football IC

13.0

Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over

Over 9.5

49.6%

Under 9.5

50.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

43.2%

Under 3.5

56.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over

Over 21.5

61.8%

Under 21.5

38.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

SA Mérignac or Draw✓ Hit

50.4%

Avg Implied -

21%

29%

50%

covers SA Mérignac + Draw

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac or Istres✗ Miss

70.7%

Avg Implied -

21%

29%

50%

covers SA Mérignac + Istres

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw or Istres✓ Hit

78.9%

Avg Implied -

21%

29%

50%

covers Draw + Istres

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

SA Mérignac over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

57.6%

Under

42.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

21.2%

Under

78.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

5.6%

Under

94.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.2%

Under

98.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

76.4%

Under

23.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

42.3%

Under

57.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

17.7%

Under

82.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.9%

Under

94.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to SA Mérignac, so a minus line means SA Mérignac give that many goals of a start and Istres receive them. At -1, SA Mérignac must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SA Mérignac win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (SA Mérignac)Actual: Istres

SA Mérignac -2

1.8%

Draw -2

5.5%

Istres +2

92.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (SA Mérignac)Actual: Istres

SA Mérignac -1

7.2%

Draw -1

13.9%

Istres +1

78.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap +1 (SA Mérignac)Actual: SA Mérignac

SA Mérignac +1

50.4%

Draw +1

24.2%

Istres -1

25.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap +2 (SA Mérignac)Actual: SA Mérignac

SA Mérignac +2

74.6%

Draw +2

15.5%

Istres -2

9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SA Mérignac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.6

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.00	0.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (3)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	100% (+71pp vs league)

This opponent (Istres) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Istres

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.25	1.50	0.50	0.50	0.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	-	-
vs Weaker (3)	1.33	0.00	3.00	0.00	0.50	0.00
Clean sheet %	75% (+46pp vs league)

This opponent (SA Mérignac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

SA Mérignac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SA Mérignac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	0.20	0.50	0.25	3.00	0.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (3)	0.67	0.33	0.67	0.33	-	-
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	80% (+51pp vs league)

This opponent (Istres) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Istres

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	1.00	0.50	1.50	1.50	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (1)	0.00	3.00	0.00	3.00	-	-
vs Weaker (3)	1.33	0.33	1.00	0.00	1.50	0.50
Clean sheet %	50% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (SA Mérignac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

SA Mérignac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

SA Mérignac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Istres over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	97.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	94.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	94.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	92.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	91.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards	87.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	82.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	79.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	78.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap	78.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals	78.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls	76.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	76.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards	75.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	74.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners	73.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home or Away	70.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls	70.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

PSG (26)

€1477m

MON (26)

€326m

LIL (27)

€312m

STR (32)

€304m

LYO (32)

€293m

REN (26)

€241m

MAR (22)

€225m

LEN (27)

€187m

PF (37)

€176m

NIC (28)

€152m

TOU (24)

€115m

SE (30)

€93m

LOR (24)

€87m

AUX (29)

€84m

NAN (25)

€82m

ANG (23)

€73m

REI (30)

€72m

SB2 (20)

€64m

LH (25)

€55m

MET (26)

€43m

ET (23)

€36m

MON (24)

€29m

LM (26)

€24m

ROD (23)

€15m

CF (21)

€15m

RSF (22)

€15m

PAU (20)

€14m

NAN (26)

€13m

GRE (27)

€12m

GUI (20)

€11m

DUN (21)

€11m

ANN (21)

€10m

LAV (24)

€9m

BOU (23)

€8m

BAS (19)

€7m

SOC (20)

€7m

AMI (14)

€4m

CAE (18)

€4m

ORL (16)

€4m

CON (18)

€3m

QUE (10)

€2m

CHA (5)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

PSG (10)

€638m

MON (9)

€148m

LIL (13)

€133m

LYO (9)

€122m

STR (13)

€112m

MAR (9)

€91m

REN (8)

€87m

NIC (8)

€62m

PF (13)

€59m

SE (10)

€54m

LEN (8)

€52m

REI (12)

€38m

NAN (8)

€31m

ANG (9)

€30m

TOU (7)

€30m

SB2 (6)

€25m

AUX (11)

€23m

LOR (8)

€20m

MET (11)

€17m

MON (9)

€11m

LH (10)

€9m

ET (7)

€7m

PAU (6)

€6m

GRE (12)

€5m

NAN (9)

€5m

DUN (7)

€4m

RSF (6)

€4m

LM (6)

€4m

BAS (9)

€4m

ROD (7)

€4m

GUI (4)

€3m

ANN (7)

€3m

SOC (8)

€3m

BOU (6)

€2m

CF (5)

€2m

LAV (7)

€2m

CAE (8)

€2m

ORL (6)

€2m

CON (7)

€1m

AMI (4)

€0m

QUE (2)

€0m

CHA (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

PSG (5)

€430m

LIL (4)

€102m

MON (5)

€84m

LYO (8)

€82m

MAR (5)

€68m

STR (6)

€56m

PF (7)

€54m

REN (5)

€44m

TOU (7)

€39m

LOR (5)

€32m

NIC (9)

€31m

AUX (5)

€28m

LEN (5)

€24m

LH (5)

€23m

SB2 (6)

€20m

MET (5)

€18m

NAN (7)

€16m

REI (6)

€13m

ANG (3)

€11m

ET (6)

€11m

SE (7)

€11m

MON (5)

€6m

LM (8)

€5m

GUI (8)

€4m

ROD (6)

€4m

RSF (5)

€3m

ANN (6)

€3m

LAV (7)

€3m

GRE (5)

€3m

CF (4)

€3m

BOU (6)

€3m

NAN (6)

€2m

PAU (4)

€2m

DUN (5)

€1m

BAS (3)

€1m

SOC (3)

€1m

CON (5)

€1m

CAE (4)

€1m

ORL (4)

€1m

AMI (2)

€0m

CHA (2)

€0m

QUE (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

PSG (11)

€409m

STR (13)

€136m

LEN (14)

€112m

REN (13)

€109m

MON (12)

€93m

LYO (15)

€89m

LIL (10)

€76m

MAR (8)

€66m

PF (17)

€62m

NIC (11)

€60m

TOU (10)

€46m

LOR (11)

€35m

NAN (10)

€34m

AUX (13)

€33m

ANG (11)

€32m

SE (13)

€28m

LH (10)

€23m

REI (12)

€21m

SB2 (8)

€19m

ET (10)

€17m

LM (12)

€15m

MON (10)

€12m

CF (12)

€10m

MET (10)

€8m

ROD (10)

€7m

RSF (11)

€7m

NAN (11)

€6m

PAU (10)

€6m

DUN (9)

€5m

LAV (10)

€4m

ANN (8)

€4m

GRE (10)

€4m

AMI (8)

€4m

SOC (9)

€3m

BOU (11)

€3m

GUI (8)

€3m

BAS (7)

€2m

CAE (6)

€2m

ORL (6)

€2m

QUE (6)

€1m

CON (6)

€1m

CHA (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

SM wins

Draws

IST wins

Head-to-head

SA Mérignac vs Istres · H/A from SM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

SA Mérignac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/11/25	H	SM Vs PAU	1-0
16/11/25	H	SM Vs Colomiers	0-0
20/12/24	H	SM Vs Laval	0-0
30/11/24	H	SM Vs Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1-1
16/11/24	A	St-Philbert Réorthe JA Vs SM	0-6

Istres

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/11/25	A	Seyssinet-Pariset Vs IST	0-2
15/11/25	A	SS Allinges Vs IST	1-2
30/11/24	H	IST Vs Grenoble	0-4
16/11/24	H	IST Vs Cannet Rocheville	4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

SA Mérignac

France: Coupe de France

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDDDW	1.80
Home	DDDW	1.50
Away	W	3.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	25%	100%
AVG goals	1.80	0.75	6.00
Over 1.5 %	40%	25%	100%
Over 2.5 %	20%	0%	100%
Over 3.5 %	20%	0%	100%
Scored	1.60	0.50	6.00
Conceded	0.20	0.25	0.00
BTTS	20%	25%	0%
Clean Sheet	80%	75%	100%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Istres

France: Coupe de France

Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWW	2.25
Home	WL	1.50
Away	WW	3.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	75%	50%	100%
AVG goals	3.25	4.00	2.50
Over 1.5 %	100%	100%	100%
Over 2.5 %	75%	100%	50%
Over 3.5 %	50%	100%	0%
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	1.25	2.00	0.50
BTTS	25%	0%	50%
Clean Sheet	50%	50%	50%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-