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Sabah FA vs Qabala Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Vs
61%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Qabala
Qabala
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sabah FA win✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Qabala win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W20W30W40W11D02L12L20W40W20WA·SUM23/12H·NEF26/01A·QAB01/02H·SƏB06/02A·QAR11/02H·TUR19/02A·ŞAM25/02H·KAP04/03H·SUM10/03A·ZIR15/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.190.672.070.432.310.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.891.001.250.252.401.60
vs Weaker (18)2.330.502.400.502.250.50
Clean sheet %59% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Qabala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QabalaQabala

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D03L22D00D21W22D13L11D20WH·TUR24/12A·KAP24/01H·SAB01/02A·ZIR05/02H·NEF10/02H·SUM18/02A·SƏB24/02H·QAR05/03A·TUR11/03H·ŞAM17/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.211.281.071.071.361.50
vs Stronger (12)0.581.670.431.570.801.80
vs Similar (17)1.651.001.620.621.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
Sabah FA goals ↓
Qabala goals →
01234
08.3%4.7%2.3%0.6%0.1%
112%12%4.2%1.1%0.2%
212%9.7%3.8%1.0%0.2%
37.4%5.9%2.4%0.6%0.1%
43.4%2.7%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sabah FA goals (down), columns = Qabala goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.50
Sabah FA
2.25
Neftchi Baku
1.89
Qabala
1.39
Zira
1.39
Turan
1.08
Sumqayıt
0.86
Kapaz
0.86
Səbail
0.81
Şamaxı FK
0.69
Sabah FA is 0.86 points better than Qabala in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.53
Sabah FA
2.08
Neftchi Baku
1.75
Qabala
1.31
Zira
1.25
Turan
1.00
Kapaz
0.94
Səbail
0.89
Sumqayıt
0.72
Şamaxı FK
0.72
Sabah FA is 0.78 goals better than Qabala in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.67
Qarabag
0.69
Neftchi Baku
1.06
Zira
1.28
Qabala
1.31
Turan
1.36
Şamaxı FK
1.44
Səbail
1.72
Kapaz
1.72
Sumqayıt
1.94
Sabah FA is 0.64 goals better than Qabala in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sabah FASabah FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W20W00D30W01L01L00D10W10W00DA·SUM23/12H·NEF26/01A·QAB01/02H·SƏB06/02A·QAR11/02H·TUR19/02A·ŞAM25/02H·KAP04/03H·SUM10/03A·ZIR15/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.261.000.210.850.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.440.500.251.000.60
vs Weaker (18)1.000.171.200.200.750.12
Clean sheet %74% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Qabala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QabalaQabala

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D11D00D10W10W11D11D20WH·TUR24/12A·KAP24/01H·SAB01/02A·ZIR05/02H·NEF10/02H·SUM18/02A·SƏB24/02H·QAR05/03A·TUR11/03H·ŞAM17/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.340.800.200.570.50
vs Stronger (12)0.420.330.290.140.600.60
vs Similar (17)0.880.351.250.250.560.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sabah FASabah FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D30W10W10W01L12L10W30W20WA·SUM23/12H·NEF26/01A·QAB01/02H·SƏB06/02A·QAR11/02H·TUR19/02A·ŞAM25/02H·KAP04/03H·SUM10/03A·ZIR15/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.260.411.070.211.460.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.110.560.750.001.401.00
vs Weaker (18)1.330.331.200.301.500.38
Clean sheet %74% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Qabala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QabalaQabala

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W03L11D00D11D12L02L00D00DH·TUR24/12A·KAP24/01H·SAB01/02A·ZIR05/02H·NEF10/02H·SUM18/02A·SƏB24/02H·QAR05/03A·TUR11/03H·ŞAM17/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.930.270.870.791.00
vs Stronger (12)0.171.330.141.430.201.20
vs Similar (17)0.760.650.380.381.110.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qabala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sabah FA · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Veljko Simić75%
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Steve Solvet25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Veljko Simić25%
Ivan Lepinjica25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tymoteusz Puchacz50%
Aleksey Isayev50%
Akim Zedadka25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Aleksey Isayev25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Sabah FA's squad is €13m more valuable than Qabala's (€17m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Sabah FA's attack is €4m more valuable than Qabala's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Sabah FA's midfield is €5m more valuable than Qabala's (€5m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Sabah FA's defence is €4m more valuable than Qabala's (€7m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
SF wins
0
Draws
0
QAB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sabah FA vs Qabala · H/A from SF
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/23AQabala Vs SF0-3
30/10/22HSF Vs Qabala2-1
28/08/22AQabala Vs SF0-2

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/23AZira Vs SF0-2
10/03/23HSF Vs Sumqayıt4-0
04/03/23HSF Vs Kapaz2-0
25/02/23AŞamaxı FK Vs SF2-1
19/02/23HSF Vs Turan0-2
11/02/23AQarabag Vs SF1-1
06/02/23HSF Vs Səbail4-0
01/02/23AQabala Vs SF0-3
26/01/23HSF Vs Neftchi Baku2-0
23/12/22ASumqayıt Vs SF0-6

QabalaQabala

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/23HQAB Vs Şamaxı FK2-0
11/03/23ATuran Vs QAB1-1
05/03/23HQAB Vs Qarabag1-3
24/02/23ASəbail Vs QAB2-2
18/02/23HQAB Vs Sumqayıt2-1
10/02/23HQAB Vs Neftchi Baku0-0
05/02/23AZira Vs QAB2-2
01/02/23HQAB Vs Sabah FA0-3
24/01/23AKapaz Vs QAB2-2
24/12/22HQAB Vs Turan0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW2.30
HomeWWLWW2.36
AwayWWDLW2.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%71%69%
AVG goals2.852.503.23
Over 1.5 %81%79%85%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %33%29%38%
Scored2.192.072.31
Conceded0.670.430.92
BTTS37%29%46%
Clean Sheet59%64%54%
Corners---
Cards---
Qabala
Qabala
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.34
HomeLDWLW1.60
AwayLDDDD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%47%21%
AVG goals2.482.132.86
Over 1.5 %79%67%93%
Over 2.5 %52%47%57%
Over 3.5 %21%13%29%
Scored1.211.071.36
Conceded1.281.071.50
BTTS59%47%71%
Clean Sheet24%33%14%
Corners---
Cards4.00-4.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3690
78%
2.5
9125+66
3.2
81%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.50.7
-
2Sabah FASabah FA3681
69%
2.2
7524+51
2.8
78%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.10.7
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3668
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.81.1
-
4QabalaQabala3650
36%
1.4
4747+0
2.6
81%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.31.3
-
5ZiraZira3650
36%
1.4
4546-1
2.5
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.21.3
-
6TuranTuran3639
28%
1.1
3649-13
2.4
69%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.01.4
-
7KapazKapaz3631
17%
0.9
3462-28
2.7
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.91.7
-
8SumqayıtSumqayıt3631
22%
0.9
2670-44
2.7
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4240.71.9
-
9SəbailSəbail3629
19%
0.8
3262-30
2.6
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
10Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3625
11%
0.7
2652-26
2.2
61%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.4
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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