This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spezia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.00
0.50
1.09
0.55
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.0%
Under 2.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-0 ✓
11.8%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
Salernitana goals ↓
Spezia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.8%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.9%
8.0%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.1%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Salernitana goals (down), columns = Spezia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spal
1.86
Frosinone
1.76
Hellas Verona
1.76
Benevento
1.57
Perugia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Carpi
1.48
Spezia
1.43
Novara
1.33
Salernitana
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.26
Bari
1.26
Avellino
1.24
Brescia
1.19
Ternana
1.17
Ascoli
1.17
Pro Vercelli
1.17
Trapani
1.05
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Pisa
0.93
Latina
0.93
Salernitana is 0.14 points worse than Spezia in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spal
1.57
Hellas Verona
1.52
Cittadella
1.43
Frosinone
1.36
Benevento
1.33
Perugia
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.21
Brescia
1.17
Novara
1.14
Trapani
1.07
Ascoli
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Ternana
1.00
Carpi
0.98
Avellino
0.95
Bari
0.93
Latina
0.90
Spezia
0.90
Pro Vercelli
0.83
Vicenza Virtus
0.79
Pisa
0.55
Salernitana is 0.14 goals better than Spezia in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.81
Pisa
0.86
Spal
0.93
Carpi
0.95
Perugia
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.95
Frosinone
1.00
Benevento
1.00
Bari
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.07
Cesena
1.14
Ascoli
1.17
Latina
1.19
Novara
1.19
Virtus Entella
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.24
Ternana
1.26
Cittadella
1.29
Trapani
1.31
Avellino
1.31
Brescia
1.38
Salernitana is 0.24 goals worse than Spezia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.81).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Salernitana
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Spezia
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Salernitana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
12.0
Hellas Verona
11.4
Carpi
10.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.6
Carpi
5.4
Hellas Verona
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
32.1
Carpi
31.9
Hellas Verona
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Salernitana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
1.00
0.60
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.76
1.27
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.37
0.27
0.40
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (9)
0.11
0.44
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.20
0.27
0.27
0.67
0.11
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Salernitana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.00
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.55
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Spezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.25
0.50
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.30
0.82
0.27
0.22
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Salernitana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Simy23%
Diego Valencia20%
Roberto Soriano12%
Jayden Braaf11%
Alberto Cerri11%
Franco Tongya10%
Gian Marco Ferrari9%
Daniele Verde8%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Yayah Kallon8%
Lorenzo Amatucci8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Andrés Tello5%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Dylan Bronn0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrés Tello42%
Petar Stojanović34%
Tijs Velthuis30%
Ajdin Hrustić26%
Ernesto Torregrossa25%
Stefano Girelli25%
Fabrizio Caligara25%
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Fabio Ruggeri22%
Dylan Bronn20%
Nicola Dalmonte20%
Jayden Braaf17%
Alberto Cerri16%
Luka Lochoshvili16%
Paweł Jaroszyński15%
Szymon Włodarczyk15%
Yayah Kallon15%
Paolo Ghiglione15%
Giulio Maggiore14%
Lorenzo Amatucci13%
Roberto Soriano12%
Gian Marco Ferrari11%
Franco Tongya10%
Federico Zuccon9%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Lilian Njoh7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Oliver Christensen6%
Simy4%
Daniele Verde3%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Tommaso Corazza21%
Daniele Verde8%
Simy8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Fabio Ruggeri4%
Dylan Bronn4%
Lilian Njoh4%
Gian Marco Ferrari3%
Lorenzo Amatucci3%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Alberto Cerri0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Jayden Braaf0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alberto Cerri37%
Jayden Braaf17%
Daniele Verde14%
Dylan Bronn12%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Gian Marco Ferrari0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Simy0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Ajdin Hrustić0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
Spezia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico36%
Gianluca Lapadula32%
Mattia Valoti25%
Giuseppe Aurelio20%
Giuseppe Di Serio11%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giovanni Bonfanti8%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Filippo Bandinelli6%
Pietro Beruatto6%
Rachid Kouda6%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Leonardo Sernicola5%
Luca Vignali3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Antonio Candela0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Aleš Matějů0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francesco Cassata41%
Salvatore Esposito38%
Filippo Bandinelli38%
Fellipe Jack38%
Alessandro Bellemo27%
Giovanni Bonfanti25%
Aleš Matějů23%
Marco Ruggero22%
Alessandro Romano21%
Mattia Valoti19%
Emanuele Adamo19%
Petko Hristov17%
Luca Vignali17%
Laurs Skjellerup17%
Ádám Nagy15%
Giuseppe Di Serio15%
Pietro Beruatto15%
Pietro Candelari14%
Rachid Kouda12%
Andrea Cistana11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Przemysław Wiśniewski10%
Christian Comotto10%
Gabriele Artistico9%
Giuseppe Aurelio6%
Antonio Candela5%
Gianluca Lapadula5%
Edoardo Soleri5%
Boris Radunović0%
Daniele Verde0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Vanja Vlahović0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniele Verde17%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Salvatore Esposito15%
Mattia Valoti12%
Pietro Beruatto12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Leonardo Sernicola10%
Alessandro Bellemo9%
Vanja Vlahović9%
Giuseppe Aurelio9%
Ádám Nagy7%
Rachid Kouda6%
Antonio Candela5%
Alessandro Romano5%
Francesco Cassata5%
Giuseppe Di Serio4%
Luca Vignali3%
Aleš Matějů3%
Christian Comotto3%
Gabriele Artistico3%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Edoardo Soleri0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giovanni Bonfanti17%
Mattia Valoti12%
Gianluca Lapadula11%
Edoardo Soleri11%
Salvatore Esposito8%
Vanja Vlahović4%
Aleš Matějů3%
Giuseppe Aurelio3%
Ádám Nagy0%
Leonardo Sernicola0%
Filippo Bandinelli0%
Antonio Candela0%
Luca Vignali0%
Francesco Cassata0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Petko Hristov0%
Boris Radunović0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Daniele Verde0%
Alessandro Bellemo0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mouhamadou Sarr0%
Giuseppe Di Serio0%
Marco Ruggero0%
Emanuele Adamo0%
Laurs Skjellerup0%
Rachid Kouda0%
Alessandro Romano0%
Pietro Candelari0%
Diego Mascardi0%
Christian Comotto0%
Fellipe Jack0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Spal
Hellas Verona
Frosinone
Benevento
Perugia
Cittadella
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Bari
Avellino
Brescia
Ascoli
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
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